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جنوری 13, 2003
Business Cycles and Leading Indicators of Industrial Activity in India
Jaya Mohanty, Bhupal Singh and Rajeev Jain*The identification of business cycles in India and construction of a composite leading indicator for forecasting the cyclical turning points have been the focus of this study. The cyclical analysis of monthly index of industrial production (IIP) in India applying the Bry-Boschan procedure indicates that there have been 13 growth cycles in the Indian economy with varying durations during 1970-71 to 2001-02. While the average d
جنوری 13, 2003
Government Deficit and Inflation in India
A. Prasad and Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam*This study covering the period 1951-52 to 1999-2000 finds that government deficit has been an important cause for long-run inflationary trend in India. The estimates in the study, however, suggest that there is an optimal level of monetisation for a given level of government deficit and refutes the concern that monetisation of deficit is always inflationary. This is not to suggest in any way that there is more scope to finance go
جنوری 13, 2003
Anatomy of Liquidity Management
Indranil Sen Gupta, Indranil Bhattacharyya, Satyananda Sahoo and Siddhartha Sanyal*The management of liquidity poses a major challenge to the conduct of monetary policy in an environment of financial liberalisation. Recent research has attempted to assess liquidity conditions in the market for bank reserves in terms of central bank balance sheet flows. This paper constructs the concepts of autonomous liquidity (AL) and discretionary liquidity (DL) in the Indian contex
جنوری 13, 2003
Infrastructure and Economic Growth: An Empirical Examination
Satyananda Sahoo*This paper explores the relationship between the gross domestic product and stock of infrastructural services in India by estimating a vector autoregressive (VAR) model for the period 1970-71 to 2000-01. Various stocks of infrastructure viz., transport, electricity, gas, water supply and communication facilities are included as inputs in the model whereas gross domestic product at factor cost is considered as output in a Cobb-Douglas production functi
جنوری 13, 2003
Delay and Cost Escalation in Central Public Sector Projects
R.K. Jain*Delay and cost escalation in the implementation of public sector projects have been an area of concern. Such delays not only put additional burden on public finances, but also deprive the country of their beneficial effects in terms of their direct and indirect contribution to output and employment. In view of these far reaching consequences, an analysis of the typical implementation period, time and cost overruns and factors responsible for delay in large p
جنوری 13, 2003
Industrialisation and Globalisation: Theory and Evidence from Developing Countries John Weiss, Routledge, London and New York, 2002, pages 222.
Industrialisation has often been identified as the cornerstone in the tradition of ‘modern economic growth’ a la Kuznets and Clark. However, the development experience of a large number of developing countries including India runs counter to this conventional wisdom. The preponderance of services ahead of industry remains a major contrast to the development experience of the developed world, giving rise to the phenomenon of industry-less growth. When the obituary on i
جنوری 13, 2003
Global Regulation of Foreign Direct Investment, by Sherif H. Seid, Ashgate Publishing Limited, Hampshire, England, Year of Publication: 2002
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays a significant role in the development process of most economies through the transfer of technology and technological spill-over, increased productive efficiency, production of exportable goods and services which generate foreign exchange, infrastructure development, increase in saving and investment, and faster growth of output and employment. Tremendous rise in national regulatory changes in favour of FDI in the last decade, glob
جنوری 13, 2003
The Economics of Public Spending - Debt, Deficits and Economic Performance by Hassan Bourgrine, Edward Publishing Ltd., UK and USA, 2000, Pages 177, Price £49.95
The post second world war period is often seen as the golden era of capitalism when most of the economies experienced sustained high economic growth while pursuing demand management strategy in the Keynesian framework. The initial euphoria, however, was replaced by strong recessionary pressure that swept through the world economy in the 1970s leaving its lasting impact on macroeconomic policy prescriptions. Fiscal profligacy became the standard explanation for the ill
جنوری 13, 2003
جنوری 24, 2001

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