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Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey for Q3:2025-26

Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 47th round of its quarterly Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey (SIOS) conducted during Q3:2025-26. This forward-looking survey1 captures qualitative assessment and expectations of Indian companies engaged in the services and infrastructure sectors on a set of business parameters relating to demand conditions, price situation and other business conditions. In the latest round of the survey2, 1,004 companies provided their assessment for Q3:2025-26 and expectations for Q4:2025-26 as well as outlook on key parameters for the subsequent two quarters.

Highlights:

A. Services Sector

Assessment for Q3:2025-26

  • Service sector firms’ assessment on overall business situation and their turnover during Q3:2025-26 remained positive though tempered a bit from that in the previous quarter (Chart 1 and Table A).

  • Firms assessed moderation regarding pressures from input costs and salary outgo during Q3:2025-26.

  • Sentiments on growth in selling prices and profit margins moderated but remained positive.

Expectations for Q4:2025-26

  • Respondents remained optimistic on demand conditions in Q4:2025-26, though their optimism regarding overall business situation, turnover and job landscape is marginally lower vis-à-vis the previous quarter (Chart 1 and Table A).

  • Pressure emanating from input costs is likely to rise during Q4:2025-26; however, pressure stemming from finance costs is expected to ease.

  • Services firms expect selling prices to increase; profit margin is likely to remain positive during Q4:2025-26.

Expectations for Q1:2026-27 and Q2:2026-27

  • Services companies expect improvement in the overall business situation, turnover and employment in the first half of the next financial year (Table C).

  • Input cost pressures are likely to persist for services firms; with sequential rise in selling prices.

Chart 1: Turnover of Services Companies -Net Response

Responding services firms reported that with their existing resources they were able to provide 10.1 per cent additional services during Q2:2025-26 (Table S14).

B.Infrastructure Sector

Assessment for Q3:2025-26

  • Infrastructure companies reported positive assessment of overall business situation and their turnover, though their sentiments moderated vis-à-vis the previous quarter (Chart 2 and Table B).

  • Sentiments on both full-time and part-time employment improved.

  • Infrastructure firms gauged higher pressures stemming from input costs, salary outgo and cost of finance.

  • Responding firms reported lower growth in selling prices and profit margins as compared to the previous quarter.

   Expectations for Q4:2025-26

  • Infrastructure firms remain highly optimistic on overall business situation and demand conditions in Q4:2025-26 (Chart 2 and Table B).

  • Cost pressures are likely to rise further, and infrastructure firms expect improvement in the growth of selling prices and profit margins.

   Expectations for Q1:2026-27 and Q2:2026-27

  • Responding firms expect sequential improvement in demand conditions till Q2:2026-27 (Table D).

  • Input cost pressures are likely to persist in the near term and growth in selling prices are expected to remain at an elevated level.

Chart 2: Turnover of Infrastructure Companies -Net Response
 

Summary of Net Responses3 on Survey Parameters

       

Note: Please see the excel file for time series data

Service Sector

                         

Infrastructure Sector

                       

1 The survey results reflect the respondents’ views, which are not necessarily shared by the Reserve Bank.

2 Results of the previous survey round were released on the Bank’s website on October 01, 2025.

3 Net Response (NR) is the difference between the percentage of respondents reporting optimism and those reporting pessimism. It ranges between -100 to 100. Positive value indicates expansion/optimism and negative value indicates contraction/pessimism. In other words, NR = (I – D); where, I is the percentage response of ‘Increase/optimism’, D is the percentage response of ‘Decrease/pessimism’ and E is the percentage response as ‘no change/ equal’ (i.e., I+D+E=100). For example, increase in turnover is optimism whereas decrease in cost of inputs is optimism.

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