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Sources of Variation in India’s Foreign Exchange Reserves during April-December 2025

Today, the Reserve Bank of India released the balance of payments (BoP) data for the third quarter (Q3), i.e., October-December of 2025-26, on its website (www.rbi.org.in). On the basis of these data, the sources of variation in foreign exchange reserves during April-December 2025 are detailed below in Table 1.

Table 1: Sources of Variation in Foreign Exchange Reserves*
(US$ billion)
Items April-December 2024 April-December 2025
I.   Current Account Balance -36.7 -30.2
II.   Capital Account (net) (a to f) 22.9 -0.6
  a. Foreign Investment (i+ii) 10.0 -1.3
    (i) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 0.6 3.0
    (ii) Portfolio Investment 9.4 -4.3
  b. Banking Capital -0.8 1.0
          of which: NRI Deposits 13.3 11.1
  c. Short-term Credit 11.6 15.3
  d. External Assistance 4.2 1.0
  e. External Commercial Borrowings 7.9 6.7
  f. Other Items in Capital Account -10.0 -23.4
III.   Valuation Change 3.1 50.2
IV.   Total (I+II+III) @
Increase in reserves (+) / Decrease in reserves (-)
-10.7 19.4
*: Based on the old format of BoP which may differ from the new format (BPM6) in the treatment of transfers under the current account and ADRs/ GDRs under portfolio investment.
@: Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.
Note: ‘Other Items in Capital Account’ apart from ‘Errors and Omissions’ includes SDR allocation, leads and lags in exports/imports, funds held abroad, advances received pending issue of shares under FDI, capital receipts not included elsewhere, and rupee denominated debt.

On a balance of payments basis (i.e., excluding valuation effects), foreign exchange reserves decreased by US$ 30.8 billion during April-December 2025 as compared to a depletion of US$ 13.8 billion during April-December 2024. Foreign exchange reserves in nominal terms (i.e., including valuation effects) increased by US$ 19.4 billion during April-December 2025 as against a depletion of US$ 10.7 billion in April-December 2024 (Table 2).

Table 2: Comparative Position of Variation in Reserves
(US$ billion)
Items April-December 2024 April-December 2025
1. Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves
(i.e., Including Valuation Effects)
-10.7 19.4
2. Valuation Effects
 [Gain (+)/Loss (-)]
3.1 50.2
3. Change in Foreign Exchange Reserves on BoP basis (i.e., Excluding Valuation Effects) -13.8 -30.8
Note: Increase in reserves (+)/Decrease in reserves (-).
Difference, if any, is due to rounding off.

The valuation gain, primarily reflecting higher price of gold, depreciation of US dollar against major currencies and lower bond yields, increased to US$ 50.2 billion during April-December 2025 from US$ 3.1 billion during April-December 2024.

(Brij Raj)               
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2025-2026/2202

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