Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of the 88th round of the Industrial Outlook Survey (IOS) conducted during October-December, 2019. The survey encapsulates qualitative assessments of the business climate by companies in India’s manufacturing sector for Q3:2019-20 and their expectations for Q4:2019-201. In all, 775 companies responded in this round of the survey. Highlights: A. Assessment for Q3: 2019-20
-
Order inflows and output staged an uptick in Q3:2019-20, reflecting some turnaround from negative sentiments exhibited in the previous quarter, but the sentiments on employment conditions remained weak.
-
Consistent with the weak global demand conditions, manufacturers assessed sluggish external demand in Q3:2019-20.
-
Sentiments on overall financial situation, which had dipped in the previous survey round, moved into the zone of optimism.
-
Assessment of cost pressures emanating from interest payments on borrowings, purchase of raw materials and salary expenses softened in Q3:2019-20, but that for profit margins continued to be subdued due to weak demand and negative sentiments on selling prices.
-
The Business Assessment Index (BAI)2 was at 93.0 in Q3:2019-20, slightly higher than the earlier print of 92.5 for Q2:2019-20.
B. Expectations for Q4: 2019-20
-
Going forward, respondents expect improvement in demand parameters such as production, order books and exports in Q4:2019-20. Expectations on employment have also improved, though marginally.
-
Manufacturers remain optimistic on the overall financial situation in Q4:2019-20.
-
With lower optimism on selling prices, manufacturers expect a drop in profit margins despite muted cost pressures.
-
Business Expectations Index (BEI) increased from 102.2 in Q3:2019-20 to 105.0 in Q4:2019-20.
Summary Table Net responses3 |
(per cent) |
Parameters |
Assessment period |
Expectations period |
Q2:2019-20 |
Q3:2019-20 |
Q3:2019-20 |
Q4:2019-20 |
Production |
-1.9 |
0.4 |
13.9 |
17.2 |
Order Books |
-2.8 |
0.3 |
13.9 |
16.6 |
Pending Orders |
21.0 |
22.1 |
14.4 |
15.9 |
Capacity Utilisation |
-9.0 |
-8.3 |
4.4 |
7.9 |
Exports |
0.0 |
-0.9 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
Imports |
1.5 |
0.9 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
Employment |
-0.9 |
-1.6 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
Financial Situation (Overall) |
-1.1 |
5.3 |
15.8 |
19.5 |
Availability of Finance (from internal accruals) |
6.9 |
6.6 |
13.2 |
13.4 |
Availability of Finance (from banks and other sources) |
4.3 |
7.2 |
12.7 |
11.7 |
Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) |
2.8 |
2.5 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
Cost of Finance |
-13.1 |
-8.7 |
-10.0 |
-7.9 |
Cost of Raw Materials |
-35.3 |
-26.1 |
-30.8 |
-30.0 |
Salary/ Other Remuneration |
-36.0 |
-27.0 |
-23.2 |
-22.1 |
Selling Price |
-7.6 |
-9.6 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
Profit Margin |
-22.6 |
-22.1 |
-8.5 |
-10.2 |
Overall Business Situation |
-0.8 |
3.5 |
21.7 |
22.6 |
Note: Please see the excel file for time series data |
Table 1: Assessment and Expectations for Production |
(Percentage responses)@ |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
38.2 |
13.3 |
48.5 |
24.9 |
41.6 |
9.0 |
49.4 |
32.5 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
40.2 |
14.9 |
44.9 |
25.3 |
43.5 |
7.2 |
49.3 |
36.3 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
38.6 |
15.6 |
45.8 |
23.0 |
42.1 |
9.3 |
48.5 |
32.8 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
26.5 |
28.4 |
45.2 |
-1.9 |
40.1 |
11.0 |
48.9 |
29.1 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
28.7 |
28.3 |
43.1 |
0.4 |
34.8 |
21.0 |
44.2 |
13.9 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
35.4 |
18.2 |
46.4 |
17.2 |
‘Increase’ in production is optimistic. @: Due to rounding off percentage may not add up to 100. |
Table 2: Assessment and Expectations for Order Books |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
35.3 |
15.8 |
48.9 |
19.5 |
38.6 |
9.6 |
51.8 |
28.9 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
35.3 |
15.9 |
48.8 |
19.5 |
41.0 |
8.5 |
50.5 |
32.5 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
34.1 |
15.4 |
50.5 |
18.8 |
38.5 |
8.6 |
52.8 |
29.9 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
27.4 |
30.2 |
42.5 |
-2.8 |
31.6 |
11.1 |
57.3 |
20.5 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
26.9 |
26.6 |
46.5 |
0.3 |
34.3 |
20.4 |
45.3 |
13.9 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
33.6 |
17.0 |
49.3 |
16.6 |
‘Increase’ in order books is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 3: Assessment and Expectations for Pending Orders |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
4.7 |
13.2 |
82.1 |
8.6 |
7.4 |
11.0 |
81.6 |
3.6 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
5.1 |
14.3 |
80.6 |
9.2 |
6.3 |
9.9 |
83.8 |
3.6 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
6.0 |
15.7 |
78.3 |
9.6 |
6.1 |
10.4 |
83.5 |
4.3 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
4.5 |
25.5 |
70.0 |
21.0 |
16.1 |
9.4 |
74.5 |
-6.7 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
3.4 |
25.5 |
71.1 |
22.1 |
3.9 |
18.3 |
77.8 |
14.4 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.7 |
19.5 |
76.8 |
15.9 |
Pending orders ‘Below Normal’ is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 4: Assessment and Expectations for Capacity Utilisation (Main Product) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
24.9 |
12.3 |
62.8 |
12.6 |
28.3 |
7.3 |
64.4 |
21.0 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
26.2 |
13.3 |
60.5 |
12.8 |
30.3 |
6.5 |
63.1 |
23.8 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
22.8 |
13.4 |
63.8 |
9.4 |
27.2 |
7.7 |
65.1 |
19.6 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
15.9 |
24.9 |
59.2 |
-9.0 |
23.1 |
9.2 |
67.7 |
13.9 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
17.5 |
25.8 |
56.7 |
-8.3 |
24.4 |
20.0 |
55.6 |
4.4 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
23.1 |
15.2 |
61.6 |
7.9 |
‘Increase’ in capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 5: Assessment and Expectations for Level of CU (compared to the average in last 4 quarters) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
10.1 |
12.9 |
76.9 |
-2.8 |
12.5 |
9.1 |
78.4 |
3.4 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
11.6 |
13.0 |
75.3 |
-1.4 |
12.7 |
8.6 |
78.7 |
4.1 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
9.6 |
14.8 |
75.7 |
-5.2 |
12.2 |
8.2 |
79.6 |
4.0 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
8.1 |
26.6 |
65.3 |
-18.6 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
82.0 |
0.3 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
6.6 |
26.9 |
66.5 |
-20.3 |
9.3 |
21.7 |
69.0 |
-12.4 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9 |
18.5 |
73.6 |
-10.6 |
‘Above Normal’ in Level of capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 6: Assessment and Expectations for Assessment of Production Capacity (with regard to expected demand in next 6 months) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
More than adequate |
Less than adequate |
Adequate |
Net response |
More than adequate |
Less than adequate |
Adequate |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
10.3 |
7.2 |
82.5 |
3.0 |
11.9 |
6.3 |
81.8 |
5.6 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
11.2 |
7.4 |
81.4 |
3.8 |
10.6 |
6.1 |
83.3 |
4.5 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
11.0 |
6.7 |
82.2 |
4.3 |
12.2 |
6.2 |
81.6 |
6.0 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
15.1 |
14.2 |
70.7 |
0.9 |
13.5 |
6.9 |
79.6 |
6.6 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
15.8 |
11.7 |
72.5 |
4.2 |
15.3 |
12.4 |
72.2 |
2.9 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
14.6 |
11.4 |
74.0 |
3.2 |
‘More than adequate’ in Assessment of Production Capacity is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 7: Assessment and Expectations for Exports |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
25.1 |
13.0 |
61.9 |
12.1 |
26.1 |
10.2 |
63.7 |
15.9 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
25.0 |
12.0 |
63.0 |
13.0 |
27.8 |
8.0 |
64.2 |
19.8 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
24.6 |
11.5 |
64.0 |
13.1 |
25.7 |
8.0 |
66.2 |
17.7 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
21.3 |
21.3 |
57.5 |
0.0 |
24.0 |
8.2 |
67.8 |
15.8 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
18.3 |
19.2 |
62.5 |
-0.9 |
24.3 |
17.0 |
58.7 |
7.3 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
22.4 |
13.8 |
63.9 |
8.6 |
‘Increase’ in exports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 8: Assessment and Expectations for Imports |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
20.1 |
8.5 |
71.4 |
11.6 |
19.3 |
7.1 |
73.6 |
12.2 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
19.7 |
8.7 |
71.6 |
10.9 |
21.0 |
5.3 |
73.7 |
15.7 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
18.2 |
8.3 |
73.4 |
9.9 |
19.2 |
6.2 |
74.6 |
13.0 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
16.0 |
14.5 |
69.6 |
1.5 |
18.4 |
7.4 |
74.2 |
11.1 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
13.2 |
12.3 |
74.5 |
0.9 |
18.1 |
11.7 |
70.2 |
6.4 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
15.7 |
10.2 |
74.1 |
5.4 |
‘Increase’ in imports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 9: Assessment and Expectations for level of Raw Materials Inventory |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Above average |
Below average |
Average |
Net response |
Above average |
Below average |
Average |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
14.3 |
4.6 |
81.0 |
-9.7 |
11.3 |
4.6 |
84.1 |
-6.7 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
14.9 |
5.5 |
79.6 |
-9.5 |
12.1 |
4.2 |
83.8 |
-7.9 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
13.9 |
5.7 |
80.4 |
-8.3 |
12.0 |
3.7 |
84.3 |
-8.3 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
17.1 |
8.4 |
74.5 |
-8.6 |
11.8 |
4.2 |
84.0 |
-7.7 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
13.9 |
7.7 |
78.4 |
-6.2 |
13.2 |
6.6 |
80.3 |
-6.6 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.6 |
7.0 |
82.4 |
-3.6 |
‘Below average’ Inventory of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 10: Assessment and Expectations for level of Finished Goods Inventory |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Above average |
Below average |
Average |
Net response |
Above average |
Below average |
Average |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
15.0 |
4.9 |
80.1 |
-10.0 |
10.8 |
5.2 |
83.9 |
-5.6 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
14.4 |
6.5 |
79.1 |
-7.9 |
11.1 |
4.6 |
84.3 |
-6.5 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
13.5 |
6.7 |
79.8 |
-6.8 |
10.5 |
4.9 |
84.6 |
-5.6 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
22.5 |
8.0 |
69.5 |
-14.5 |
13.0 |
6.0 |
81.0 |
-7.0 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
18.3 |
7.3 |
74.4 |
-11.0 |
15.7 |
5.0 |
79.3 |
-10.7 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.9 |
6.2 |
80.9 |
-6.7 |
‘Below average’ Inventory of finished goods is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 11: Assessment and Expectations for Employment Outlook |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
16.1 |
6.7 |
77.1 |
9.4 |
17.1 |
4.2 |
78.7 |
12.9 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
16.7 |
6.9 |
76.5 |
9.8 |
17.0 |
4.8 |
78.2 |
12.2 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
15.9 |
7.3 |
76.8 |
8.6 |
17.1 |
4.8 |
78.1 |
12.3 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
13.4 |
14.2 |
72.4 |
-0.9 |
16.6 |
5.7 |
77.7 |
10.9 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
12.2 |
13.8 |
74.0 |
-1.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
76.5 |
0.7 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
10.7 |
76.8 |
1.8 |
‘Increase’ in employment is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 12: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Financial Situation |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
28.5 |
11.9 |
59.6 |
16.5 |
34.4 |
7.5 |
58.0 |
26.9 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
29.3 |
11.4 |
59.3 |
17.8 |
35.2 |
6.5 |
58.3 |
28.7 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
29.7 |
8.6 |
61.7 |
21.1 |
35.0 |
5.7 |
59.3 |
29.3 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
21.2 |
22.2 |
56.6 |
-1.1 |
34.3 |
6.1 |
59.6 |
28.3 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
24.6 |
19.3 |
56.1 |
5.3 |
30.6 |
14.8 |
54.7 |
15.8 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
31.2 |
11.7 |
57.1 |
19.5 |
‘Better’ overall financial situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 13: Assessment and Expectations for Working Capital Finance Requirement |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
30.5 |
5.6 |
63.9 |
24.9 |
30.6 |
4.0 |
65.4 |
26.6 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
30.8 |
4.6 |
64.6 |
26.2 |
29.9 |
4.4 |
65.7 |
25.6 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
28.5 |
5.4 |
66.1 |
23.2 |
29.6 |
4.1 |
66.3 |
25.6 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
28.4 |
10.7 |
60.9 |
17.7 |
27.7 |
5.5 |
66.8 |
22.1 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
27.4 |
8.7 |
63.9 |
18.7 |
29.3 |
5.5 |
65.3 |
23.8 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
27.3 |
5.7 |
66.9 |
21.6 |
‘Increase’ in working capital finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 14: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from Internal Accruals) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
21.2 |
10.4 |
68.4 |
10.8 |
24.9 |
6.7 |
68.3 |
18.2 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
22.8 |
7.5 |
69.6 |
15.3 |
25.4 |
6.2 |
68.4 |
19.2 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
23.2 |
7.2 |
69.6 |
16.0 |
25.5 |
5.0 |
69.5 |
20.5 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
19.6 |
12.7 |
67.7 |
6.9 |
23.0 |
5.7 |
71.3 |
17.3 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
19.0 |
12.4 |
68.6 |
6.6 |
21.4 |
8.1 |
70.5 |
13.2 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
22.1 |
8.8 |
69.1 |
13.4 |
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 15: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from banks and other sources) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
17.2 |
6.0 |
76.8 |
11.2 |
19.0 |
5.9 |
75.1 |
13.1 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
17.8 |
7.0 |
75.2 |
10.8 |
20.1 |
4.1 |
75.8 |
16.0 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
17.9 |
6.0 |
76.1 |
11.9 |
19.3 |
5.0 |
75.7 |
14.2 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
14.3 |
10.0 |
75.8 |
4.3 |
17.4 |
4.4 |
78.2 |
13.0 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
14.6 |
7.4 |
78.1 |
7.2 |
18.7 |
6.0 |
75.3 |
12.7 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
17.7 |
5.9 |
76.4 |
11.7 |
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 16: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
6.9 |
4.0 |
89.1 |
2.9 |
9.5 |
4.3 |
86.2 |
5.2 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
8.6 |
3.9 |
87.6 |
4.7 |
9.0 |
3.0 |
88.0 |
6.0 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
8.2 |
4.0 |
87.8 |
4.3 |
9.5 |
3.5 |
87.0 |
6.0 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
6.9 |
4.1 |
89.1 |
2.8 |
13.1 |
3.5 |
83.5 |
9.6 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
7.5 |
5.0 |
87.6 |
2.5 |
9.2 |
4.1 |
86.7 |
5.1 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
4.3 |
88.4 |
3.0 |
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 17: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Finance |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
24.9 |
5.4 |
69.7 |
-19.5 |
24.7 |
4.9 |
70.4 |
-19.8 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
21.3 |
5.6 |
73.1 |
-15.7 |
22.3 |
4.8 |
73.0 |
-17.5 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
22.4 |
4.9 |
72.7 |
-17.6 |
20.2 |
5.8 |
74.0 |
-14.4 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
21.3 |
8.1 |
70.6 |
-13.1 |
22.5 |
7.1 |
70.4 |
-15.4 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
16.9 |
8.2 |
74.9 |
-8.7 |
18.5 |
8.4 |
73.1 |
-10.0 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
15.0 |
7.1 |
77.9 |
-7.9 |
‘Decrease’ in cost of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 18: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Raw Materials |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
53.1 |
3.9 |
43.1 |
-49.2 |
46.5 |
1.9 |
51.6 |
-44.5 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
46.8 |
4.8 |
48.4 |
-41.9 |
42.1 |
3.5 |
54.3 |
-38.6 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
46.4 |
3.1 |
50.5 |
-43.3 |
37.2 |
3.5 |
59.2 |
-33.7 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
42.4 |
7.1 |
50.5 |
-35.3 |
31.4 |
3.8 |
64.8 |
-27.6 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
37.2 |
11.1 |
51.7 |
-26.1 |
37.0 |
6.2 |
56.8 |
-30.8 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
35.6 |
5.6 |
58.8 |
-30.0 |
‘Decrease’ in cost of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 19: Assessment and Expectations for Salary/Other Remuneration |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
29.8 |
1.6 |
68.6 |
-28.2 |
25.6 |
1.2 |
73.2 |
-24.4 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
28.5 |
1.8 |
69.7 |
-26.7 |
22.8 |
1.4 |
75.8 |
-21.4 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
38.8 |
1.6 |
59.6 |
-37.2 |
34.0 |
1.1 |
64.9 |
-32.9 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
38.6 |
2.6 |
58.8 |
-36.0 |
34.5 |
0.9 |
64.6 |
-33.7 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
38.6 |
2.6 |
58.8 |
-36.0 |
34.5 |
0.9 |
64.6 |
-33.7 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
25.0 |
1.8 |
73.2 |
-23.2 |
‘Decrease’ in Salary / other remuneration is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 20: Assessment and Expectations for Selling Price |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
19.9 |
13.7 |
66.4 |
6.2 |
21.0 |
6.7 |
72.3 |
14.3 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
17.5 |
13.1 |
69.3 |
4.4 |
19.4 |
7.1 |
73.5 |
12.3 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
17.1 |
10.5 |
72.4 |
6.6 |
19.5 |
8.5 |
72.0 |
11.0 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
13.8 |
21.4 |
64.8 |
-7.6 |
15.5 |
8.4 |
76.1 |
7.1 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
12.0 |
21.6 |
66.4 |
-9.6 |
18.6 |
14.0 |
67.3 |
4.6 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
15.2 |
13.0 |
71.9 |
2.2 |
‘Increase’ in selling price is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 21: Assessment and Expectations for Profit Margin |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
16.1 |
27.8 |
56.1 |
-11.7 |
17.1 |
17.0 |
65.9 |
0.1 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
16.2 |
25.5 |
58.3 |
-9.3 |
18.7 |
16.7 |
64.5 |
2.0 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
16.1 |
24.1 |
59.8 |
-8.0 |
17.8 |
17.0 |
65.1 |
0.8 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
13.5 |
36.1 |
50.4 |
-22.6 |
21.9 |
14.5 |
63.6 |
7.4 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
12.3 |
34.4 |
53.3 |
-22.1 |
17.6 |
26.1 |
56.3 |
-8.5 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
16.3 |
26.4 |
57.3 |
-10.2 |
‘Increase’ in profit margin is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 22: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Business Situation |
(Percentage responses) |
Quarter |
Total response |
Assessment |
Expectations |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Q3:2018-19 |
1,267 |
34.9 |
10.3 |
54.8 |
24.6 |
43.3 |
7.0 |
49.8 |
36.3 |
Q4:2018-19 |
1,258 |
33.9 |
11.5 |
54.7 |
22.4 |
43.2 |
6.5 |
50.3 |
36.7 |
Q1:2019-20 |
1,231 |
35.1 |
10.5 |
54.4 |
24.6 |
42.5 |
5.6 |
51.9 |
36.9 |
Q2:2019-20 |
481 |
24.5 |
25.4 |
50.1 |
-0.8 |
41.1 |
6.0 |
52.9 |
35.2 |
Q3:2019-20 |
775 |
26.4 |
22.9 |
50.8 |
3.5 |
37.3 |
15.6 |
47.1 |
21.7 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
35.8 |
13.2 |
50.9 |
22.6 |
‘Better’ Overall Business Situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
Table 23: Business Sentiments |
Quarter |
Business Assessment Index (BAI) |
Business Expectations Index (BEI) |
Q3:2018-19 |
107.1 |
115.0 |
Q4:2018-19 |
107.2 |
116.2 |
Q1:2019-20 |
108.4 |
113.5 |
Q2:2019-20 |
92.5 |
112.8 |
Q3:2019-20 |
93.0 |
102.2 |
Q4:2019-20 |
|
105.0 |
|