RBI Working Paper Series 18 / 2012: Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India - RBI - Reserve Bank of India
RBI Working Paper Series 18 / 2012: Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India
The Reserve Bank today placed on its website a Working Paper titled “Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India” under the RBI Working Paper Series. The paper has been authored by Shri Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam. There seems to be a general consensus that monetary policy affects real economy at least in the short run. The manner and channels through which monetary policy influences output and prices is, however, still an open and unsettled issue. Given the near unanimity on its short-run impact on the real economy, it is important to understand which sectors of the economy feel its impact the most. Another important aspect in this context is whether or not the impact is uniformly felt across all components of aggregate demand. For instance, macroeconomic implications of reduction in aggregate demand due to slowdown in investment following monetary tightening would be different than those due to the reduction on account of slowdown in consumption demand. The paper has made an attempt to estimate the effect of monetary policy (change in interest rate) on various components of aggregate demand, namely, private consumption, government consumption, investment, exports and imports in India. This is done using a structural VAR model on quarterly data from 2000Q1 to 2011Q1. The findings of the paper indicate that –
Note: The Reserve Bank of India introduced the RBI Working Papers series in March 2011. These papers present research in progress of the staff members of RBI and are disseminated to elicit comments and further debate. The views expressed in these papers are those of authors and not that of the Reserve Bank of India. Comments and observations may kindly be forwarded to authors. Citation and use of such papers should take into account its provisional character. Sangeeta Das Press Release : 2012-2013/1051 |