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103527849

India’s External Debt as at the end of June 2023

The stock of external debt at end-June 2023 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (IMF format1) and II (old format). The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-June 2023 are presented below.

Highlights

  1. At end-June 2023, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 629.1 billion, recording an increase of US$ 4.7 billion over its level at end-March 2023 (Table 1).

  2. The external debt to GDP ratio declined to 18.6 per cent at end-June 2023 from 18.8 per cent at end-March 2023.

  3. Valuation effect due to the appreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis the major currencies such as yen and SDR2 amounted to US$ 3.1 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, external debt would have increased by US$ 7.8 billion instead of US$ 4.7 billion at end-June 2023 over end-March 2023.

  4. At end-June 2023, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 505.5 billion, recording an increase of US$ 9.6 billion over its level at end-March 2023.

  5. The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined to 19.6 per cent at end-June 2023 from 20.6 per cent at end-March 2023. Similarly, the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 20.8 per cent at end-June 2023 (22.2 per cent at end-March 2023).

  6. Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 42.8 per cent of total external debt at end-June 2023 (44.0 per cent at end-March 2023) and stood at 45.3 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (47.4 per cent at end-March 2023) (Table 2).

  7. US dollar-denominated debt remained the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 54.4 per cent at end-June 2023, followed by debt denominated in the Indian rupee (30.4 per cent), SDR (5.9 per cent), yen (5.7 per cent), and the euro (3.0 per cent).

  8. Outstanding debt of the general government decreased, while non-government debt increased at end-June 2023 (Table 3).

  9. The share of outstanding debt of non-financial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 39.8 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (26.6 per cent), general government (21.1 per cent) and other financial corporations (7.6 per cent).

  10. Loans remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 32.9 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (22.9 per cent), trade credit and advances (19.0 per cent) and debt securities (16.8 per cent) (Table 4).

  11. Debt service (i.e., principal repayments and interest payments) increased to 6.8 per cent of current receipts at end-June 2023 as compared with 5.3 per cent at end-March 2023, reflecting higher debt service (Table 5).

(Yogesh Dayal)     
Chief General Manager

Press Release: 2023-2024/1010


Table 1: External Debt – Outstanding and Variation
(US$ billion, unless indicated otherwise)
Sector Outstanding as at end of Absolute Variation Percentage Variation
June 2022 PR March 2023 PR June 2023 P June 2023 over June 2022 June 2023 over March 2023 June 2023 over June 2022 June 2023 over March 2023
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
I. General Government 127.7 133.3 132.8 5.1 -0.6 4.0 -0.4
II. Central Bank 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 62.5 47.5
III. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank 157.0 163.4 167.2 10.2 3.8 6.5 2.3
IV. Other Sectors 300.3 298.0 298.1 -2.3 0.0 -0.8 0.0
     IV.1. Other financial corporations 49.9 55.0 47.7 -2.2 -7.2 -4.4 -13.2
     IV.2. Non-financial corporations 250.4 243.1 250.3 -0.1 7.2 0.0 3.0
     IV.3. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -21.3 -4.0
V. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending 27.7 29.5 30.9 3.2 1.5 11.6 4.9
Total Debt (I to V) 612.8 624.3 629.1 16.3 4.7 2.7 0.8
Memo Items:              
A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ 486.8 496.0 505.5 18.7 9.6 3.8 1.9
B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# 126.1 128.4 123.6 -2.5 -4.8 -2.0 -3.7
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional.
@: Debt with original maturity of above one year.
#: Debt with original maturity of up to one year.
Note: Figures may not add up to total due to rounding off.
 
Table 2: Residual Maturity of Outstanding External Debt as at end-June 2023
(US$ billion, unless indicated otherwise)
Sector Short-term up to one year 1 to 2 years 2 to 3 years More than 3 years Total
(2 to 5)
1 2 3 4 5 6
I. General Government 8.1 9.8 9.9 105.0 132.8
     I.A. Short-term Debt 0.4 0.4
     I.B. Long-term Debt 7.7 9.8 9.9 105.0 132.3
II. Central Bank 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
     II.A. Short-term Debt 0.2 0.2
     II.B. Long-term Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
III. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank 98.2 28.2 10.7 30.0 167.2
     III.A. Short-term Debt 2.5 2.5
     III.B. Long-term Debt 95.7 28.2 10.7 30.0 164.6
IV. Other Sectors 156.6 29.8 19.9 91.8 298.1
     IV.A. Short-term Debt 120.4 120.4
     IV.B. Long-term Debt 36.2 29.8 19.9 91.8 177.6
       IV.1. Other financial corporations 10.6 5.3 6.9 24.9 47.7
         IV.1.A. Short-term Debt 1.5 1.5
         IV.1.B. Long-term Debt 9.1 5.3 6.9 24.9 46.2
       IV.2. Non-financial corporations 145.9 24.5 13.0 66.9 250.3
         IV.2.A. Short-term Debt 118.9 118.9
         IV.2.B. Long-term Debt 27.0 24.5 13.0 66.9 131.4
       IV.3. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
         IV.3.A. Short-term Debt 0.0 0.0
         IV.3.B. Long-term Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
V. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending 6.4 4.7 3.9 15.9 30.9
A. Total Short-term Debt 123.6 123.6
B. Total Long-term Debt 146.0 72.5 44.3 242.7 505.5
C. Total Debt (A+B) 269.5 72.5 44.3 242.7 629.1
Memo Items:          
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt 42.8
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Foreign Exchange Reserves 45.3
Note: Figures may not add up to total due to rounding off.  
 
Table 3: Government and Non-government External Debt
(US$ billion, unless indicated otherwise)
Component End-March End-June
2021 2022 PR 2023 PR 2023 P
1 2 3 4 5
A. Government Debt (I+II) 111.6 130.8 133.3 132.8
     (As percentage of GDP) (4.1) (4.2) (4.0) (3.9)
     I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance 84.5 86.7 91.1 90.2
     II. Other Government External Debt@ 27.1 44.1 42.3 42.6
B. Non-government Debt 461.8 488.2 491.0 496.3
     (As percentage of GDP) (17.0) (15.8) (14.8) (14.7)
     B.1. Central Bank 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
     B.2. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank 160.8 160.4 163.4 167.2
     B.3. Other Financial Corporations 55.2 51.0 55.0 47.7
     B.4. Non-financial Corporations 220.4 249.0 243.1 250.3
     B.5. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
     B.6. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending 25.2 27.7 29.5 30.9
C. Total Debt (A+B) 573.4 619.0 624.3 629.1
     (As percentage of GDP) (21.1) (20.0) (18.8) (18.6)
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional.
@: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in treasury bills/government securities by foreign portfolio investors, foreign central banks and international institutions, and SDR allocations by the IMF.
Note: Figures may not add up to total due to rounding off.
 
Table 4: Outstanding External Debt by Instruments
(US$ billion)
Instrument End-March End-June
2021 2022 PR 2023 PR 2023 P
1 2 3 4 5
1. Special Drawing Rights (allocations) 5.6 22.9 22.3 22.0
2. Currency and Deposits 143.8 141.0 141.1 144.1
3. Debt Securities 106.9 112.6 104.6 105.7
4. Loans 191.9 197.0 202.6 207.1
5. Trade Credit and Advances 100.0 117.8 124.3 119.3
6. Other Debt Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending 25.2 27.7 29.5 30.9
Total Debt 573.4 619.0 624.3 629.1
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional.
Note: Figures may not add up to total due to rounding off.
 
Table 5: India’s Key External Debt Indicators
(Per cent, unless indicated otherwise)
End-March External Debt
(US$ billion)
Ratio of External Debt to GDP Debt Service Ratio Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt Ratio of Short-term Debt
(original maturity) to Foreign Exchange Reserves
Ratio of Short-term Debt
(original maturity) to Total Debt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1991 83.8 28.3 35.3 7.0 45.9 146.5 10.2
1996 93.7 26.6 26.2 23.1 44.7 23.2 5.4
2001 101.3 22.1 16.6 41.7 35.4 8.6 3.6
2006 139.1 17.1 10.1# 109.0 28.4 12.9 14.0
2007 172.4 17.7 4.7 115.6 23.0 14.1 16.3
2008 224.4 18.3 4.8 138.0 19.7 14.8 20.4
2009 224.5 20.7 4.4 112.2 18.7 17.2 19.3
2010 260.9 18.5 5.8 106.9 16.8 18.8 20.1
2011 317.9 18.6 4.4 95.9 14.9 21.3 20.4
2012 360.8 21.1 6.0 81.6 13.3 26.6 21.7
2013 409.4 22.4 5.9 71.3 11.1 33.1 23.6
2014 446.2 23.9 5.9 68.2 10.4 30.1 20.5
2015 474.7 23.8 7.6 72.0 8.8 25.0 18.0
2016 484.8 23.4 8.8 74.3 9.0 23.2 17.2
2017 471.0 19.8 8.3 78.5 9.4 23.8 18.7
2018 529.3 20.1 7.5 80.2 9.1 24.1 19.3
2019 543.1 19.9 6.4 76.0 8.7 26.3 20.0
2020 558.3 20.9 6.5 85.6 8.8 22.4 19.1
2021 573.4 21.1 8.2 100.6 9.0 17.5 17.6
2022 PR 619.0 20.0 5.2 98.1 8.3 20.0 19.7
2023 PR 624.3 18.8 5.3 92.6 8.2 22.2 20.6
End-June 2023 P 629.1 18.6 6.8 94.6 7.8 20.8 19.6
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional.
# works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million.

1 The concepts set out in the IMF’s 2013 External Debt Statistics (EDS) Guide are harmonized with those of the System of National Accounts (SNA) 2008 and the sixth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6) published in 2009.

2 SDR: Special Drawing Rights.

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