Mid-Term Review of Monetary and Credit Policy for 1999-2000 (Part 4 of 6) - આરબીઆઈ - Reserve Bank of India
Mid-Term Review of Monetary and Credit Policy for 1999-2000 (Part 4 of 6)
Table 1: Monthly Seasonal Factors of Selected Economic Time Series (April - March)
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Peak |
Peak |
Trough |
Trough |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Month |
Value |
Month |
Value |
D. 1.4.2 IIP - Consumer Non-Durables |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
106.0 |
96.8 |
92.7 |
92.3 |
91.1 |
92.1 |
90.4 |
96.2 |
110.2 |
111.2 |
108.8 |
112.3 |
MAR |
112.3 |
OCT |
90.4 |
Average: |
107.3 |
97.0 |
92.1 |
91.2 |
89.9 |
90.6 |
89.3 |
97.9 |
111.3 |
111.6 |
108.7 |
112.8 |
MAR |
112.8 |
OCT |
89.3 |
1999-00: |
105.9 |
96.8 |
92.6 |
92.3 |
91.3 |
92.1 |
90.6 |
96.0 |
110.2 |
111.2 |
108.9 |
112.3 |
MAR |
112.3 |
OCT |
90.6 |
D. 2.1 IIP - Mining |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
94.5 |
99.0 |
94.9 |
96.8 |
95.0 |
93.8 |
99.7 |
98.8 |
104.6 |
105.5 |
102.6 |
114.4 |
MAR |
114.4 |
SEP |
93.8 |
Average: |
94.2 |
96.6 |
92.7 |
93.8 |
92.2 |
91.1 |
97.6 |
100.1 |
107.5 |
109.8 |
106.5 |
116.9 |
MAR |
116.9 |
SEP |
91.1 |
1999-00: |
94.6 |
99.3 |
95.1 |
96.9 |
95.0 |
93.8 |
99.8 |
98.8 |
104.4 |
105.3 |
102.6 |
114.3 |
MAR |
114.3 |
SEP |
93.8 |
D. 2.2 IIP - Manufacturing |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
98.7 |
97.5 |
96.2 |
96.9 |
96.9 |
97.3 |
95.4 |
98.9 |
105.1 |
104.9 |
102.4 |
109.5 |
MAR |
109.5 |
OCT |
95.4 |
Average: |
95.7 |
94.8 |
95.6 |
95.8 |
95.9 |
97.6 |
94.9 |
98.8 |
105.7 |
105.5 |
102.4 |
116.1 |
MAR |
116.1 |
MAY |
94.8 |
1999-00: |
98.8 |
97.6 |
96.3 |
97.0 |
97.0 |
97.3 |
95.5 |
98.9 |
105.1 |
104.8 |
102.5 |
109.3 |
MAR |
109.3 |
OCT |
95.5 |
D. 2.3 IIP - Electricity |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
99.4 |
102.6 |
96.5 |
99.2 |
98.7 |
95.8 |
99.9 |
97.2 |
103.4 |
105.2 |
96.3 |
105.9 |
MAR |
105.9 |
SEP |
95.8 |
Average: |
99.7 |
101.7 |
95.5 |
98.3 |
98.6 |
96.9 |
100.7 |
97.7 |
103.5 |
105.0 |
96.6 |
105.6 |
MAR |
105.6 |
JUN |
95.5 |
1999-00: |
99.4 |
102.6 |
96.5 |
99.3 |
98.7 |
95.7 |
99.9 |
97.2 |
103.4 |
105.3 |
96.3 |
106.0 |
MAR |
106.0 |
SEP |
95.7 |
D. 2.2.1 IIP - Food Products |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
119.9 |
92.1 |
83.2 |
74.9 |
73.2 |
75.9 |
73.5 |
92.8 |
125.7 |
128.7 |
129.1 |
130.9 |
MAR |
130.9 |
AUG |
73.2 |
Average: |
122.1 |
93.7 |
77.3 |
69.0 |
66.8 |
69.3 |
68.9 |
97.2 |
133.3 |
137.4 |
132.3 |
131.5 |
JAN |
137.4 |
AUG |
66.8 |
1999-00: |
120.0 |
92.3 |
83.3 |
75.1 |
73.7 |
75.9 |
73.5 |
92.4 |
125.6 |
128.6 |
129.3 |
130.9 |
MAR |
130.9 |
OCT |
73.5 |
D. 2.2.2 IIP - Rubber, Plastic, Petroleum and Coal Products |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
95.4 |
102.2 |
101.0 |
101.2 |
100.3 |
98.3 |
98.8 |
98.9 |
103.5 |
99.3 |
96.2 |
104.9 |
MAR |
104.9 |
APR |
95.4 |
Average: |
95.9 |
99.8 |
100.9 |
102.0 |
100.7 |
97.7 |
99.5 |
97.4 |
102.5 |
99.1 |
97.9 |
106.2 |
MAR |
106.2 |
APR |
95.9 |
1999-00: |
95.4 |
102.3 |
101.0 |
101.2 |
100.2 |
98.2 |
98.8 |
99.1 |
103.6 |
99.3 |
96.1 |
105.0 |
MAR |
105.0 |
APR |
95.4 |
D. 2.2.3 IIP - Chemicals and Chemical Products (except Petroleum & Coal Products) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
95.1 |
98.6 |
98.1 |
101.3 |
103.5 |
101.5 |
99.7 |
99.2 |
100.6 |
102.2 |
97.1 |
103.1 |
AUG |
103.5 |
APR |
95.1 |
Average: |
95.1 |
97.1 |
96.8 |
100.2 |
102.5 |
101.7 |
100.4 |
99.1 |
102.1 |
102.4 |
98.0 |
104.1 |
MAR |
104.1 |
APR |
95.1 |
1999-00: |
95.0 |
98.8 |
98.2 |
101.5 |
103.6 |
101.5 |
99.6 |
99.2 |
100.5 |
102.1 |
97.1 |
103.2 |
AUG |
103.6 |
APR |
95.0 |
D. 2.2.4 IIP - Non-metallic Mineral Products |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
101.4 |
102.8 |
102.2 |
100.9 |
97.8 |
95.6 |
96.4 |
94.0 |
98.3 |
100.4 |
100.0 |
109.5 |
MAR |
109.5 |
NOV |
94.0 |
Average: |
99.8 |
100.7 |
100.7 |
101.5 |
98.8 |
95.8 |
97.1 |
94.9 |
97.7 |
102.3 |
99.2 |
110.8 |
MAR |
110.8 |
NOV |
94.9 |
1999-00: |
101.4 |
103.0 |
102.4 |
100.9 |
97.7 |
95.6 |
96.5 |
94.0 |
98.3 |
100.4 |
99.8 |
109.3 |
MAR |
109.3 |
NOV |
94.0 |
D. 2.2.5 IIP for Basic Metal and Alloy Industries |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
94.4 |
96.5 |
96.1 |
100.1 |
101.3 |
98.7 |
100.0 |
98.7 |
101.8 |
105.0 |
98.7 |
109.1 |
MAR |
109.1 |
APR |
94.4 |
Average: |
94.6 |
95.6 |
95.9 |
98.0 |
99.5 |
98.1 |
100.9 |
100.4 |
103.3 |
105.1 |
99.2 |
108.7 |
MAR |
108.7 |
APR |
94.6 |
1999-00: |
94.3 |
96.5 |
96.1 |
100.2 |
101.3 |
98.7 |
100.0 |
98.6 |
101.8 |
104.9 |
98.8 |
109.3 |
MAR |
109.3 |
APR |
94.3 |
D. 2.2.6 IIP - Metal Products & Parts (except machinery & transport equipments) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
101.0 |
94.6 |
103.3 |
94.0 |
95.1 |
99.8 |
96.5 |
100.9 |
102.2 |
103.6 |
103.7 |
105.4 |
MAR |
105.4 |
JUL |
94.0 |
Average: |
100.3 |
95.5 |
99.3 |
97.7 |
97.3 |
100.2 |
97.6 |
99.5 |
102.1 |
101.4 |
101.6 |
107.6 |
MAR |
107.6 |
MAY |
95.5 |
1999-00: |
101.0 |
94.5 |
103.9 |
93.7 |
95.0 |
99.8 |
96.5 |
101.0 |
102.1 |
103.7 |
104.0 |
105.2 |
MAR |
105.2 |
JUL |
93.7 |
D. 2.2.7 IIP - Machinery, Machine Tools & Parts |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
92.2 |
91.3 |
93.4 |
94.5 |
95.8 |
100.8 |
97.3 |
99.8 |
109.0 |
103.8 |
104.2 |
117.2 |
MAR |
117.2 |
MAY |
91.3 |
Average: |
86.1 |
85.4 |
94.1 |
89.4 |
91.6 |
100.9 |
93.1 |
97.1 |
107.2 |
103.8 |
107.0 |
140.9 |
MAR |
140.9 |
MAY |
85.4 |
1999-00: |
92.7 |
91.4 |
93.5 |
94.7 |
95.9 |
100.7 |
97.4 |
99.8 |
109.1 |
103.7 |
104.3 |
116.8 |
MAR |
116.8 |
MAY |
91.4 |
D. 2.2.8 IIP - Transport Equipment & Parts |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
85.3 |
95.7 |
99.0 |
99.0 |
96.6 |
104.6 |
94.2 |
99.0 |
101.4 |
101.8 |
103.4 |
119.8 |
MAR |
119.8 |
APR |
85.3 |
Average: |
86.4 |
95.7 |
97.0 |
97.6 |
97.0 |
101.0 |
94.6 |
97.8 |
104.4 |
103.1 |
103.1 |
122.1 |
MAR |
122.1 |
APR |
86.4 |
1999-00: |
85.3 |
95.8 |
99.2 |
99.1 |
96.5 |
104.9 |
94.1 |
99.2 |
101.2 |
101.7 |
103.5 |
119.7 |
MAR |
119.7 |
APR |
85.3 |
E. EXTERNAL TRADE |
||||||||||||||||
E. 1 Exports (in US $) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
99.6 |
94.8 |
95.2 |
98.1 |
99.4 |
98.5 |
98.8 |
90.2 |
101.9 |
100.8 |
100.7 |
121.8 |
MAR |
121.8 |
NOV |
90.2 |
Average: |
99.0 |
93.8 |
92.0 |
95.8 |
99.5 |
97.5 |
98.8 |
93.1 |
103.7 |
104.4 |
100.8 |
120.8 |
MAR |
120.8 |
JUN |
92.0 |
1999-00: |
99.5 |
94.9 |
95.4 |
98.3 |
99.3 |
98.7 |
98.7 |
90.1 |
101.8 |
100.9 |
100.8 |
121.6 |
MAR |
121.6 |
NOV |
90.1 |
E. 2 Imports (in US $) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
93.5 |
102.2 |
97.7 |
104.3 |
96.0 |
97.6 |
96.7 |
95.3 |
101.3 |
104.0 |
98.9 |
112.0 |
MAR |
112.0 |
APR |
93.5 |
Average: |
93.6 |
98.6 |
101.9 |
101.5 |
96.1 |
99.6 |
97.4 |
97.4 |
105.0 |
100.0 |
97.2 |
111.7 |
MAR |
111.7 |
APR |
93.6 |
1999-00: |
93.5 |
102.6 |
97.6 |
104.2 |
95.7 |
97.6 |
96.8 |
95.3 |
101.1 |
104.3 |
99.3 |
111.4 |
MAR |
111.4 |
APR |
93.5 |
E. 2.1 Oil Imports (in US $) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
99.0 |
97.7 |
97.0 |
93.5 |
90.9 |
91.4 |
101.6 |
104.3 |
107.8 |
105.8 |
99.1 |
111.6 |
MAR |
111.6 |
AUG |
90.9 |
Average: |
99.6 |
94.6 |
100.6 |
92.6 |
91.4 |
92.4 |
99.9 |
105.6 |
110.1 |
104.5 |
101.3 |
106.9 |
DEC |
110.1 |
AUG |
91.4 |
1999-00: |
98.4 |
97.8 |
97.2 |
93.0 |
90.6 |
91.7 |
102.0 |
104.3 |
107.8 |
105.9 |
99.1 |
111.3 |
MAR |
111.3 |
AUG |
90.6 |
E. 2.2 Non-Oil Imports (in US $) |
||||||||||||||||
1998-99: |
92.9 |
100.6 |
93.6 |
108.2 |
98.3 |
98.2 |
93.2 |
91.4 |
102.5 |
102.9 |
103.8 |
114.2 |
MAR |
114.2 |
NOV |
91.4 |
Average: |
93.0 |
99.6 |
97.7 |
104.8 |
96.3 |
99.2 |
94.4 |
96.3 |
105.5 |
99.6 |
98.6 |
115.2 |
MAR |
115.2 |
APR |
93.0 |
1999-00: |
93.1 |
100.8 |
93.4 |
108.2 |
98.2 |
98.0 |
93.2 |
91.3 |
102.3 |
103.3 |
104.4 |
113.6 |
MAR |
113.6 |
NOV |
91.3 |
Note: |
1. |
Average figures relate for a sample period of 10 years (1989-90 to 1998-99). |
2. |
Figures for 1999-2000 are the forecasts of seasonal factors. |