The stock of external debt at end-June 2021 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (old format) and II (IMF format)1. The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-June 2021 are presented below. Highlights
-
At end-June 2021, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 571.3 billion, recording an increase of US$ 1.6 billion over its level at end-March 2021 (Table 1).
-
The external debt to GDP ratio declined to 20.2 per cent at end-June 2021 from 21.1 per cent at end-March 2021.
-
Valuation gain due to the appreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis Indian rupee was placed at US$ 1.7 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, external debt would have increased by US$ 3.3 billion instead of US$ 1.6 billion at end-June 2021 over end-March 2021.
-
Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 37.4 per cent, followed by non-resident deposits (24.8 per cent) and short-term trade credit (17.4 per cent).
-
At end-June 2021, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 468.8 billion, recording an increase of US$ 0.2 billion over its level at end-March 2021.
-
The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt increased marginally to 17.9 per cent at end-June 2021 from 17.7 per cent at end-March 2021; however, the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 16.8 per cent at end-June 2021 (17.5 per cent at end-March 2021).
-
Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 44.7 per cent of total external debt at end-June 2021 (44.6 per cent at end-March 2021) and stood at 41.8 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (44.1 per cent at end-March 2021) (Table 2).
-
US dollar denominated debt remained the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 52.4 per cent at end-June 2021, followed by debt denominated in the Indian rupee (33.2 per cent), yen (5.8 per cent), SDR2 (4.4 per cent) and the euro (3.4 per cent).
-
The borrower-wise classification shows that the outstanding government debt decreased, while non-government debt increased at end-June 2021 (Table 3).
-
The share of outstanding debt of non-financial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 40.6 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (28.1 per cent), general government (18.7 per cent) and other financial corporations (8.1 per cent).
-
The instrument-wise classification shows that the loans were the largest component of external debt, with a share of 34.7 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (25.0 per cent), trade credit and advances (17.9 per cent) and debt securities (16.9 per cent) (Table 4).
- Debt service (i.e., principal repayments and interest payments) declined to 4.1 per cent of current receipts at end-June 2021 as compared with 8.2 per cent at end-March 2021, reflecting lower repayments and higher current receipts (Table 5).
(Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager Press Release: 2021-2022/962
Table 1: External Debt – Outstanding and Variation |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
Outstanding as at end |
Absolute variation |
Percentage variation |
June 2020 PR |
March 2021 PR |
June 2021 P |
Jun-21 over Jun-20 |
Jun-21 over Mar-21 |
Jun-21 over Jun-20 |
Jun-21 over Mar-21 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1. Multilateral |
64.7 |
69.8 |
70.2 |
5.5 |
0.4 |
8.4 |
0.6 |
2. Bilateral |
28.5 |
31.0 |
30.8 |
2.3 |
-0.1 |
8.0 |
-0.5 |
3. IMF |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
3.7 |
0.6 |
4. Trade Credit |
6.8 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
-0.7 |
-0.2 |
-10.5 |
-3.9 |
5. Commercial Borrowings |
211.0 |
213.0 |
213.6 |
2.6 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
6. Non-Resident Deposits |
132.7 |
141.9 |
141.5 |
8.8 |
-0.4 |
6.6 |
-0.3 |
7. Rupee Debt |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.8 |
8. Short-term Debt |
105.0 |
101.1 |
102.5 |
-2.5 |
1.4 |
-2.4 |
1.4 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Trade Credit |
101.2 |
97.3 |
99.2 |
-2.0 |
1.9 |
-2.0 |
2.0 |
Total Debt |
555.2 |
569.7 |
571.3 |
16.1 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
0.3 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ |
450.2 |
468.6 |
468.8 |
18.6 |
0.2 |
4.1 |
0.0 |
B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# |
105.0 |
101.1 |
102.5 |
-2.5 |
1.4 |
-2.4 |
1.4 |
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
@: Debt with original maturity of above one year. |
#: Debt with original maturity of up to one year. |
Table 2: Residual Maturity of Outstanding External Debt as at end-June 2021 |
(US$ billion) |
Sector |
Short-term up to one year |
1 to 2 years |
2 to 3 years |
More than 3 years |
Total (2 to 5) |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
I. General Government |
6.1 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
85.5 |
106.9 |
I.A. Short-term Debt |
0.3 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
I.B. Long-term Debt |
5.8 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
85.5 |
106.6 |
II. Central Bank |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
II.A. Short-term Debt |
0.3 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
II.B. Long-term Debt |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
III. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank |
106.2 |
19.7 |
10.1 |
24.3 |
160.3 |
III.A. Short-term Debt |
1.2 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
III.B. Long-term Debt |
104.9 |
19.7 |
10.1 |
24.3 |
159.0 |
IV. Other Sectors |
137.4 |
24.3 |
32.3 |
84.1 |
278.1 |
IV.A. Short-term Debt |
100.7 |
|
|
|
100.7 |
IV.B. Long-term Debt |
36.8 |
24.3 |
32.3 |
84.1 |
177.4 |
IV.1. Other financial corporations |
7.3 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
19.8 |
46.3 |
IV.1.A. Short-term Debt |
1.5 |
|
|
|
1.5 |
IV.1.B. Long-term Debt |
5.9 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
19.8 |
44.9 |
IV.2. Non-financial corporations |
130.1 |
15.6 |
21.6 |
64.3 |
231.7 |
IV.2.A. Short-term Debt |
99.2 |
|
|
|
99.2 |
IV.2.B. Long-term Debt |
30.9 |
15.6 |
21.6 |
64.3 |
132.5 |
IV.3. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
IV.3.A. Short-term Debt |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
IV.3.B. Long-term Debt |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
V. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
5.6 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
13.9 |
25.7 |
A. Total Short-term Debt |
102.5 |
|
|
|
102.5 |
B. Total Long-term Debt |
153.1 |
54.3 |
53.5 |
207.8 |
468.8 |
C. Total Debt (A+B) |
255.6 |
54.3 |
53.5 |
207.8 |
571.3 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt |
|
|
|
|
44.7 |
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Foreign Exchange Reserves |
|
|
|
|
41.8 |
Table 3: Government and Non-government External Debt |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
End-March |
End-June |
2019 |
2020 PR |
2021 PR |
2021 P |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
A. Government Debt (I+II) |
103.8 |
100.9 |
107.2 |
106.9 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(3.8) |
(3.7) |
(4.0) |
(3.8) |
I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance |
68.8 |
72.7 |
84.5 |
84.9 |
II. Other Government External Debt @ |
35.0 |
28.1 |
22.7 |
22.1 |
B. Non-government Debt |
439.3 |
457.5 |
462.5 |
464.4 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(16.1) |
(16.9) |
(17.1) |
(16.4) |
B.1. Central Bank |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
B.2. Deposit-taking Corporations, except the Central Bank |
164.3 |
158.2 |
160.7 |
160.3 |
B.3. Other Financial Corporations |
31.2 |
40.6 |
46.2 |
46.3 |
B.4. Non-financial Corporations |
226.4 |
235.7 |
230.2 |
231.7 |
B.5. Households and nonprofit institutions serving households (NPISHs) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
B.6. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
17.1 |
22.8 |
25.2 |
25.7 |
C. Total Debt (A+B) |
543.1 |
558.4 |
569.7 |
571.3 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
(19.9) |
(20.6) |
(21.1) |
(20.2) |
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
@: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in treasury bills/government securities by FPIs, foreign central banks and international institutions and IMF. |
Table 4: Outstanding External Debt by Instruments |
(US$ billion) |
Instrument |
End-March |
End-June |
2019 |
2020 PR |
2021 PR |
2021 P |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1. Special Drawing Rights (allocations) |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
2. Currency and Deposits |
134.4 |
134.1 |
143.8 |
143.1 |
3. Debt Securities |
91.9 |
97.6 |
96.8 |
96.6 |
4. Loans |
189.0 |
194.2 |
197.9 |
198.0 |
5. Trade Credit and Advances |
105.2 |
104.3 |
100.3 |
102.2 |
6. Other Debt Liabilities |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7. Direct Investment: Intercompany Lending |
17.1 |
22.8 |
25.2 |
25.7 |
Total Debt |
543.1 |
558.4 |
569.7 |
571.3 |
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
Table 5: India’s Key External Debt Indicators |
(Per cent, unless indicated otherwise) |
End-March |
External Debt (US$ billion) |
Ratio of External Debt to GDP |
Debt Service Ratio |
Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt |
Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt |
Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Foreign Exchange Reserves |
Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Total Debt |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1991 |
83.8 |
28.3 |
35.3 |
7.0 |
45.9 |
146.5 |
10.2 |
1996 |
93.7 |
26.6 |
26.2 |
23.1 |
44.7 |
23.2 |
5.4 |
2001 |
101.3 |
22.1 |
16.6 |
41.7 |
35.4 |
8.6 |
3.6 |
2006 |
139.1 |
17.1 |
10.1# |
109.0 |
28.4 |
12.9 |
14.0 |
2007 |
172.4 |
17.7 |
4.7 |
115.6 |
23.0 |
14.1 |
16.3 |
2008 |
224.4 |
18.3 |
4.8 |
138.0 |
19.7 |
14.8 |
20.4 |
2009 |
224.5 |
20.7 |
4.4 |
112.2 |
18.7 |
17.2 |
19.3 |
2010 |
260.9 |
18.5 |
5.8 |
106.9 |
16.8 |
18.8 |
20.1 |
2011 |
317.9 |
18.6 |
4.4 |
95.9 |
14.9 |
21.3 |
20.4 |
2012 |
360.8 |
21.1 |
6.0 |
81.6 |
13.3 |
26.6 |
21.7 |
2013 |
409.4 |
22.4 |
5.9 |
71.3 |
11.1 |
33.1 |
23.6 |
2014 |
446.2 |
23.9 |
5.9 |
68.2 |
10.4 |
30.1 |
20.5 |
2015 |
474.7 |
23.8 |
7.6 |
72.0 |
8.8 |
25.0 |
18.0 |
2016 |
484.8 |
23.4 |
8.8 |
74.3 |
9.0 |
23.2 |
17.2 |
2017 |
471.0 |
19.8 |
8.3 |
78.5 |
9.4 |
23.8 |
18.7 |
2018 |
529.3 |
20.1 |
7.5 |
80.2 |
9.1 |
24.1 |
19.3 |
2019 |
543.1 |
19.9 |
6.4 |
76.0 |
8.7 |
26.3 |
20.0 |
2020 PR |
558.4 |
20.6 |
6.5 |
85.6 |
8.8 |
22.4 |
19.1 |
2021 PR |
569.7 |
21.1 |
8.2 |
101.3 |
9.1 |
17.5 |
17.7 |
End-June 2021 P |
571.3 |
20.2 |
4.1 |
107.0 |
9.0 |
16.8 |
17.9 |
PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
# works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million. |
|