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Quarterly Order Books, Inventories and Capacity Utilisation Survey (OBICUS) January-March 2014 (25th Round)

The Order Books, Inventories and Capacity Utilisation Survey (OBICUS) captures actual data from the companies in the manufacturing sector. This round of OBICUS, which is 25th round in the series, captures data for Q4:2013-14. In all, 1,049 common (for last five quarters) manufacturing companies (Government: 38, Public: 736 and Private: 275) responded in this round of survey. The analysis is based on the data on order books, inventory levels for raw materials & finished goods, and capacity utilisation, received from these common set of companies.

Highlights:

Capacity Utilisation (CU): CU, at the aggregate recorded seasonal increase and stood at 75.5 per cent in Q4:2013-14 as against 74.6 per cent in the previous quarter. However, it was lower when compared with the corresponding quarter of the previous year (78.0 per cent). The CU and de-trended IIP-Manufacturing is given in Chart 1.

1

Order Books: The new orders declined in Q4:2013-14 over the previous quarter by 1.5 per cent. On a y-o-y basis, it grew at a slower rate (7.4 per cent) as compared to previous quarter (12.7 per cent) (Chart 2).

2

Inventory to Sales Ratio: Finished goods inventory to sales ratio as well as raw material inventory to sales ratio continued to decline in Q4:2013-14 (Chart 3).

3

ANNEX

Table 1: Order Books (Q4: 2012-13 to Q4: 2013-14)

Quarter ended

Amount in ` Billion

Q-o-Q growth (%)

Y-o-Y growth (%)

Avg Backlog order (436)

Avg New Order book (436)

Avg Pending order (436)

Avg Backlog order

Avg New Order book

Avg Pending order

Avg Backlog order

Avg New Order book

Avg Pending order

Q4:2012-13

1.358

1.238

1.261

-4.7

3.5

-9.1

2.6

-6.7

-7.6

Q1:2013-14

1.261

1.168

1.281

-7.1

-5.7

1.6

-7.3

-4.3

-10.8

Q2:2013-14

1.281

1.226

1.286

1.6

5.0

0.3

-10.8

4.3

-9.8

Q3:2013-14

1.285

1.348

1.343

0.3

10.0

4.4

-9.8

12.7

-3.3

Q4:2013-14

1.344

1.329

1.409

4.6

-1.5

4.9

-1.0

7.4

11.7

Figures in parentheses are number of companies reporting order books.


Table 2: IIP-Manufacturing and Capacity Utilisation (CU)

Quarter

IIP – Mfg (Qtly avg Base 2004-05)

De-trended Qtly IIP-Mfg

CU
(in latest survey round)

CU (Range from previous four survey rounds)

Q4:2012-13

197.2

11.9

78.0

75.7-78.0

Q1:2013-14

174.8

-11.6

71.9

71.1-73.4

Q2:2013-14

178.4

-9.2

74.3

73.7-74.3

Q3:2013-14

180.2

-8.5

74.6

73.8-74.6

Q4:2013-14

194.2

4.4

75.5

NA

NA: Not applicable


Table 3: Average Sales and Inventories and their ratios (Q4: 2012-13 to Q4: 2013-14)

Quarter ended

Amount in ` Billion

Ratio in per cent

Avg Sales (879)

Avg
Total Inv
(879)

Avg
FG Inv
(879)

Avg
WiP Inv
(879)

Avg RM Inv

Total Inv/Sales

FG Inv/Sales

RM Inv/Sales

Q4:2012-13

3.821

2.221

0.718

0.354

1.149

58.1

18.8

30.1

Q1:2013-14

3.628

2.233

0.727

0.365

1.140

61.5

20.0

31.4

Q2:2013-14

4.004

2.357

0.754

0.396

1.207

58.9

18.8

30.2

Q3:2013-14

4.123

2.298

0.710

0.402

1.187

55.7

17.2

28.8

Q4:2013-14

4.342

2.290

0.722

0.400

1.168

52.7

16.6

26.9

Figures in parentheses are number of companies reporting inventories.
RM: Raw Material;  WiP: Work in progress;   FG: Finished Goods


1 The 24rd round (Q3:2013-14) survey results were released on April 1, 2014 with the publication “Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments 2014-15 (An Update)” on the RBI Website. The survey results are those of the respondents and are not necessarily shared by the Reserve Bank of India.

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