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India's External Debt for Quarter End-June 2002

Introduction

According to the present arrangement, India's external debt statistics are published for four reference periods in a fiscal year viz., for end-June [in Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monthly Bulletin], end-March [in RBI Annual Report], end-September [in Economic Survey, Ministry of Finance (MoF), Government of India (GoI)], and end-December [in Status Report, MoF, GoI] .

The present article, which is the third in the series, provides India's external debt position for the quarter ending June 20021. It may be recalled that the data for end-March 2002 were published in the Reserve Bank of India- Annual Report 2001-02.

External Debt at end-June 2002

India's external debt at US $ 101.3 billion as on end-June 2002 increased by US $ 3.1 billion or 3.2 per cent from US $ 98.2 billion at end-March 2002 (Table 1). Detailed data on external debt for quarter ending June 2002 as also for the earlier four quarters (June 2001, September 2001, December 2001 and March 2002) are set out in Statement 1and 2.

Component-wise analysis reveals that all components of external debt, except export credit, external commercial borrowings and rupee debt increased during the quarter under reference (Chart 1).

Table-1: India's External Debt


Item

At the end of


           

Variation during the

   

June-2002

March-2002

Quarter Apr.-Jun. 2002


   

Amount

Share in

Amount

Share in

Absolute

Percentage

   

(US $

total debt

(US $

total debt

variation

variation

   

million)

(per cent)

million)

(per cent)

   
 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)


1.

Multilateral

32,288

31.9

31,724

32.3

564

1.8

2.

Bilateral

16,306

16.1

15,181

15.5

1125

7.4

3.

IMF

0

0

4.

Export Credit

4,957

4.9

4,988

5.1

-31

-0.6

5.

Commercial Borrowings #

23,081

22.8

23,422

23.9

-341

-1.5

6.

NRI Deposits (long-term)

18,617

18.4

17,154

17.5

1463

8.5

7.

Rupee debt

2,912

2.9

2,944

3.0

-32

-1.1

8.

Long Term-Debt (1to 7)

98,161

96.9

95,413

97.2

2748

2.9

9.

Short-Term Debt *

3,092

3.1

2,745

2.8

347

12.6

10.

Total Debt (7+8)

101,253

100.0

98,158

100.0

3095

3.2


#

Includes net investment by 100 % FII debt funds.

*

Excludes suppliers' credit of up to 180 days.

The share of multilateral (excepting IMF) debt in the total debt declined marginally from 32.3 per cent at end-March 2002 to 31.9 per cent at end-June 2002.

The share of bilateral debt to total debt increased marginally from 15.5 per cent at end-March-2002 to 16.1 per cent at end-June 2002.

The share of commercial borrowings to total debt declined marginally from 23.9 per cent at end-March 2002 to 22.8 per cent, at end-June 2002.

The share of rupee debt in total debt continued its downward trajectory as it fell from 3.0 per cent to 2.9 per cent over the same period.

As a sequel to the decision to discontinue the NR(NR)RD scheme with effect from April1, 2002 and credit the maturity proceeds of NR(NR)RD deposits to the account holder's NRE account, there was an increase in the proportion of debt under long-term non-resident deposits, from 17.5 per cent at end-March 2002 to 18.4 per cent at end-June 2002.

Share of export credits to total debt declined from 5.1 per cent at end-March 2002 to 4.9 per cent at end-June 2002.

Short-term debt increased from US $ 2.8 billion at end-March 2002 to US $ 3.1 billion at end-June 2002 mainly on account of an increase in short-term NRI deposits (Chart 2).

The consolidation of external debt was carried further during the quarter as indicated by key indicators of debt sustainability. The concessional debt as a proportion to total debt continued to be significant with a marginal increase to 36.8 per cent at end-June 2002 from 35.8 per cent at end-March 2002. The size of short-term debt remained modest both in regard to total debt and reserves. While the proportion of short-term to total debt increased to 3.1 per cent at end-June 2002 as against 2.8 per cent at end-March 2002 the ratio of short-term debt to foreign exchange reserves increased slightly from 5.1 per cent at end-March 2002 to 5.3 per cent at end-June 2002. Statement 1 Chart 3).

 

 

 

Statement 1: India’s External Debt Outstanding (Quarterly Position)

             

(Rs. crores)


       

End Period


Item

Jun-01

Sep-01

Dec-01

Mar-02

June-02


1

     

2

3

4

5

6


I.

MULTILATERAL

145982

151131

150418

154812

157808

                 

A.

Government borrowing

128583

133595

132973

137045

142764

 

i)

Concessional

89345

93583

93204

95228

101333

   

a)

IDA

88083

92236

91884

93901

99935

   

b)

Others

1262

1347

1320

1327

1398

 

ii)

Non-concessional

39238

40012

39769

41817

41431

   

a)

IBRD

26387

26921

26772

28011

27937

   

b)

Others

12851

13091

12997

13806

13494

                 

B.

Non-Government borrowing

17399

17536

17445

17767

15044

 

i)

Concessional

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

17399

17536

17445

17767

15044

   

a)

Public sector

12413

12590

12449

12751

10166

     

IBRD

7048

7036

6984

7320

5704

     

Others

5365

5554

5465

5431

4462

   

b)

Financial institutions

3534

3564

3638

3679

3734

     

IBRD

998

1020

995

1044

1046

     

Others

2536

2544

2643

2635

2688

   

c)

Private sector

1452

1382

1358

1337

1144

     

IBRD

1155

1119

1124

1127

929

     

Others

297

263

234

210

215

                 

II.

BILATERAL

74416

79325

73899

74084

79698

                 

A.

Government borrowing

56461

60659

56177

56271

60361

 

i)

Concessional

55606

59792

55304

55388

59789

 

ii)

Non-concessional

855

867

873

883

572

                 

B.

Non-Government borrowing

17955

18666

17722

17813

19337

 

i)

Concessional

6126

6708

6242

6364

6896

   

a)

Public sector

3460

3826

3625

3758

4003

   

b)

Financial institutions

2666

2882

2617

2606

2893

   

c)

Private sector

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

11829

11958

11480

11449

12441

   

a)

Public sector

3510

3566

3416

3299

3863

   

b)

Financial institutions

3564

3680

3549

3738

4008

   

c)

Private sector

4755

4712

4515

4412

4570

                 

III.

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

0

0

0

0

0

                 

IV.

EXPORT CREDIT

26028

26700

25412

24342

24227

 

a)

Buyers’ credit

16029

16177

15653

14713

14017

 

b)

Suppliers’ credit

5105

5261

4887

4812

5010

 

c)

Export credit component of

         
   

bilateral credit

4835

5199

4809

4817

5200

 

d)

Export credit for defence purchases

59

63

63

0

0

             

V.

COMMERCIAL BORROWING

112235

113118

114965

114300

112809

 

a)

Commercial bank loans#

45912

45999

48194

49581

48157

 

b)

Securitized borrowings##

63688

64417

64170

62342

62247

   

(inclu. IDBs and FCCBs)

         
 

c)

Loans/securitized

         
   

borrowings, etc. with multilateral

         
   

/bilateral guarantee and IFC(W)

2635

2702

2601

2377

2405

 

d)

Self Liquidating Loans

0

0

0

0

0

               

VI.

NRI & FC(B&O) Deposits

73989

77417

81103

83712

90991

 

(above one-year maturity)

         
 

a)

NRI deposits@

73989@

77417@

81103@

83712@

90991

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits

0

0

0

0

0

               

VII.

Rupee Debt *

15283

15547

15371

14366

14233

 

a)

Defence

13550

13815

13640

12756

12654

 

b)

Civilian

1733

1732

1731

1610

1579

               

VIII.

TOTAL LONG-TERM DEBT

447933

463238

461168

465616

479766

 

(I to VII)

         
               

IX.

SHORT-TERM DEBT

14775

14797

13250

13396

15111

 

a)

NRI deposits@@

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

3806

4144

4413

4724

6070

 

b)

FC(B&O)D

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

0

0

0

0

0

 

c)

Others (trade related) **

10969

10653

8837

8672

9041

   

of which short-term debt of 6 months

         
               

X.

GROSS TOTAL(VIII+IX)

462708

478035

474418

479012

494877

 

Memo Items

         
 

Concessional Debt***

166360

175630

170121

171346

182251

 

As % of Total Debt

36.0

36.7

35.9

35.8

36.8

 

Short Term Debt

14775

14797

13250

13396

15111

 

As % of Total Debt

3.2

3.1

2.8

2.8

3.1


IFC(W) :

International Finance Corporation(Washington)

FC(B&O) Deposits:Foreign Currency(Banks & Others)Deposits

#

:

Includes financial lease since 1996.

##

:

Includes Resurgent India Bonds (RIBs), India Millenium Deposits (IMDs).

   

Also includes Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) and net investment by 100% FII debt funds.

   

FCCB debt has been adjusted since End-March,1998 after netting out conversion into equity and redemptions.

@

 

The estimated NRI deposits do not include Non-Resident Non-Repatriable Deposits(NRNRD) which is not repatriable and which has been discontinued w.e.f. April 1, 2002.

@@

 

Figures include accrued interest.

   

However, interest service for NRNRD, which is repatriable, is included as part of debt service payment.

*

 

Rupee denominated debt owed to Russia and payable through exports.

**

 

This does not include suppliers’ credit of up to 180 days since end-March 1984

***

 

The definition of concessional debt here includes concessional categories under multilateral and bilateral debt and rupee debt under item VII.

Note:

Data for quarter ended June 2001, September 2001, December 2001 and March 2002 are revised.

Statement 2: India’s External Debt Outstanding (Quarterly Position)

             

(US $ Million)


       

End Period


Item

Jun-01

Sep-01

Dec-01

Mar-02

June-02


1

     

2

3

4

5

6


I.

MULTILATERAL

31034

31545

31233

31724

32288

                 

A.

Government borrowing

27335

27885

27611

28083

29210

 

i)

Concessional

18994

19533

19353

19514

20733

   

a)

IDA

18725

19252

19079

19242

20447

   

b)

Others

269

281

274

272

286

 

ii)

Non-concessional

8341

8352

8258

8569

8477

   

a)

IBRD

5609

5619

5559

5740

5716

   

b)

Others

2732

2733

2699

2829

2761

                 

B.

Non-Government borrowing

3699

3660

3622

3641

3078

 

i)

Concessional

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

3699

3660

3622

3641

3078

   

a)

Public sector

2639

2628

2585

2613

2080

     

IBRD

1498

1469

1450

1500

1167

     

Others

1141

1159

1135

1113

913

   

b)

Financial institutions

751

744

755

754

764

     

IBRD

212

213

206

214

214

     

Others

539

531

549

540

550

   

c)

Private sector

309

288

282

274

234

     

IBRD

246

233

234

231

190

     

Others

63

55

48

43

44

                 

II.

BILATERAL

15820

16560

15338

15181

16306

                 

A.

Government borrowing

12003

12661

11665

11531

12350

 

i)

Concessional

11821

12480

11484

11350

12233

 

ii)

Non-concessional

182

181

181

181

117

                 

B.

Non-Government borrowing

3817

3899

3673

3650

3956

 

i)

Concessional

1302

1400

1296

1304

1411

   

a)

Public sector

735

798

753

770

819

   

b)

Financial institutions

567

602

543

534

592

   

c)

Private sector

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

2515

2499

2377

2346

2545

   

a)

Public sector

746

745

707

676

790

   

b)

Financial institutions

758

769

735

766

820

   

c)

Private sector

1011

985

935

904

935

                 

III.

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

0

0

0

0

0

                 

IV.

EXPORT CREDIT

5533

5579

5263

4988

4957

 

a)

Buyers’ credit

3407

3381

3240

3015

2868

 

b)

Suppliers’ credit

1085

1100

1011

986

1025

 

c)

Export credit component

         
   

of bilateral credit

1028

1085

999

987

1064

 

d)

Export credit for defence purchases

13

13

13

0

0

                 

V.

COMMERCIAL BORROWING

23859

23649

23798

23422

23081

 

a)

Commercial bank loans#

9760

9613

9976

10160

9853

 

b)

Securitized borrowings##

13539

13471

13283

12775

12736

   

(inclu. IDBs and FCCBs)

         
 

c)

Loans/securitized borrowings, etc.

         
   

with multilateral/bilateral

         
   

guarantee and IFC(W)

560

565

539

487

492

 

d)

Self Liquidating Loans

0

0

0

0

0

               

VI.

NRI & FC(B&O) Deposits

15729

16179

16835

17154

18617

   

(above one-year maturity)

         
 

a)

NRI deposits@

15729@

16179@

16835@

17154@

18617

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits

0

0

0

0

0

               

VII.

Rupee Debt *

3249

3248

3190

2944

2912

 

a)

Defence

2880

2886

2831

2614

2589

 

b)

Civilian

369

362

359

330

323

               

VIII.

TOTAL LONG-TERM DEBT

95224

96760

95657

95413

98161

 

(I to VII)

         
               

IX.

SHORT-TERM DEBT

3141

3092

2750

2745

3092

 

a)

NRI deposits@@

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

809

866

916

968

1242

 

b)

FC(B&O)D

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

0

0

0

0

0

 

c)

Others (trade related) **

2332

2226

1834

1777

1850

   

of which short-term debt of 6 months

         
               

X.

GROSS TOTAL(VIII+IX)

98365

99852

98407

98158

101253

 

Memo Items

         
 

Concessional Debt***

35366

36661

35323

35112

37289

 

As % of Total Debt

36.0

36.7

35.9

35.8

36.8

 

Short Term Debt

3141

3092

2750

2745

3092

 

As % of Total Debt

3.2

3.1

2.8

2.8

3.1


IFC(W) :

International Finance Corporation(Washington)

FC(B&O) Deposits:Foreign Currency(Banks & Others)Deposits

#

:

Includes financial lease since 1996.

##

:

Includes Resurgent India Bonds (RIBs), India Millenium Deposits (IMDs).

   

Also includes Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) and net investment by 100% FII debt funds.

   

FCCB debt has been adjusted since End-March,1998 after netting out conversion into equity and redemptions.

@

 

The estimated NRI deposits do not include Non-Resident Non-Repatriable Deposits(NRNRD) which is not repatriable and which has been discontinued w.e.f. April 1, 2002.

@@

 

Figures include accrued interest.

   

However, interest service for NRNRD, which is repatriable, is included as part of debt service payment.

*

 

Rupee denominated debt owed to Russia and payable through exports.

**

 

This does not include suppliers’ credit of up to 180 days since end-March 1984

***

 

The definition of concessional debt here includes concessional categories under multilateral and bilateral debt and rupee debt under item VII.

Note:

Data for quarter ended June 2001, September 2001, December 2001 and March 2002 are revised.


*

Prepared in the Division of International Finance of the Department of Economic Analysis and Policy.

1

The earlier article covering the period ending June 2001 was published in the Reserve Bank of India Bulletin, January 2002.

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