Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 05 Persistence of Informal Credit in Rural India: Evidence from ‘All-India Debt and Investment Survey’ and Beyond @Narayan Chandra Pradhan Abstract *Rural credit markets in India is characterised by the coexistence of both formal and informal sources of finance and the market is fragmented. To discuss the informal rural credit issue and to maintain consistency with All India Debt and Investment Survey (AIDIS) data, this pape

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 04 Financial Development and Monetary Policy Transmission Across FinancialMarkets: What Do Daily Data tell for India?1@Partha Ray and Edwin Prabu This paper seeks to address two questions In Indian context. First, what is the nature of integration among different segments of Indian financial markets? Second, what has been the influence of monetary policy on different segments of financial markets? As far as domestic financial

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 03 Estimation of Counterfeit Currency Notes in India – Alternative Methodologies@Sanjoy Bose and Abhiman Das Abstract 1Alternative methodologies on estimation of counterfeit notes in the system, attempted by various countries, mostly pertain to proportions based on reported numbers vis-à-vis total figure on currency in circulation, which are having certain obvious limitations. As against, this paper suggests a probability mod

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 02 Financial Structures and Economic Development in India: An Empirical Evaluation @Satyananda Sahoo "Finance is, as it were, the stomach of the country, from which all the other organs take their tone." - William Ewart Gladstone, 1858 Abstract 1The paper empirically evaluates the role of financial structures in economic development of India. An assessment of various indicators of financial development reveals that both the

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 01 Banking Stability - A Precursor to Financial Stability@Rabi N. Mishra, S. Majumdar and Dimple Bhandia Abstract *This paper focuses on constructing a Banking Stability Map and Indicator and deducing the linkages with the financial markets and macroeconomic variables. In addition, an attempt has been made to establish the direction of causality between stability of the banking sector and overall financial stability. We attem

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 18 Estimating Impacts of Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand in India@Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam Abstract 1Using a structural VAR model on quarterly data from 2000Q1 to 2011Q1, this paper estimated the impact of monetary policy on aggregate demand in India. The overall impact on aggregate demand is then decomposed to observe the differential impact among the various components. It finds that an interest rate hike has a signific

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 17 Asset Liability Mismatches1 (ALMi) in the Indian Banking Sector – The Extent, Persistence and Reasons2 @Rakhe P.B. 3High growth observed in infrastructure loans during the recent years prompted the study to analyse the ALMi positive gap of the banking sector. During the period under study, March 2006 to September 2010, the banking sector reported ALMi positive gap to the extent of 14 per cent of long-term assets indicating

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 16 Sustainable Level of India’s Current Account Deficit@Rajan Goyal* The paper estimates sustainable level of current account deficit (CAD) for India by applying a model akin to `Domar’s Model of Debt Sustainability’ to the threshold level of net external liabilities that economy should not breach to ensure stability of the external sector. Probit analysis based on a select panel of market economies was used to arrive at the

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 15 Sovereign Debt Management and Monetary Policy in India: An Empirical Investigation of Conflict of Interest Argument @Sunil Kumar and N.R.V.V.M.K. Rajendra Kumar Abstract *Based on the conflict of interest argument, separation of SDM from Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has often been suggested, as both these functions vest with RBI. The main thrust of this argument is that cost minimisation for government’s market borrowing p

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 13 Fiscal Stance, Credibility and Inflation Persistence in India @Pankaj Kumar and Pratik Mitra Abstract †In the recent past India has experienced high and persistent inflation. In response the Reserve Bank of India cumulatively raised the cash reserve ratio by 100 basis points and the policy rate (repo rate) by 375 basis points between January 2010 and October 2011. Despite these policy actions, the inflation rate however c