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83061904

India's External Debt for Quarter End-June 2003

Introduction

According to the present arrangement, India's external debt statistics are published for four reference periods in a fiscal year viz., for end-June [in Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monthly Bulletin], end-March [in RBI Annual Report], end-September [in Economic Survey, Ministry of Finance (MoF), Government of India (GoI)], and end-December [in 'India's External Debt: A Status Report', MoF, GoI].

External Debt at end-June 2003

India's external debt at US $ 109.6 billion as on end-June 2003 increased by US $ 5.0 billion (i.e., by 4.8 per cent) from US $ 104.6 billion at end-March 2003 (Table-1). Detailed data on external debt for quarter ending June 2003 as also for the earlier four quarters (June 2002, September 2002, December 2002 and March 2003) are set out in Statement 1 and 2.

Component-wise analysis reveals that all components of external debt, except rupee debt, increased in absolute terms during the quarter ended June 2003 over the previous quarter. As a proportion of total debt, the share of NRI deposits, external commercial borrowing and short-term debt recorded increases (Chart-1).

Table 1 : India's External Debt


 

Item

At the end of


Variation during

   

June-2003


March-2003


the Quarter


   

Amount

Share in

Amount

Share in

   
   

(US $

total debt

(US $

total debt

Absolute

Percentage

   

million)

(per cent)

million)

(per cent)

variation

variation


 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)


1.

Multilateral

30,197

27.6

29,928

28.6

269

0.9

2.

Bilateral

17,034

15.5

16,812

16.1

222

1.3

3.

IMF

0

0

4.

Export Credit

5,019

4.6

4,951

4.7

68

1.4

5.

Commercial borrowings #

23,449

21.4

22,316

21.3

1,133

5.1

6.

NRI Deposits (long-term)

25,441

23.2

23,160

22.2

2281

9.8

7.

Rupee debt

2,604

2.4

2,815

2.7

-211

-7.5

8.

Long Term-Debt (1to 7)

1,03,744

94.7

99,982

95.6

3,762

3.8

9.

Short-Term Debt *

5,834

5.3

4,569

4.4

1,265

27.7

10.

Total Debt (8+9)

1,09,578

100

1,04,551

100

5,027

4.8


# Includes net investment by 100 % FII debt funds. * Excludes suppliers' credit of up to 180 days.

The share of multilateral and bilateral debt in India's total external debt declined from 28.6 per cent to 27.6 per cent and from 16.1 per cent to 15.5 per cent between end-March 2003 and end-June 2003, respectively. The share of commercial borrowings to total debt, however, remained broadly stable at 21.4 per cent at end-June 2003 as against 21.3 per cent at end- March 2003. The share of rupee debt in total debt continued its downward trajectory and declined from 2.7 per cent at end-March 2003 to 2.4 per cent at end-June 2003.

As a sequel to the decision to discontinue the Non-Resident Non-Repatriable Rupee Deposit [NR(NR)RD] scheme with effect from April 1, 2002 and to credit the maturity proceeds of NR(NR)RD to the account holder's NonResident External Rupee Account (NRE), there has been a steady increase in the proportion of debt under long-term non-resident deposits. It has increased from 22.2 per cent at end-March 2003 to 23.2 per cent at end-June 2003. Share of export credits to total debt declined marginally from 4.7 per cent at end-March 2003 to 4.6 per cent at end- June 2003.

Short-term debt increased significantly from US $ 4.6 billion at end-March 2003 to US $ 5.8 billion at end-June 2003, due to an increase in both components of short-term debt, viz., non-resident deposits and short-term trade credits (Chart-2). The increase in short-term trade credit reflects the spurt in imports in India during the quarter. The decision taken by the Reserve Bank of India in its Monetary and Credit Policy, April 2003, to discontinue the short-term NRI deposit Scheme is expected to reduce the short-term NRI debt in the following quarters.

Debt Indicators

Concessional debt as a proportion of total debt shows a decline from 36.9 per cent at end-March 2003 to 35.5 per cent at end-June 2003. The size of short-term debt remained modest, both in regard to total debt and reserves. Short-term debt as proportions of total debt and foreign exchange reserves increased to 5.3 per cent and 7.1 per cent at end- June 2003 as against 4.4 per cent and 6.1 per cent, respectively, at end-March 2003 (Statement-1, Chart-3).

 

Statement 1 : India’s External Debt Outstanding

             

(Rs. crores)


 

Item

 

Jun-02


Sep-02


Dec-02


Mar-03


Jun-03


 

1

 

2

3

4

5

6


I.

MULTILATERAL

157964

155552

156499

142167

140368

               

A.

Government borrowing

142871

140881

143182

129373

128191

 

i)

Concessional

101406

100399

102039

102367

101621

   

a) IDA

100005

98997

100596

100933

100165

   

b) Others

1401

1402

1443

1434

1456

 

ii)

Non-concessional

41465

40482

41143

27006

26570

   

a) IBRD

27955

27153

27074

19010

18668

   

b) Others

13510

13329

14069

7996

7902

               

B.

Non-Government borrowing

15093

14671

13317

12794

12177

 

i)

Concessional

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

15093

14671

13317

12794

12177

   

a) Public sector

10208

10077

9200

9148

8566

   

IBRD

5741

5255

4393

4379

4364

   

Others

4467

4822

4807

4769

4202

   

b) Financial institutions

3738

3613

3579

3126

3102

   

IBRD

1045

1001

962

585

517

   

Others

2693

2612

2617

2541

2585

   

c) Private sector

1147

981

538

520

509

   

IBRD

931

771

315

297

291

   

Others

216

210

223

223

218

               

II.

BILATERAL

81143

78619

79919

79869

79180

               

A.

Government borrowing

60631

58944

59768

60096

59808

 

i)

Concessional

60058

58377

59205

59541

59403

 

ii)

Non-concessional

573

567

563

555

405

               

B.

Non-Government borrowing

20512

19675

20151

19773

19372

 

i)

Concessional

7795

7644

7855

7965

7802

   

a) Public sector

4900

4830

4988

5108

4949

   

b) Financial institutions

2895

2814

2867

2857

2853

   

c) Private sector

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

12717

12031

12296

11808

11570

   

a) Public sector

5485

5318

5587

5270

5304

   

b) Financial institutions

4009

3743

3737

3569

3305

   

c) Private sector

3223

2970

2972

2969

2961

               

III.

INTERNATIONAL

         
 

MONETARY FUND

0

0

0

0

0

               

IV.

EXPORT CREDIT

26174

23996

24030

23519

23332

 

a)

Buyers’ credit

15609

13746

13649

13373

13388

 

b)

Suppliers’ credit

5342

5174

5233

4969

4779

 

c)

Export credit component

         
   

of bilateral credit

5223

5076

5148

5177

5165

 

d)

Export credit for

         
   

defence purchases

0

0

0

0

0

               

V.

COMMERCIAL BORROWING

112889

108877

107670

106014

109000

 

a)

Commercial bank loans #

48289

46934

47018

46954

48093

 

b)

Securitized borrowings ##

62079

59491

58237

56613

58034

   

(inclu. IDBs and FCCBs)

         
 

c)

Loans/securitized

         
   

borrowings, etc.

         
   

with multilateral/bilateral

         
   

guarantee and IFC(W)

2521

2452

2415

2447

2873

 

d)

Self Liquidating Loans

0

0

0

0

0

               

VI.

NRI & FC(B&O) Deposits

90991

100591

104941

110022

118262

 

(above one-year maturity)

         
 

a)

NRI deposits@ ###

90991

100591

104941

110022

118262

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits

0

0

0

0

0

               

VII.

Rupee Debt *

14227

13565

13459

13372

12105

 

a)

Defence

12648

11988

12000

11915

10679

 

b)

Civilian

1579

1577

1459

1457

1426

               

VIII.

TOTAL LONG-TERM DEBT

483388

481200

486518

474963

482247

 

(I to VII)

         
               

IX.

SHORT-TERM DEBT

15112

14744

18429

21705

27119

 

a)

NRI deposits ###

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

6070

4576

8391

9320

10766

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits #

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

0

0

0

0

0

 

c)

Others (trade related) **

9042

10168

10038

12385

16353

   

of which short-term debt

         
   

of 6 months

         
               

X.

GROSS TOTAL(VIII+IX)

498500

495944

504947

496668

509366

 

Memo Items

         
 

Concessional Debt***

183486

179985

182558

183245

180931

 

As % of Total Debt

36.8

36.3

36.1

36.9

35.5

 

Short Term Debt

15112

14744

18429

21705

27119

 

As % of Total Debt

3.0

3.0

3.7

4.4

5.3


IFC(W) : International Finance Corporation (Washington). FC(B&O) Deposits:Foreign Currency(Banks & Others) Deposits # : Includes financial lease since 1996. ## : Includes Resurgent India Bonds (RIBs), India Millenium Deposits (IMDs). Also includes Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) and net investment by 100% FII debt funds. FCCB debt has been adjusted since End-March,1998 after netting out conversion into equity and redemptions. @ The estimated NRI deposits do not include Non-Resident Non-Repatriable Deposits (NRNRD) which is not repatriable and which has been discontinued w.e.f. April 1, 2002. However, interest service for NRNRD, which is repatriable,is included as part of debt service payment. ### Figures include accrued interest. * Rupee denominated debt owed to Russia and payable through exports. ** This does not include suppliers’ credit of up to 180 days since end-March 1984. *** The definition of concessional debt here includes concessional categories under multilateral and bilateral debt and rupee debt under item VII. Note : 1) Data for quarter ended December 2002 and March 2003 are revised. 2) Data for quarter ended June 2003 are quick estimates.


Statement 2 : India’s External Debt Outstanding

(US $ Million)


Item

   

Jun-02


Sep-02


Dec-02


Mar-03


Jun-03


1

   

2

3

4

5

6


I.

MULTILATERAL

32297

32126

32564

29928

30197

               

A.

Government borrowing

29211

29096

29793

27234

27577

 

i)

Concessional

20733

20735

21232

21549

21861

   

a) IDA

20447

20446

20931

21247

21548

   

b) Others

286

289

301

302

313

 

ii)

Non-concessional

8478

8361

8561

5685

5716

   

a) IBRD

5716

5608

5633

4002

4016

   

b) Others

2762

2753

2928

1683

1700

               

B.

Non-Government borrowing

3086

3030

2771

2694

2620

 

i)

Concessional

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

3086

3030

2771

2694

2620

   

a) Public sector

2087

2081

1914

1926

1843

   

IBRD

1174

1085

914

922

939

   

Others

913

996

1000

1004

904

   

b) Financial institutions

765

746

745

658

667

   

IBRD

214

207

200

123

111

   

Others

551

539

545

535

556

   

c) Private sector

234

203

112

110

110

   

IBRD

190

159

66

63

63

   

Others

44

44

46

47

47

               

II.

BILATERAL

16592

16239

16630

16812

17034

               

A.

Government borrowing

12397

12174

12436

12651

12866

 

i)

Concessional

12280

12057

12319

12534

12779

 

ii)

Non-concessional

117

117

117

117

87

               

B.

Non-Government borrowing

4195

4065

4194

4161

4168

 

i)

Concessional

1594

1579

1634

1676

1679

   

a) Public sector

1002

998

1038

1075

1065

   

b) Financial institutions

592

581

596

601

614

   

c) Private sector

0

0

0

0

0

 

ii)

Non-concessional

2601

2486

2560

2485

2489

   

a) Public sector

1122

1099

1163

1109

1141

   

b) Financial institutions

820

773

778

751

711

   

c) Private sector

659

614

619

625

637

               

III.

INTERNATIONAL

         
 

MONETARY FUND

0

0

0

0

0

               

IV.

EXPORT CREDIT

5354

4959

5003

4951

5019

 

a)

Buyers’ credit

3193

2842

2842

2815

2880

 

b)

Suppliers’ credit

1093

1069

1090

1046

1028

 

c)

Export credit component

         
   

of bilateral credit

1068

1048

1071

1090

1111

 

d)

Export credit for

         
   

defence purchases

0

0

0

0

0

               

V.

COMMERCIAL BORROWING

23098

22507

22417

22316

23449

 

a)

Commercial bank loans #

9880

9702

9789

9884

10346

 

b)

Securitized borrowings ##

12702

12298

12125

11917

12485

   

(inclu. IDBs and FCCBs)

         
 

c)

Loans/securitized

         
   

borrowings, etc.

         
   

with multilateral/bilateral

         
   

guarantee and IFC(W)

516

507

503

515

618

 

d)

Self Liquidating Loans

0

0

0

0

0

               

VI.

NRI & FC(B&O) Deposits

18617

20794

21849

23160

25441

   

(above one-year maturity)

         
 

a)

NRI deposits@ ###

18617

20794

21849

23160

25441

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits

0

0

0

0

0

               

VII.

Rupee Debt *

2911

2804

2802

2815

2604

 

a)

Defence

2588

2478

2498

2508

2297

 

b)

Civilian

323

326

304

307

307

               

VIII.

TOTAL LONG-TERM DEBT

98869

99429

101265

99982

103744

 

(I to VII)

         
               

IX.

SHORT-TERM DEBT

3092

3048

3837

4569

5834

 

a)

NRI deposits ###

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

1242

946

1747

1962

2316

 

b)

FC(B&O) deposits #

         
   

(up to 1 year maturity)

0

0

0

0

0

 

c)

Others (trade related) **

1850

2102

2090

2607

3518

   

of which short-term debt

         
   

of 6 months

         
               

X.

GROSS TOTAL(VIII+IX)

101961

102477

105102

104551

109578

   

Memo Items

         
   

Concessional Debt***

37518

37175

37987

38574

38923

   

As % of Total Debt

36.8

36.3

36.1

36.9

35.5

   

Short Term Debt

3092

3048

3837

4569

5834

   

As % of Total Debt

3.0

3.0

3.7

4.4

5.3


IFC(W) : International Finance Corporation (Washington). FC(B&O) Deposits:Foreign Currency (Banks & Others) Deposits. # : Includes financial lease since 1996. ## : Includes Resurgent India Bonds (RIBs), India Millenium Deposits (IMDs). Also includes Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) and net investment by 100% FII debt funds. FCCB debt has been adjusted since End-March,1998 after netting out conversion into equity and redemptions. @ The estimated NRI deposits do not include Non-Resident Non-Repatriable Deposits(NRNRD) which is not repatriable and which has been discontinued w.e.f.April 1, 2002. However,interest service for NRNRD,which is repatriable,is included as part of debt service payment. ### Figures include accrued interest. * Rupee denominated debt owed to Russia and payable through exports. ** This does not include suppliers’ credit of up to 180 days since end-March 1984. *** The definition of concessional debt here includes concessional categories under multilateral and bilateral debt and rupee debt under item VII. Note : 1) Data for quarter ended December 2002 and March 2003 are revised. 2) Data for quarter ended June 2003 are quick estimates.


* Prepared in the Division of International Finance of the Department of Economic Analysis and Policy.

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