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Sources of Variation in India’s Foreign Exchange Reserves during April-December 2024

Today, the Reserve Bank of India released the balance of payments (BoP) data for the third quarter (Q3), i.e., October-December of 2024-25 on its website (www.rbi.org.in). On the basis of these data, the sources of variation in foreign exchange reserves during April-December 2024 are detailed below in Table 1.

Table 1: Sources of Variation in Foreign Exchange Reserves*
(US$ billion)

Items

April-December
2023

April-December
2024

I.

 

Current Account Balance

-30.7

-37.1

II.

 

Capital Account (net) (a to f)

63.6

23.3

 

a.

Foreign Investment (i+ii)

40.5

11.0

 

 

(i) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

7.8

1.6

 

 

(ii)Portfolio Investment

32.7

9.4

 

 

      of which:

 

 

 

 

Foreign Institutional Investment (FII)

33.0

9.3

 

 

           ADR/GDR

0

0

 

b.

Banking Capital

33.6

-0.8

 

 

      of which: NRI Deposits

9.3

13.3

 

c.

Short-term Credit

-1.0

11.1

 

d.

External Assistance

5.4

4.2

 

e.

External Commercial Borrowings

-1.7

7.9

 

f.

Other Items in Capital Account

-13.2

-10.1

III.

 

Valuation Change

11.1

3.1

IV. 

 

Total (I+II+III) @
Increase in reserves (+) / Decrease in reserves (-)

44.0

-10.7

*:        Based on the old format of BoP which may differ from the new format (BPM6) in the treatment of transfers under the current account and ADRs/ GDRs under portfolio investment.
@:      Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.
Note: ‘Other Items in Capital Account’ apart from ‘Errors and Omissions’ includes SDR allocation, leads and lags in exports, funds held abroad, advances received pending issue of shares under FDI, capital receipts not included elsewhere, and rupee denominated debt.

On a balance of payments basis (i.e., excluding valuation effects), foreign exchange reserves decreased by US$ 13.8 billion during April-December 2024 as against an accretion of US$ 32.9 billion during April-December 2023. Foreign exchange reserves in nominal terms (i.e., including valuation effects) decreased by US$ 10.7 billion during April-December 2024 as against an increase of US$ 44.0 billion in the corresponding period of the preceding year (Table 2).

Table 2: Comparative Position of Variation in Reserves
(US$ billion)

Items

April-December
2023

April-December
2024

1

Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves
(i.e., Including Valuation Effects)

44.0

-10.7

2

Valuation Effects
 [Gain (+)/Loss (-)]

11.1

3.1

3

Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves on BoP basis (i.e., Excluding Valuation Effects)

32.9

-13.8

Note: Increase in reserves (+)/Decrease in reserves (-).
Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.

The valuation gain, primarily reflecting higher prices of gold, amounted to US$ 3.1 billion during April-December 2024 as compared with a valuation gain of US$ 11.1 billion during April-December 2023.

(Puneet Pancholy)  
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2024-2025/2499

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