Master Circular on Capital Adequacy Standards and Risk Management Guidelines for standalone Primary Dealers - आरबीआय - Reserve Bank of India
Master Circular on Capital Adequacy Standards and Risk Management Guidelines for standalone Primary Dealers
RBI/2010-11/82 July 1, 2010 All Primary Dealers in the Government Securities Market Dear Sir Master Circular on Capital Adequacy Standards and Risk The Reserve Bank of India has, from time to time, issued a number of guidelines on Capital Adequacy Standards and Risk Management for standalone Primary Dealers (PDs). To enable the PDs to have all the current instructions at one place, a Master Circular incorporating the guidelines on the subject is enclosed. 2. Banks undertaking PD activities departmentally may follow the extant guidelines applicable to banks in regard to their capital adequacy requirement and risk management. Yours faithfully (K.K.Vohra) Encl : As above
CAPITAL FUNDS & CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS General Guidelines 1.1 Capital adequacy standards for Primary Dealers (PDs) in Government Securities market have been in vogue since December 2000. The guidelines were revised keeping in view the developments in the market, experience gained over time and introduction of new products like exchange traded derivatives. The revised guidelines were issued vide circular IDMD.1/(PDRS)03.64.00/2003-04 dated January 07, 2004. The present circular has been updated with the guidelines on capital requirements issued subsequent to the aforesaid circular. 2 Capital Funds Capital Funds would include the following elements: 2.1 Tier-I Capital Tier-I Capital would mean paid-up capital, statutory reserves and other disclosed free reserves. Investment in subsidiaries where applicable, intangible assets, losses in current accounting period, deferred tax asset and losses brought forward from previous accounting periods will be deducted from the Tier I capital. In case any PD is having substantial interest / (as defined for NBFCs) exposure by way of loans and advances not related to business relationship in other Group companies, such amounts will be deducted from its Tier I capital. 2.2 Tier-II capital Tier II capital includes the following:
2.3 Tier – III Capital Tier III capital is the capital issued to meet solely the market risk capital charge in accordance with the criteria as given below. The principal form of eligible capital to cover market risk consists of contribution of shareholders’ equity and retained earnings (Tier I Capital) and supplementary capital (Tier II Capital). But PDs may also employ a third tier of capital (Tier III), consisting of short-term subordinated debt for the sole purpose of meeting a portion of the capital requirements for market risks. For short-term subordinated debt to be eligible as Tier III Capital, it needs, if circumstances demand, to be capable of becoming part of PD's permanent capital and available to absorb losses in the event of insolvency. It must, therefore, at a minimum:
2.4 Guidelines on Subordinated Debt Instruments Guidelines relating to the issue of Subordinated Debt (SD) Instruments under Tier II and Tier III Capital are furnished below:
2.5 Minimum Requirement of Capital Funds PDs are required to maintain a minimum Capital to Risk-weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) norm of 15 percent on an ongoing basis. In calculating eligible capital, it will be necessary first to calculate the PD’s minimum capital requirement for credit risk, and thereafter its market risk requirement, to establish how much Tier I and Tier II capital is available to support market risk. Eligible capital will be the sum of the whole of the PD’s Tier I capital, plus all of its Tier II capital under the limits imposed, as summarized in Annex C. Tier III capital will be regarded as eligible only if it meets the criteria set out in para 2.3 above. 3 Measurement of Risk Weighted Assets The details of credit risk weights for the various on-balance sheet items and off-balance sheet items based on the degree of credit risk and methodology of computing the risk weighted assets for the credit risk are listed in Annex A. The procedure for calculating capital charge for market risk is detailed in Annex B. In order to ensure consistency in the calculation of the capital requirements for credit and market risks, an explicit numerical link will be created by multiplying the measure of market risk by 6.67 (i.e., the reciprocal of the credit risk ratio of 15%) and adding the resulting figure to the sum of risk-weighted assets compiled for credit risk purposes. The ratio will then be calculated in relation to the sum of the two, using as the numerator only eligible capital as given in Annex C. 4 Regulatory reporting of Capital adequacy All PDs should report the position of their capital adequacy in PDR III return on a quarterly basis. The PDR III statement format is given in Annex D. Apart from the Appendices I to V which are to be submitted along with PDR III, PDs should also take into consideration the criteria for use of internal model to measure market risk capital charge (as given in Annex E) along with the "Back Testing" mechanism (detailed in Annex F). 5 Diversification of PD Activities 5.1 The guidelines on diversification of activities by stand-alone PDs have been issued vide circular IDMD. PDRS.26/03.64.00/2006-07 dated July 4, 2006. 5.2 The capital charge for market risk [Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculated at 99 per cent confidence interval, 15-day holding period, with multiplier of 3.3] for the activities defined below should not be more than 20 per cent of the NOF as per the last audited balance sheet:
5.3 PDs may calculate the capital charge for market risk on the stock positions / underlying stock positions / units of equity oriented mutual funds using Internal Models (VaR based) based on the guidelines prescribed in Appendix III of Annex D. PDs may continue to provide for credit risk arising out of equity, equity derivatives and equity oriented mutual funds as prescribed Annex A. 6 Risk reporting of derivatives business In order to capture interest rate risk arising out of interest rate derivative business, all PDs are advised to report the interest rate derivative transactions, as per the format enclosed in Annex G, to the Chief General Manager, Internal Debt Management Department, RBI, Central Office, Mumbai, as on last Friday of every month. CAPITAL ADEQUACY FOR CREDIT RISK Risk weights for calculation of CRAR (a) On-Balance Sheet assets All the on-balance sheet items are assigned percentage weights as per degree of credit risk. The value of each asset/item is to be multiplied by the relevant risk weight to arrive at risk adjusted value of the asset, as detailed below. The aggregate of the Risk Weighted Assets (RWA) will be taken into account for reckoning the minimum capital ratio.
(b) Off-Balance Sheet items The credit risk exposure attached to off-Balance Sheet items has to be first calculated by multiplying the face value of each of the off-Balance Sheet items by ‘credit conversion factor’ as indicated below. This will then have to be again multiplied by the weights attributable to the relevant counter-party as specified under on-balance sheet items.
(c) Interest Rate Contracts For the trading/hedging positions in Interest Rate related contracts, such as interest rate swaps, forward rate agreements, basis swaps, interest rate futures, interest rate options, exchange traded interest rate derivatives and other contracts of similar nature, risk weighted asset and the minimum capital ratio will be calculated as per the two steps given below: Step 1
Step 2 :
(d) Foreign Exchange Contracts (if permitted) Like the interest rate contracts, the outstanding contracts should be first multiplied by a conversion factor as shown below :
This will then have to be again multiplied by the weights attributable to the relevant counter-party as specified above. Foreign exchange contracts with an original maturity of 14 calendar days or less, irrespective of the counterparty, may be assigned "zero" risk weight as per international practice. MEASUREMENT OF MARKET RISK Market risk may be defined as the possibility of loss caused by change in market variables. The objective in introducing the capital adequacy for market risk is to provide an explicit capital cushion for the price risk to which the PDs are especially exposed in their portfolio. 2. The methods for working out the capital charge for market risks are the standardised model and the internal risk management framework based model. PDs would continue to calculate capital charges based on the standardised method as also under the internal risk management framework based / VaR model and maintain the higher of the two requirements. However, where price data is not available for specific category of assets, then PDs may follow the standardised method for computation of market risk. In such a situation, PDs shall disclose to RBI, details of such assets and ensure that consistency of approach is followed. PDs should obtain RBI’s permission before excluding any category of asset for calculations of market risk. PDs would normally consider the instruments of the nature of fixed deposits, commercial bills etc., for this purpose. Such items will be held in the books till maturity and any diminution in the value will have to be provided for in the books. Note: In case of underwriting commitments, following points should be adhered to:
3. The methodology for working out the capital charges for market risk on the portfolio is explained below: A. Standardized Method Capital charge under standardized method will be the measures of risk arrived at in terms of paragraphs A1 – A3 below, summed arithmetically. A1. For Fixed Income Instruments Under standardized method, duration method would continue to apply as hitherto. Under this, the price sensitivity of all interest rate positions viz., Dated securities, Treasury bills, Commercial papers, PSU/FI/Corporate Bonds, Special Bonds, Mutual Fund units and derivative instruments like Interest Rate Swap (IRS), Forward Rate Agreement (FRA), Interest Rate Futures (IRF), etc., including underwriting commitments/devolvement and other contingent liabilities having interest rate/equity risk will be captured. In duration method, the capital charge is the sum of four components given below: a) the net short or long position in the whole trading book; Note 1: Since blank short selling in the cash position is not allowed, netting as indicated at (a) and the system of `disallowances’ as at (b) and (c) above are applicable currently only to the PDs entering into FRAs/ IRSs/ exchange traded derivatives. However, under the duration method, PDs with the necessary capability may, with RBI’s permission use a more accurate method of measuring all of their general market risks by calculating the price sensitivity of each position separately. PDs must select and use the method on a consistent basis and the system adopted will be subjected to monitoring by the RBI. The mechanics of this method are as follows:
Note 2 : Points (iii) and (iv) above are applicable only where opposite positions exist as explained at Note 1 above.
The gross positions in each time-band will be subject to risk weighting as per the assumed change in yield set out in Table 1, with no further offsets. A1.1 Capital charge for interest rate derivatives The measurement system should include all interest rate derivatives and off balance-sheet instruments in the trading book which react to changes in interest rates, (e.g. FRAs, other forward contracts, bond futures, interest rate positions). A1.2 Calculation of positions The derivatives should be converted into positions in the relevant underlying and become subject to market risk charges as described above. In order to calculate the market risk as per the standardized method described above, the amounts reported should be the market value of the principal amount of the underlying or of the notional underlying. A1.3 Futures and Forward Contracts (including FRAs) These instruments are treated as a combination of a long and a short position in a notional government security. The maturity of a future contract or an FRA will be the period until delivery or exercise of the contract, plus - where applicable - the life of the underlying instrument. For example, a long position in a June three-month IRF taken in April is to be reported as a long position in a government security with a maturity of five months and a short position in a government security with a maturity of two months. Where a range of deliverable instruments may be delivered to fulfill the contract, the PD has flexibility to elect which deliverable security goes into the maturity or duration ladder but should take account of any conversion factor defined by the exchange. In the case of a future on a corporate bond index, positions will be included at the market value of the notional underlying portfolio of securities. A1.4 Swaps Swaps will be treated as two notional positions in government securities with relevant maturities. For example, an IRS under which a PD is receiving floating rate interest and paying fixed will be treated as a long position in a floating rate instrument of maturity equivalent to the period until the next interest fixing and a short position in a fixed-rate instrument of maturity equivalent to the residual life of the swap. For swaps that pay or receive a fixed or floating interest rate against some other reference price, e.g. a stock index, the interest rate component should be slotted into the appropriate re-pricing maturity category, with the equity component being included in the equity framework. A1.5 Calculation of capital charges Allowable offsetting of matched positions - PDs may exclude from the interest rate maturity framework altogether (long and short positions, both actual and notional) in identical instruments with exactly the same issuer, coupon and maturity. A matched position in a future or forward and its corresponding underlying may also be fully offset, and thus excluded from the calculation. When the future or the forward comprises a range of deliverable instruments, offsetting of positions in the future or forward contract and its underlying is only permissible in cases where there is a readily identifiable underlying security which is most profitable for the trader with a short position to deliver. The leg representing the time to expiry of the future should, however, be reported. Security, sometimes called the "cheapest-to-deliver", and the price of the future or forward contract should in such cases move in close alignment. In addition, opposite positions in the same category of instruments can in certain circumstances be regarded as matched and allowed to offset fully. To qualify for this treatment the positions must relate to the same underlying instruments can be of the same nominal value. In addition:
PDs with large swap books may use alternative formulae for these swaps to calculate the positions to be included in the duration ladder. One method would be to first convert the payments required by the swap into their present values. For that purpose, each payment should be discounted using zero coupon yields, and a single net figure for the present value of the cash flows entered into the appropriate time-band using procedures that apply to zero (or low) coupon bonds; these figures should be slotted into the general market risk framework as set out earlier. An alternative method would be to calculate the sensitivity of the net present value implied by the change in yield used in the duration method and allocate these sensitivities into the time-bands set out in Table 1. Other methods which produce similar results could also be used. Such alternative treatments will, however, only be allowed if:
General market risk applies to positions in all derivative products in the same manner as for cash positions, subject only to an exemption for fully or very closely-matched positions in identical instruments as defined in above paragraphs. The various categories of instruments should be slotted into the maturity ladder and treated according to the rules identified earlier. A2. Capital charge for equity positions A2.1 Equity positions This section sets out a minimum capital standard to cover the risk of holding or taking positions in equities by the PDs. It applies to long and short positions in all instruments that exhibit market behavior similar to equities, but not to non-convertible preference shares (which will be covered by the interest rate risk requirements). Long and short positions in the same issue may be reported on a net basis. The instruments covered include equity shares, convertible securities that behave like equities, i.e., units of Mutual Funds and commitments to buy or sell equity securities. The equity or equity like positions including those arrived out in relation to equity /index derivatives as described below may be included in the duration ladder below one month. A2.2 Equity derivatives Equity derivatives and off balance-sheet positions which are affected by changes in equity prices should be included in the measurement system. This includes futures and swaps on both individual equities and on stock indices. The derivatives are to be converted into positions in the relevant underlying. A2.3 Calculation of positions In order to calculate the market risk as per the standardized method for credit and market risk, positions in derivatives should be converted into notional equity positions:
Note : As per the circular IDMD. PDRS.26/03.64.00/2006-07 dated July 4, 2006 on "Diversification of PD Activities", PDs have been allowed to calculate the capital charge for market risk on equity and equity derivatives using the Internal Models approach only. A.3 Capital Charge for Foreign Exchange Position (if permitted) : PDs normally would not be dealing in foreign exchange transactions. However, as they have been permitted to raise resources under FCNR(B) loans route, subject to prescribed guidelines, they may end up holding open foreign exchange positions. Such open positions in equivalent rupees arrived at by marking to market at FEDAI rates will be subject to a flat market risk charge of 15%. B. Internal risk model (VaR) based method The PDs should calculate the capital requirement based on their internal Value at Risk (VaR) model for market risk, as per the following minimum parameters:
SUMMATION OF CAPITAL ADEQUACY REQUIREMENTS The capital adequacy requirements for the PDs will comprise:
Criteria for use of internal model to A General criteria 1. In order that the internal model is effective, it should be ensured that :
2. In addition to these general criteria, PDs using internal models for capital purposes will be subject to the requirements detailed in Sections B.1 to B.5 below. B.1 Qualitative standards The extent to which PDs meet the qualitative criteria contained herein will influence the level at which the RBI will ultimately set the multiplication factor referred to in Section B.3 (b) below, for the PDs. Only those PDs, whose models are in full compliance with the qualitative criteria, will be eligible for use of the minimum multiplication factor. The qualitative criteria include: a) A PD should have an independent risk control unit that is responsible for the design and implementation of the system. The unit should produce and analyze daily reports on the output of the PD's risk measurement model, including an evaluation of the relationship between measures of risk exposure and trading limits. This unit must be independent from trading desks and should report directly to senior management of the PD. b) The unit should conduct a regular back testing programme, i.e. an ex-post comparison of the risk measure generated by the model against actual daily changes in portfolio value over longer periods of time, as well as hypothetical changes based on static positions. c) Board and senior management should be actively involved in the risk control process and must regard risk control as an essential aspect of the business to which significant resources need to be devoted. In this regard, the daily reports prepared by the independent risk control unit must be reviewed by a level of management with sufficient seniority and authority to enforce both reductions in positions taken by individual traders and reductions in the PD’s overall risk exposure. d) The PD’s internal risk measurement model must be closely integrated into the day-to-day risk management process of the institution. Its output should accordingly be an integral part of the process of planning, monitoring and controlling the PD’s market risk profile. e) The risk measurement system should be used in conjunction with internal trading and exposure limits. In this regard, trading limits should be related to the PD’s risk measurement model in a manner that is consistent over time and that it is well-understood by both traders and senior management. f) A routine and rigorous programme of stress testing should be in place as a supplement to the risk analysis based on the day-to-day output of the PD’s risk measurement model. The results of stress testing should be reviewed periodically by senior management and should be reflected in the policies and limits set by management and the Board. Where stress tests reveal particular vulnerability to a given set of circumstances, prompt steps should be taken to manage those risks appropriately. g) PDs should have a routine in place for ensuring compliance with a documented set of internal policies, controls and procedures concerning the operation of the risk measurement system. The risk measurement system must be well documented, for example, through a manual that describes the basic principles of the risk management system and that provides an explanation of the empirical techniques used to measure market risk. h) An independent review of the risk measurement system should be carried out regularly in the PD’s own internal auditing process. This review should include the activities of the trading desks as well as the risk control unit. A review of the overall risk management process should take place at regular intervals (ideally not less than once a year) and should specifically address, at a minimum:
i) The integrity and implementation of the risk management system in accordance with the system policies/procedures laid down by the Board should be certified by the external auditors as outlined at Para B.5. j) A copy of the back testing result should be furnished to RBI. B.2 Specification of market risk factors An important part of a PD’s internal market risk measurement system is the specification of an appropriate set of market risk factors, i.e. the market rates and prices that affect the value of the PD’s trading positions. The risk factors contained in a market risk measurement system should be sufficient to capture the risks inherent in the entire portfolio of the PD. The following guidelines should be kept in view: a) For interest rates, there must be a set of risk factors corresponding to interest rates in each portfolio in which the PD has interest-rate-sensitive on-or-off-balance sheet positions. The risk measurement system should model the yield curve using one of a number of generally accepted approaches, for example, by estimating forward rates of zero coupon yields. The yield curve should be divided into various maturity segments in order to capture variation in the volatility of rates along the yield curve. For material exposures to interest rate movements in the major instruments, PDs must model the yield curve using all material risk factors, driven by the nature of the PD’s trading strategies. For instance, a PD with a portfolio of various types of securities across many points of the yield curve and engaged in complex trading strategies would require a greater number of risk factors to capture interest rate risk accurately. The risk measurement system must incorporate separate risk factors to capture spread risk (e.g. between bonds and swaps), i.e. risk arising from less than perfectly correlated movements between Government and other fixed-income instruments. b) For equity prices, at a minimum, there should be a risk factor that is designed to capture market-wide movements in equity prices (e.g. a market index). Position in individual securities or in sector indices could be expressed in "beta-equivalents" relative to this market-wide index. More detailed approach would be to have risk factors corresponding to various sectors of the equity market (for instance, industry sectors or cyclical, etc.), or the most extensive approach, wherein, risk factors corresponding to the volatility of individual equity issues are assessed. The method could be decided by the PDs corresponding to their exposure to the equity market and concentrations. B.3 Quantitative standards a) PDs should update their data sets at least once every three months and should also reassess them whenever market prices are subject to material changes. RBI may also require PDs to calculate their VaR using a shorter observation period if, in its judgement, this is justified by a significant upsurge in price volatility. b) The multiplication factor will be set by RBI on the basis of the assessment of the quality of the PD’s risk management system, as also the back testing framework and results, subject to an absolute minimum of 3. The document `Back testing’ mechanism to be used in conjunction with the internal risk based model for market risk capital charge’, enclosed as Annex-F, presents in detail the back testing mechanism. PDs will have flexibility in devising the precise nature of their models, but the parameters indicated at Annex-E are the minimum which the PDs need to fulfill for acceptance of the model for the purpose of calculating their capital charge. RBI will have the discretion to apply stricter standards. B.4 Stress testing 1. PDs that use the internal models approach for meeting market risk capital requirements must have in place a rigorous and comprehensive stress testing program to identify events or influences that could greatly impact them. 2. Stress scenarios of PDs need to cover a range of factors than can create extraordinary losses or gains in trading portfolios, or make the control of risk in those portfolios very difficult. These factors include low-probability events in all major types of risks, including the various components of market, credit and operational risks. 3. Stress test of PDs should be both of a quantitative and qualitative nature, incorporating both market risk and liquidity aspects of market disturbances. Quantitative criteria should identify plausible stress scenarios to which PDs could be exposed. Qualitative criteria should emphasize that two major goals of stress testing are to evaluate the capacity of the PD’s capital to absorb potential large losses and to identify steps the PD can take to reduce its risk and conserve capital. This assessment is integral to setting and evaluating the PD’s management strategy and the results of stress testing should be regularly communicated to senior management and, periodically, to the Board of the PD. 4. PDs should combine the standard stress scenarios with stress tests developed by PDs themselves to reflect their specific risk characteristics. Specifically, RBI may ask PDs to provide information on stress testing in three broad areas, which are discussed below. (a) Scenarios requiring no simulations by a PD PDs should have information on the largest losses experienced during the reporting period available for RBI’s review. This loss information could be compared to the level of capital that results from a PD’s internal measurement system. For example, it could provide RBI with a picture of how many days of peak day losses would have been covered by a given VaR estimate. (b) Scenarios requiring a simulation by a PD PDs should subject their portfolios to a series of simulated stress scenarios and provide RBI with the results. These scenarios could include testing the current portfolio against past periods of significant disturbance, incorporating both the large price movements and the sharp reduction in liquidity associated with these events. A second type of scenario would evaluate the sensitivity of the PD’s market risk exposure to changes in the assumptions about volatilities and correlations. Applying this test would require an evaluation of the historical range of variation for volatilities and correlations and evaluation of the PD’s current positions against the extreme values of the historical range. Due consideration should be given to the sharp variation that at times has occurred in a matter of days in periods of significant market disturbance. (c) Scenarios developed by a PD to capture the specific characteristics of its portfolio In addition to the scenarios prescribed by RBI under (a) and (b) above, a PD should also develop its own stress tests which it identified as most adverse based on the characteristics of its portfolio. PDs should provide RBI with a description of the methodology used to identify and carry out stress testing under the scenarios, as well as with a description of the results derived from these scenarios. The results should be reviewed periodically by senior management and should be reflected in the policies and limits set by management and the Board. Moreover, if the testing reveals particular vulnerability to a given set of circumstances, the RBI would expect the PD to take prompt steps to manage those risks appropriately (e.g. by reducing the size of its exposures). B.5 External Validation PDs should get the internal model’s accuracy validated by external auditors, including at a minimum, the following:
BACK TESTING “Back Testing” mechanism to be used in conjunction with the internal risk The following are the parameters of the back testing framework for incorporating into the internal models approach to market risk capital requirements. PDs that have adopted an internal model-based approach to market risk measurement are required routinely to compare daily profits and losses with model-generated risk measures to gauge the quality and accuracy of their risk measurement systems. This process is known as "back testing". The objective of the back testing efforts is the comparison of actual trading results with model-generated risk measures. If the comparison uncovers sufficient differences, there may be problems, either with the model or with the assumptions of the back test. A Description of the back testing framework The back testing program consists of a periodic comparison of the PD’s daily VaR measures with the subsequent daily profit or loss (“trading outcome”). Comparing the risk measures with the trading outcomes simply means that the PD counts the number of times that the risk measures were larger than the trading outcome. The fraction actually covered can then be compared with the intended level of coverage to gauge the performance of the PD’s risk model. Under the value-at-risk (VaR) framework, the risk measure is an estimate of the amount that could be lost on a set of positions due to general market movements over a given holding period, measured using a specified confidence level. The back tests are applied to compare whether the observed percentage of outcomes covered by the risk measure is consistent with a 99% level of confidence. That is, back tests attempt to determine if a PD’s 99th percentile risk measures truly cover 99% of the firm’s trading outcomes. Significant changes in portfolio composition relative to the initial positions are common at trading day end. For this reason, the back testing framework suggested involves the use of risk measures calibrated to a one-day holding period. A more sophisticated approach would involve a detailed attribution of income by source, including fees, spreads, market movements, and intra-day trading results. PDs should perform back tests based on the hypothetical changes in portfolio value that would occur; presuming end-of-day positions remain unchanged. Back testing using actual daily profits and losses is also a useful exercise since it can uncover cases where the risk measures are not accurately capturing trading volatility in spite of being calculated with integrity. PDs should perform back tests using both hypothetical and actual trading outcomes. The steps involve calculation of the number of times the trading outcomes are not covered by the risk measures (“exceptions”). For example, over 200 trading days, a 99% daily risk measure should cover, on average, 198 of the 200 trading outcomes, leaving two exceptions. The back testing framework to be applied entails a formal testing and accounting of exceptions on a quarterly basis using the most recent twelve months of date. PDs may however base the back test on as many observations as possible. Nevertheless, the most recent 250 trading days' observations should be used for the purposes of back testing. The usage of the number of exceptions as the primary reference point in the back testing process is the simplicity and straightforwardness of this approach. Normally, in view of the 99% confidence level adopted, a level of 4 exceptions in the observation period of 250 days would be acceptable to consider the model as accurate. Exceptions above this, would invite supervisory actions. Depending on the number of exceptions generated by the PD’s back testing model, both actual as well as hypothetical, RBI may initiate a dialogue regarding the PD’s model, enhance the multiplication factor, may impose an increase in the capital requirement or disallow use of the model as indicated above depending on the number of exceptions. In case large number of exceptions is being noticed, it may be useful for the PDs to dis-aggregate their activities into sub sectors in order to identify the large exceptions on their own. The reasons could be of the following categories: a) Basic integrity of the model
b) Model’s accuracy could be improved
c) Bad luck or markets moved in fashion unanticipated by the model
List of Circulars Consolidated
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