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78097379

India's External Debt as at the end of March 2005

Major Highlights

  • India’s total external debt is placed at US $ 123.3 billion at the end of March 2005 (Chart 1).
  • In nominal terms the external debt stock increased by US $ 11.6 billion (10.4 per cent) during 2004-05 - the highest accretion in any single year starting from 1990-91.

  • The US dollar continued to dominate the currency composition of India’s external debt (Chart 2).

  • External commercial borrowings (ECB), trade credits (short-term and long-term), multilateral debt and NRI deposits were the key drivers to the growth in the external debt stock.

  • Bilateral and rupee debt have recorded a decline (Chart 3).

  • The rise in ECB by around US $ 5 billion during the year reflected strong investment demand domestically as well as favourable financing conditions overseas.

  • ECB mainly took the form of syndicated loans and issues of bonds including foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs), as spreads on emerging market bonds narrowed down substantially.

  • Short-term debt recorded the highest growth (69.8 per cent) during the year reflecting the sharp rise in both POL and non-POL imports (Table 1).

  • External assistance (both concessional and non- concessional) to the Government from multilateral agencies increased substantially during 2004-05.

Table 1: Variation in External Debt by Components

Item

At the end-of

Variation during the year

 

March 05

March 04

 

 

 

 

Share in

 

Share in

Absolute

Percentage

 

Amount

total debt

Amount

total debt

variation

variation

 

(US $ million)

(Per cent)

(US $ million)

(Per cent)

(US $ million)

(Per cent

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Multilateral

31763

25.8

29288

26.2

2475

8.5

Bilateral

17222

14.0

17278

15.5

-56

-0.3

IMF

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

Trade Credit

4960

4.0

4680

4.2

280

6.0

Commercial Borrowings

26942

21.8

22101

19.8

4841

21.9

NRI Deposits (long-term)

32599

26.4

31216

27.9

1383

4.4

Rupee Debt

2300

1.9

2721

2.4

-421

-15.5

Long-Term Debt (1 to 7)

115786

93.9

107284

96.0

8502

7.9

Short-Term Debt

7524

6.1

4431

4.0

3093

69.8

Total Debt (8+9)

123310

100

111715

100

11595

10.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • There was a prepayment of debt amounting to US $ 35.1 million in 2004-05 as compared with prepayments of US $ 3.8 billion and US $ 2.9 billion in 2003-04 and 2002-03, respectively.

Indicators of External Debt

  • The ratio of short-term to total debt posted a modest rise. This was also reflected in an upward movement in the ratio of short-term debt to foreign exchange reserves (Table 2).

Table 2: Indicators of Debt Sustainability

Indicators

End-Mar 05

End-Mar 04

Concessional debt/Total debt(%)

33.5

36.1

Short-term/Total debt (%)

6.1

4.0

Short-term debt/Reserves (%)

5.3

3.9

Reserves/ Total debt (%)

114.8

101.1

External Debt / GDP (%)

17.4

17.8

 

  • India’s foreign exchange reserves exceeded the external debt by US $ 18.2 billion providing a cover of 114.8 per cent to the external debt stock at the end of March 2005 (Chart 4).

Full details of the evolution of the debt stock over the period March 2004 to March 2005 are set out in Statement 1 and 2.

P.V. Sadanandan
Manager

Press Release: 2004-2005/1392

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