The stock of external debt at end-March 2020 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (old format) and II (IMF format)1. The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-March 2020 are presented below. Highlights
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At end-March 2020, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 558.5 billion, recording an increase of US$ 15.4 billion over its level at end-March 2019 (Table 1).
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Valuation gains due to the appreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis Indian rupee and other major currencies were placed at US$ 16.6 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, the increase in external debt would have been US$ 32.0 billion instead of US$ 15.4 billion at end-March 2020 over end-March 2019.
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Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 39.4 per cent, followed by non-resident deposits (23.4 per cent) and short-term trade credit (18.2 per cent).
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At end-March 2020, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 451.7 billion, recording an increase of US$ 17.0 billion over its level at end-March 2019.
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The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined to 19.1 per cent at end-March 2020 from 20.0 per cent at end-March 2019; the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 22.4 per cent at end-March 2020 (26.3 per cent at end-March 2019).
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Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 42.4 per cent of total external debt at end-March 2020 (43.4 per cent at end-March 2019) and stood at 49.5 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (57.0 per cent at end-March 2019) (Table 2).
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US dollar denominated debt continued to be the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 53.7 per cent at end-March 2020, followed by the Indian rupee (31.9 per cent), yen (5.6 per cent), SDR (4.5 per cent) and the euro (3.5 per cent).
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The borrower-wise classification shows that the outstanding debt of general government decreased, while that of non-government sector increased at end-March 2020 (Table 3).
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The share of outstanding debt of nonfinancial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 42.0 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (28.3 per cent), general government (18.1 per cent) and other financial corporations (7.5 per cent).
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The instrument-wise classification shows that the loans were the largest component of external debt, with a share of 34.8 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (24.0 per cent), trade credit and advances (18.7 per cent) and debt securities (17.4 per cent).
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Debt service (principal repayments plus interest payments) increased marginally to 6.5 per cent of current receipts at end-March 2020 as compared with 6.4 per cent at end-March 2019, reflecting higher interest payments on commercial borrowings and lower current receipts (Table 4).
Table 1: External Debt - Outstanding and Variation |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
Outstanding as at end of March |
Absolute variation |
Percentage variation |
2018 R |
2019 PR |
2020 P |
Mar-19 over Mar-18 |
Mar-20 over Mar-19 |
Mar-19 over Mar-18 |
Mar-20 over Mar-19 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1. Multilateral |
57.2 |
57.5 |
60.0 |
0.2 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
4.3 |
2. Bilateral |
25.4 |
25.6 |
27.2 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
6.0 |
3. IMF |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
-4.5 |
-1.7 |
4. Trade Credit |
9.5 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
-1.5 |
-0.8 |
-16.3 |
-9.5 |
5. Commercial Borrowings |
201.8 |
206.6 |
220.3 |
4.8 |
13.8 |
2.4 |
6.7 |
6. Non-resident Deposits |
126.2 |
130.4 |
130.6 |
4.2 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
0.1 |
7. Rupee Debt |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-4.5 |
-11.7 |
8. Short-term Debt |
102.2 |
108.4 |
106.9 |
6.2 |
-1.5 |
6.1 |
-1.4 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term trade credit |
100.4 |
102.4 |
101.4 |
2.0 |
-1.0 |
2.0 |
-1.0 |
Total Debt |
529.3 |
543.1 |
558.5 |
13.8 |
15.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ |
427.1 |
434.7 |
451.7 |
7.6 |
17.0 |
1.8 |
3.9 |
B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# |
102.2 |
108.4 |
106.9 |
6.2 |
-1.5 |
6.1 |
-1.4 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
@: Debt with original maturity of above one year. |
#: Debt with original maturity of up to one year. |
Table 2: Residual Maturity of External Debt Outstanding as at End-March 2020 |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
Short-term up to one year** |
Long-term |
Total (2 to 5) |
1 to 2 years |
2 to 3 years |
More than 3 years |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
1. Sovereign Debt (long-term)$ |
5.5 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
79.5 |
100.6 |
2. Commercial Borrowings# |
34.7 |
25.2 |
30.6 |
130.1 |
220.5 |
3. Non-resident deposits {(i)+(ii)+(iii)} |
89.7 |
21.3 |
11.0 |
8.7 |
130.6 |
(i) FCNR(B) |
15.4 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
24.2 |
(ii) NR(E)RA |
60.4 |
16.4 |
7.7 |
5.8 |
90.4 |
(iii) NRO |
13.9 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
16.0 |
4. Short-term Debt* (original maturity) |
106.9 |
|
|
|
106.9 |
Total (1 to 4) |
236.7 |
53.9 |
49.7 |
218.2 |
558.5 |
Memo Items: |
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt |
42.4 |
Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Reserves |
49.5 |
$: Inclusive of FPI investments in government securities. |
#: Commercial Borrowings are inclusive of trade credit, FPI investments in corporate debt instruments and a portion of non-government multilateral and bilateral borrowings and therefore may not tally with the figures provided in other tables under original maturity. |
*: Also includes FPI investments in security receipts issued by Asset Reconstruction Companies (ARCs) under the extant corporate debt limits. |
**: Short-term debt by residual maturity comprises long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity. |
Table 3: Government and Non-Government External Debt |
(US$ billion) |
Component |
End-March |
2017 |
2018 R |
2019 PR |
2020 P |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
A. Sovereign Debt (I+II) |
95.9 |
111.9 |
103.8 |
100.9 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
4.0 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance |
62.8 |
68.6 |
68.8 |
72.7 |
II. Other Government External Debt@ |
33.1 |
43.4 |
35.0 |
28.1 |
B. Non-Government Debt# |
375.1 |
417.3 |
439.3 |
457.7 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
15.8 |
15.9 |
16.0 |
16.9 |
C. Total External Debt (A+B) |
471.0 |
529.3 |
543.1 |
558.5 |
(As percentage of GDP) |
19.8 |
20.1 |
19.8 |
20.6 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
|
|
|
|
@: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in Treasury Bills/government securities by FPIs, foreign central banks and international institutions, and IMF. |
#: Includes external debt of Monetary Authority. |
Table 4: India’s Key External Debt Indicators |
(Per cent, unless indicated otherwise) |
End-March |
External Debt (US$ billion) |
Ratio of External Debt to GDP |
Debt Service Ratio |
Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt |
Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt |
Ratio of Short-term Debt to Foreign Exchange Reserves |
Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Total Debt |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
1991 |
83.8 |
28.3 |
35.3 |
7.0 |
45.9 |
146.5 |
10.2 |
1996 |
93.7 |
26.6 |
26.2 |
23.1 |
44.7 |
23.2 |
5.4 |
2001 |
101.3 |
22.1 |
16.6 |
41.7 |
35.4 |
8.6 |
3.6 |
2006 |
139.1 |
17.1 |
10.1# |
109.0 |
28.4 |
12.9 |
14.0 |
2007 |
172.4 |
17.7 |
4.7 |
115.6 |
23.0 |
14.1 |
16.3 |
2008 |
224.4 |
18.3 |
4.8 |
138.0 |
19.7 |
14.8 |
20.4 |
2009 |
224.5 |
20.7 |
4.4 |
112.2 |
18.7 |
17.2 |
19.3 |
2010 |
260.9 |
18.5 |
5.8 |
106.9 |
16.8 |
18.8 |
20.1 |
2011 |
317.9 |
18.6 |
4.4 |
95.9 |
14.9 |
21.3 |
20.4 |
2012 |
360.8 |
21.1 |
6.0 |
81.6 |
13.3 |
26.6 |
21.7 |
2013 |
409.4 |
22.4 |
5.9 |
71.3 |
11.1 |
33.1 |
23.6 |
2014 |
446.2 |
23.9 |
5.9 |
68.2 |
10.4 |
30.1 |
20.5 |
2015 |
474.7 |
23.8 |
7.6 |
72.0 |
8.8 |
25.0 |
18.0 |
2016 |
484.8 |
23.4 |
8.8 |
74.3 |
9.0 |
23.2 |
17.2 |
2017 |
471.0 |
19.8 |
8.3 |
78.5 |
9.4 |
23.8 |
18.7 |
2018 R |
529.3 |
20.1 |
7.5 |
80.2 |
9.1 |
24.1 |
19.3 |
2019 PR |
543.1 |
19.8 |
6.4 |
76.0 |
8.7 |
26.3 |
20.0 |
2020 P |
558.5 |
20.6 |
6.5 |
85.5 |
8.6 |
22.4 |
19.1 |
R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. |
#: works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million. |
(Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager Press Release: 2019-2020/2570
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