The stock of external debt at end-March 2021 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (old format) and II (IMF format)1. The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-March 2021 are presented below. Highlights
- At end-March 2021, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 570.0 billion, recording an increase of US$ 11.5 billion over its level at end-March 2020 (Table 1).
- The external debt to GDP ratio increased to 21.1 per cent at end-March 2021 from 20.6 per cent at end-March 2020.
- Valuation loss due to the depreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis Indian rupee and major currencies such as euro, SDR2 and pound sterling was placed at US$ 6.8 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, the increase in external debt would have been US$ 4.7 billion instead of US$ 11.5 billion at end-March 2021 over end-March 2020.
- Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 37.4 per cent, followed by non-resident deposits (24.9 per cent) and short-term trade credit (17.1 per cent).
- At end-March 2021, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 468.9 billion, recording an increase of US$ 17.3 billion over its level at end-March 2020.
- The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined to 17.7 per cent at end-March 2021 from 19.1 per cent at end-March 2020; the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 17.5 per cent at end-March 2021 (22.4 per cent at end-March 2020).
-
Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 44.6 per cent of total external debt at end-March 2021 (42.4 per cent at end-March 2020) and stood at 44.1 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (49.6 per cent at end-March 2020) (Table 2).
-
US dollar denominated debt remained the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 52.1 per cent at end-March 2021, followed by the Indian rupee (33.3 per cent), yen (5.8 per cent), SDR (4.4 per cent) and the euro (3.5 per cent).
- The borrower-wise classification shows that the outstanding debt of both government and non-government sectors increased at end-March 2021 (Table 3).
- The share of outstanding debt of non-financial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 40.4 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (28.2 per cent), general government (18.8 per cent) and other financial corporations (8.1 per cent).
- The instrument-wise classification shows that the loans were the largest component of external debt, with a share of 34.8 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (25.2 per cent), trade credit and advances (17.6 per cent) and debt securities (17.0 per cent) (Table 4).
- Debt service (principal repayments plus interest payments) increased to 8.2 per cent of current receipts at end-March 2021 as compared with 6.5 per cent at end-March 2020, reflecting higher repayments and lower current receipts (Table 5).
(Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager Press Release: 2021-2022/455
Table 1: External Debt - Outstanding and Variation |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
Outstanding as at end-March |
Absolute variation |
Percentage variation |
2019 R |
2020 PR |
2021 P |
Mar-20 over Mar-19 |
Mar-21 over Mar-20 |
Mar-20 over Mar-19 |
Mar-21 over Mar-20 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1. Multilateral |
57.4 |
59.9 |
69.7 |
2.5 |
9.7 |
4.4 |
16.3 |
2. Bilateral |
26.6 |
28.1 |
31.0 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
5.4 |
10.4 |
3. IMF |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
-1.7 |
3.8 |
4. Trade Credit |
7.7 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
-0.8 |
-0.5 |
-9.7 |
-6.8 |
5. Commercial Borrowings |
205.8 |
219.5 |
213.2 |
13.7 |
-6.3 |
6.7 |
-2.9 |
6. Non-resident Deposits |
130.4 |
130.6 |
141.9 |
0.2 |
11.3 |
0.1 |
8.7 |
7. Rupee Debt |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
-11.7 |
-4.6 |
8. Short-term Debt |
108.4 |
106.9 |
101.1 |
-1.5 |
-5.8 |
-1.4 |
-5.4 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Trade Credit |
102.4 |
101.4 |
97.3 |
-1.0 |
-4.1 |
-1.0 |
-4.1 |
Total Debt |
543.1 |
558.4 |
570.0 |
15.3 |
11.5 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ |
434.7 |
451.6 |
468.9 |
16.8 |
17.3 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# |
108.4 |
106.9 |
101.1 |
-1.5 |
-5.8 |
-1.4 |
-5.4 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
@: Debt with original maturity of above one year. |
#: Debt with original maturity of up to one year. |
Table 2: Residual Maturity of Outstanding External Debt as at end-March 2021 |
(US$ billion) |
Sector |
Short-term up to one year |
1 to 2 years |
2 to 3 years |
More than 3 years |
Total (2 to 5) |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
I. General Government |
6.3 |
7.8 |
8.3 |
84.9 |
107.2 |
I.A. Short-term Debt |
0.3 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
I.B. Long-term Debt |
6.0 |
7.8 |
8.3 |
84.9 |
107.0 |
II. Central Bank |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
II.A. Short-term Debt |
0.2 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
II.B. Long-term Debt |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
III. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank |
108.2 |
19.9 |
9.8 |
22.9 |
160.7 |
III.A. Short-term Debt |
1.7 |
|
|
|
1.7 |
III.B. Long-term Debt |
106.5 |
19.9 |
9.8 |
22.9 |
159.1 |
IV. Other Sectors |
134.0 |
27.1 |
30.9 |
84.6 |
276.6 |
IV.A. Short-term Debt |
99.0 |
|
|
|
99.0 |
IV.B. Long-term Debt |
35.0 |
27.1 |
30.9 |
84.6 |
177.6 |
IV.1. Other financial corporations |
6.0 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
20.2 |
46.4 |
IV.1.A. Short-term Debt |
1.7 |
|
|
|
1.7 |
IV.1.B. Long-term Debt |
4.3 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
20.2 |
44.7 |
IV.2. Non-financial corporations |
127.9 |
17.6 |
20.1 |
64.4 |
230.1 |
IV.2.A. Short-term Debt |
97.3 |
|
|
|
97.3 |
IV.2.B. Long-term Debt |
30.7 |
17.6 |
20.1 |
64.4 |
132.9 |
IV.3. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
IV.3.A. Short-term Debt |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
IV.3.B. Long-term Debt |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
V. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
5.6 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
13.5 |
25.3 |
A. Total Short-term Debt |
101.1 |
|
|
|
101.1 |
B. Total Long-term Debt |
153.2 |
57.6 |
52.2 |
205.9 |
468.9 |
C. Total Debt (A+B) |
254.3 |
57.6 |
52.2 |
205.9 |
570.0 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt |
|
|
|
|
44.6 |
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Foreign Exchange Reserves |
|
|
|
|
44.1 |
Table 3: Government and Non-government External Debt |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
End-March |
2018 |
2019 R |
2020 PR |
2021 P |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
A. Government Debt (I+II) |
111.9 |
103.8 |
100.9 |
107.2 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(4.3) |
(3.8) |
(3.7) |
(4.0) |
I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance |
68.6 |
68.8 |
72.7 |
84.5 |
II. Other Government External Debt @ |
43.4 |
35.0 |
28.1 |
22.7 |
B. Non-government Debt |
417.3 |
439.3 |
457.6 |
462.8 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(15.9) |
(16.1) |
(16.9) |
(17.1) |
B.1. Central Bank |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
B.2. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank |
154.6 |
164.3 |
158.2 |
160.7 |
B.3. Other Financial Corporations |
26.4 |
31.2 |
40.9 |
46.4 |
B.4. Non-financial Corporations |
220.4 |
226.4 |
235.4 |
230.1 |
B.5. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
B.6. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
15.7 |
17.1 |
22.8 |
25.3 |
C. Total Debt (A+B) |
529.3 |
543.1 |
558.4 |
570.0 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(20.1) |
(19.9) |
(20.6) |
(21.1) |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
@: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in Treasury Bills/government securities by FPIs, foreign central banks and international institutions and IMF. |
Table 4: Outstanding External Debt by Instruments |
(US$ billion) |
Instrument |
End-March |
2018 |
2019 R |
2020 PR |
2021 P |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1. Special Drawing Rights (allocations) |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
2. Currency and Deposits |
127.6 |
134.4 |
134.1 |
143.8 |
3. Debt Securities |
98.3 |
91.9 |
97.5 |
96.7 |
4. Loans |
178.7 |
189.0 |
194.3 |
198.3 |
5. Trade Credit and Advances |
103.2 |
105.2 |
104.3 |
100.3 |
6. Other Debt Liabilities |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
15.7 |
17.1 |
22.8 |
25.3 |
Total Debt |
529.3 |
543.1 |
558.4 |
570.0 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
Table 5: India’s Key External Debt Indicators |
(Per cent, unless indicated otherwise) |
End-March |
External Debt (US$ billion) |
Ratio of External Debt to GDP |
Debt Service Ratio |
Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt |
Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt |
Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Foreign Exchange Reserves |
Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Total Debt |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1991 |
83.8 |
28.3 |
35.3 |
7.0 |
45.9 |
146.5 |
10.2 |
1996 |
93.7 |
26.6 |
26.2 |
23.1 |
44.7 |
23.2 |
5.4 |
2001 |
101.3 |
22.1 |
16.6 |
41.7 |
35.4 |
8.6 |
3.6 |
2006 |
139.1 |
17.1 |
10.1# |
109.0 |
28.4 |
12.9 |
14.0 |
2007 |
172.4 |
17.7 |
4.7 |
115.6 |
23.0 |
14.1 |
16.3 |
2008 |
224.4 |
18.3 |
4.8 |
138.0 |
19.7 |
14.8 |
20.4 |
2009 |
224.5 |
20.7 |
4.4 |
112.2 |
18.7 |
17.2 |
19.3 |
2010 |
260.9 |
18.5 |
5.8 |
106.9 |
16.8 |
18.8 |
20.1 |
2011 |
317.9 |
18.6 |
4.4 |
95.9 |
14.9 |
21.3 |
20.4 |
2012 |
360.8 |
21.1 |
6.0 |
81.6 |
13.3 |
26.6 |
21.7 |
2013 |
409.4 |
22.4 |
5.9 |
71.3 |
11.1 |
33.1 |
23.6 |
2014 |
446.2 |
23.9 |
5.9 |
68.2 |
10.4 |
30.1 |
20.5 |
2015 |
474.7 |
23.8 |
7.6 |
72.0 |
8.8 |
25.0 |
18.0 |
2016 |
484.8 |
23.4 |
8.8 |
74.3 |
9.0 |
23.2 |
17.2 |
2017 |
471.0 |
19.8 |
8.3 |
78.5 |
9.4 |
23.8 |
18.7 |
2018 |
529.3 |
20.1 |
7.5 |
80.2 |
9.1 |
24.1 |
19.3 |
2019 R |
543.1 |
19.9 |
6.4 |
76.0 |
8.7 |
26.3 |
20.0 |
2020 PR |
558.4 |
20.6 |
6.5 |
85.6 |
8.8 |
22.4 |
19.1 |
2021 P |
570.0 |
21.1 |
8.2 |
101.2 |
9.1 |
17.5 |
17.7 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
# works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million. |
|