Mohua Roy, Rekha Misra and Sangita Misra* The paper
reviews the experience of select countries - both advanced and emerging markets
- in regard to capital account liberalisation (CAL). The advanced countries'
experience with regard to CAL is analysed with special focus on the sequencing
of CAL. The move towards CAL by many of the emerging market economies (EMEs) during
the 1980s and the circumstances that led to some policy reversals and the subsequent
change in the mainstream thinking during the 1990s have also been analysed. The
paper also presents some of the extant capital account restrictions in select
advanced countries and EMEs, emanating from security and prudential considerations
that have come to be accepted as being consistent with a framework of full capital
account liberalisation. Finally, the paper draws some lessons from the cross-country
experience, particularly in regard to the need for sound economic policies and
effective risk management strategies, prudential supervision and proper reporting
standards to meet the emerging challenges of CAL. JEL Classification
: F21, F31, F32 Keywords : Capital Account Liberalisation,
Capital controls, Capital flows, Emerging Market Economies Introduction
Capital account liberalisation (CAL) was undertaken over a period of years
in advanced countries, including the euro area, particularly after the breakdown
of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates in the mid-1970s. During the
1980s and 1990s, many of the emerging market economies (EMEs) also undertook capital
account liberalisation. This was followed by episodes of huge capital inflows
into some of these countries, the magnitude of which became unmanageable and destabilising
for many EMEs. Based on the cross-country experience in capital account
liberalisation, especially since the East Asian crisis of 1997, the mainstream
thinking both at academic and policy levels has changed in the recent years.
Against this backdrop, the purpose of the paper is to examine the experience of
select major countries which went in for CAL and draw lessons from their experience
with particular focus on (i) the nature of capital controls by advanced countries
during the phase of run up to capital account liberalisation; (ii) the kind of
controls and safeguards retained by even fully liberalised regimes; and (iii)
the circumstances leading to policy reversals by some EMEs in the post-1997 build-up
of the crisis-ridden international economic and financial markets scenario. Section
I gives a brief account of the evolution of capital account liberalisation in
the global context. Section II elaborates upon the advanced countries' experience
with regard to capital account liberalisation with special focus on the sequencing
of CAL. Section III analyses the experience of emerging market economies
(EMEs). Section IV attempts a presentation of extant capital account restrictions
in select advanced countries and EMEs. Section V draws some important lessons
from the cross-country experience. Section I
Evolution of Capital Account Liberalisation Tracing
out the history of capital account liberalisation, one observes that the period
since 1870s till the outbreak of the World War I, was a period of laissez
faire, with no capital controls. This period was marked by a boom in international
flows of goods, labour and capital across nations, both developed and developing.
Most of the foreign investment during this period was long-term and was mainly
directed towards infrastructure, especially utilities and railroads. The boom
ended with the onset of World War I. The ensuing years from 1920 to 1931 saw a
modest revival of capital flows, mostly to emerging market economies to meet their
developmental needs. The post-World War II period from 1945
was marked by imposition of capital controls by most economies. Even the developed
countries maintained controls for prolonged periods after World War II driven
by a range of motives including exchange rate policy, monetary policy and tax
policy considerations. As a result, capital flows remained marginal. Capital controls,
till the early 1970s, were rather considered as an integral element of the fixed
exchange rate regime of the Bretton Woods system. Capital account liberalisation
became more common after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange
rates in the mid-1970s. In tandem with several countries gradually switching
over to varied forms of floating exchange rates, these countries also liberalised
their controls on capital flows. The generalised move towards CAL in the
1980s in the advanced countries coincided with a general shift towards more market-oriented
economic policies aimed at achieving non-inflationary growth together with a gradual
move towards multilateral frameworks such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD) and the European Union (EU). Notwithstanding certain periods
of market disruption and speculation in the post-CAL period, there were no cases
of serious policy reversals leading to reimposition of capital controls by the
advanced economies. Many EMEs in Latin America as also Asia embarked upon
capital account liberalisation from the early 1980s. This period was, in general,
oriented positively towards opening the capital account and in a world fast integrating
through both trade and financial flows, capital controls were increasingly perceived
as ineffective and even distortionary. Consequently the volume of capital flows
into the developing economies accelerated till the mid-1990s. The general fear
associated with CAL is the outflow of capital, but the opposite has also been
the case in certain economies, viz., Chile and Malaysia. With the magnitude
of capital flows becoming unmanageable and destabilising for the EMEs and sterilisation
operations getting increasingly ineffective, some of the EMEs backtracked from
the liberal capital account measures and imposed restrictions – both price
and non-price based measures. While some EMEs faced the challenge of managing
increased inflows, some other EMEs experienced sudden stops and reversal of flows
that led to a series of crises during the mid-1990s. This opened a whole new debate
and a plethora of literature on the timing, sequencing and the pace of CAL globally.
As a result of these developments, the mainstream thinking in both academic
and policy-making circles turned somewhat less enthusiastic about the benefits
of capital account liberalisation, particularly before meeting several prerequisites
in terms of strong macroeconomic policy framework and soundness and efficiency
of the financial system and markets. The IMF also shelved its proposal of 1997
for making capital account convertibility as an obligation for its members, and
has been following the practice of appropriately advising its members in a country-specific
context to follow generally a cautious, gradual and carefully sequenced process
of capital account liberalisation. The advanced countries had, no doubt,
some intermittent controls on capital flows during the phase of liberalisation,
but did not substantially reverse policies away from a liberal regime, whereas
a widely observed feature about EMEs was the reversal of policy towards CAL and
reintroduction of controls in the wake of capital account crises. Nevertheless,
some forms of capital controls are prevalent even in liberalised regimes, more
prominently in respect of direct investment, real estate transactions, and transactions
in capital and money market securities. Such regulatory safeguards, emanating
more from security and prudential considerations, have come to be accepted as
being consistent with a framework of full capital account liberalisation.
Section II Experience
of Advanced Countries Most advanced countries liberalised their
capital account over a period of about two decades from 1974 to 1994. The period
of transition, however, varied between countries ranging from a number of years
in respect of France and Japan to a few months in the case of United Kingdom.
Australia and New Zealand are also examples of speedy transition from a rather
restrictive to open regimes. Experience of these countries reveals that accompanying
macroeconomic policies and domestic financial sector reforms were critical for
successful liberalisation. In particular, the need for developing adequate prudential
supervision standards has been underscored. In most cases, direct investment flows
were formally liberalised ahead of portfolio flows. On the other hand, restrictions
on cross-border bank lending and foreign investment opportunities by the residents
were among the last to be lifted. The US was the first country that went
in for complete capital account liberalisation (CAL) in 1974. Between 1979 till
1991, most of the European countries, Japan, Australia and New Zealand also adopted
full capital account liberalisation although patterns as well as the time taken
varied between the countries. United States The United
States, that had generally adopted liberal policies with regard to capital account
in the post-war period, introduced capital controls on account of speculative
outflows in the 1960s. Controls in the form of Interest Equalisation Tax (1963),
Voluntary Guidelines limiting foreign lending and investment (1965) and Voluntary
Guidelines limiting foreign direct investment (1968) were introduced. Most of
these controls were eliminated from 1974 onwards after the breakdown of the Bretton
Woods system. Since then, the United States has followed a liberal capital regime
with limited controls mainly pertaining to security concerns (Bakker & Chapple,
2002). Europe Unlike the United States, the move towards
capital account liberalisation amongst European countries was marked by alternate
phases of controls and relaxations and has ranged over one and a half decade (UK
liberalised in 1979, while Greece in 1994). Most of the European countries tried
to limit the inflows during the late 1960s, first by indirect measures aimed at
discouraging non-residents from acquiring domestic assets and eventually through
direct capital controls. Even some of the liberal European countries such as Germany
and Switzerland tightened their exchange control regimes. Most controls on inward
flows were lifted in 1970s, when the appreciation of European currencies and Japanese
yen vis-à-vis dollar was eventually accepted and the Bretton Woods
fixed exchange rate system gave way to a regime of flexible exchange rates. In
the period subsequent to the first oil crisis of 1973, many of these countries
experienced downward exchange rate pressures and, hence, imposed restrictions
on outward capital flows. These restrictions continued throughout the 1970s. In
the 1980s, many of the European countries again developed strategies to dismantle
their control systems. This coincidedwith significant progress towards European
integration, which later culminated in monetary unification. Other
Countries Outside Europe, Japan, Australia and New Zealand have
also imposed controls on short-term capital flows for extended periods. Japan’s
approach towards capital account remained inconsistent till 1979, with controls
imposed and subsequently eased in 1967, 1973 and 1979. As a result, investment
inflows generally remained low. Subsequently, Japan followed a very gradual approach
towards liberalisation ranging over a decade from 1979 to 1991. Australia and
New Zealand, on the other hand, are examples of rapid move to capital account
liberalisation. On the back of the foreign exchange crisis of 1984, New Zealand
liberalised all restrictions within a year (mid-1984 to mid-1985). Prior to the
move, New Zealand followed a regime of pervasive capital controls, exchange rate
peg and import controls on a wide range of products. The chronological pattern
of CAL in advanced countries is presented in Table 1.
Table
1: Abolition of Capital Controls – Developed Countries |
Country | Year
of abolition of capital controls | United
States | 1974 |
European countries | |
United Kingdom | 1979 |
Germany | 1981 |
Netherlands | 1986 |
Denmark | 1988 |
France | 1990 |
Sweden | 1989 |
Italy | 1990 |
Belgium | 1990 |
Austria | 1991 |
Finland | 1991 |
Spain | 1992 |
Portugal | 1992 |
Ireland | 1993 |
Greece | 1994 |
Japan | 1991 |
Australia | 1985 |
New Zealand | 1985 |
Source: Bakker
and Chapple (2002) and IMF Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and
Exchange Restrictions, various issues. | The
process of CAL is covered in some detail for two countries, viz., France
and the United Kingdom, in the following paragraphs2. France
Background France followed a very gradual approach towards
CAL during the 1980s. In 1979, France joined the European Monetary System
(EMS) while maintaining a relatively tight set of capital controls. Subsequent
to the second oil price shock later in the year, France entered into a recessionary
phase. The Government resorted to expansionary policies. The nationalisation of
the financial sector and the subsequent increase in the government control of
the banking sector up to 85-90 per cent eroded the confidence of the markets resulting
in considerable outflows. A series of speculative attacks on the exchange rate
forced devaluation of French franc by over 25 per cent during 1981 to 1983.
Capital controls were further tightened. Measures included prohibiting all forward
transactions by importers and exporters and steps to prevent evasion by using
leads and lags in current account transactions. However, controls failed to be
effective especially with large external imbalances. Besides, controls involved
real economic costs. Policy Response A major reorientation
occurred in French economic strategy in 1983. This involved deregulation in the
financial sector, which was brought about in stages. The public debt market was
reformed to enhance the investors’ interest. Quantitative credit control
mechanism was abolished in 1985. While this well-planned liberalisation of financial
sector was being implemented, France continued to maintain capital controls. When
the French macro-economic situation strengthened, current account stabilised in
1984 and the financial sector was considered to be able to withstand foreign competition,
capital controls were withdrawn gradually. The details of the capital account
liberalisation process in France are given in Table 2.
|
| Controls
in France | 1980
July | L Relaxation of restrictions
on inward and outward direct investment. |
1981 May | T
Devises-titres market, limitations on leads and lags in trade settlements,
and limitations on direct investment abroad reintroduced. |
1982 March | T
Further restrictions on surrender of export proceeds and on direct investment
abroad introduced. | 1983
March | T Further foreign travel
allowances reduced, a ban on use of personal credit cards abroad, and carnet
de change (a booklet in which foreign exchange purchases were recorded)
introduced. | December | L
Limits on foreign travel allowances and foreign direct investment eased. L
Carnet de change abolished. | 1984
July | L Ban on use of personal
credit cards abroad abolished. | November | L
Controls on direct investment abroad eased. | 1985
February | L Inward direct investment
originating from non-EEC countries eased. | April | L
Eurobond issues denominated in French francs authorised. |
September | L
Financing rules for outward direct investment outside the European Community
eased. | |
December | L
Regulations for outward portfolio and direct investment eased. |
1986 January | L
Foreign travel allowances eased. | April | L
Requirement of prior authorisation of direct foreign investment eliminated. |
|
May | L
Devises-titres market abolished, purchases of secondary residences abroad
liberalised, forward foreign exchange operations eased, and authorisation
procedures for direct investment abroad eased. |
November | L
Bank lending in French francs to non-residents partially liberalised. L Administrative
control through commercial banks of import and export settlements abolished
(domiciliation regime). | 1987
May | L Exchange controls for commercial
enterprises substantially eased. L Trade in gold liberalised. |
July | L
Limits on tourist travel allowances abolished. |
1988 June | L
Domestic enterprises permitted to operate foreign currency accounts. L Restrictions
on borrowing abroad abolished. | 1989
March | L Bank lending in French
francs to non-residents fully liberalised. | June | L
Commercial banks’ foreign exchange positions liberalised. L All residents
were granted permission to open ECU-denominated accounts. |
| 1990
January | L All remaining exchange
control regulations abolished (Decree 89/938). |
T: Tightening of controls; L:
Loosening of controls Source: Bakker and Chapple (2002) |
Assessment
The overall liberalisation
process spanned over a period of 6 years –1984-1990. During 1986-87, there
was some disruption in the forex market, which led to some realignment when the
French franc was devalued by about 3 per cent. There were sizable increases in
portfolio flows into France (from below 0.5 per cent of GDP in early 1980s to
close to 4 per cent of GDP by late 1980s). Yet, the liberalisation efforts continued
uninterrupted till 1990 when France adopted complete CAL. The French exchange
rate was again tested by the markets during the 1992-93 EMS crisis. It led to
decisive interest rate hikes, heavy interventions and broadening of the EMS fluctuation
margins, though the central rate of the French franc was not adjusted. There was
no reversal with regard to capital account measures. Eventually, French franc
joined the Euro on January 1, 1999. Notwithstanding the fact that peer pressure
(in terms of the prospect of further European economic and financial integration)
has been a major driving force behind French liberalisation of capital movements,
the experience of France remains commendable with respect to its integrated approach
to reform involving macroeconomic stabilisation and institutional strengthening.
Deregulation of financial markets, abolition of quantitative credit controls,
industrial policy reforms and discontinuation of subsidies were undertaken before
adopting full CAL. The French approach to strengthen the domestic economy before
liberalising the volatile items in the capital account was the key element behind
the French attempt at CAL. United Kingdom
Background United Kingdom’s experience is a classic
case of rapid liberalisation of capital controls. Since World War II till 1979,
UK operated one of the most extensive system of capital controls along with tight
domestic financial regulation. Despite controls, UK faced frequent exchange rate
crises and poor economic performance. The first such crisis was in 1967 when sterling
came under downward pressure on account of unloading of official sterling balances
with pound sterling becoming less important as a reserve currency. A second sterling
crisis in November 1976 led to additional tightening of capital controls (Table
3). The second oil price shock in 1979 resulted in considerable upward pressure
on sterling.
Table
3: Chronology of Key Changes in Capital Account |
| Controls
in UK | 1958
December | L Convertibility
of sterling introduced. | 1961
July | T Introduction of
restrictions on direct investment outside sterling area. |
1967 April | L
Restrictions on repatriation of non-residents’ capital eased. |
1971 August | T
Controls on portfolio inflows introduced. | December | L
Controls on portfolio inflows abolished. | 1975
July | T Postponement of
capital controls vis-à-vis EEC members. |
1976 November | T
Imposition of restrictions on banks’ financing trade between countries
other than the United Kingdom, conversion of foreign currency bills into sterling
by banks no longer permitted. | December | T
Tightening of the monitoring of sales of foreign currency for sterling. |
1977 October | L
Restrictions on sterling borrowing to fund inward direct investment and also on
travel allowances for residents eased. | December | L
Capital outflows to other EEC countries eased. |
1978 June | L
Restrictions on resident institutional investors investing in foreign currency
securities eased. | 1979
January | L Abolition of restrictions
on sterling lending to non-resident– controlled companies operating
in the United Kingdom. | June | L
Restrictions on outward capital flows eased. |
July | L
Abolition of all restrictions on outward direct investment and significant
liberalisation of outward portfolio investment. |
October | L
Suspension of the Exchange Control Act of 1947 and removal of all remaining barriers
to inward and outward flows of capital. L Remaining exchange controls abolished. |
T: Tightening
of controls; L: Loosening of controls Source:Bakker
and Chapple (2002) | Policy Response
The initial response was to intervene in the market to counter upward pressure,
but because of the overshooting of domestic monetary aggregate targets, the exchange
rate was allowed to seek its own level. The sterling appreciated substantially
during 1979 in nominal effective terms, thus raising concerns about competitiveness
and deterioration of non-oil current account. These developments, together with
comfortable foreign exchange reserves, nullified the arguments favouring capital
controls and created the platform for CAL. The government also recognised that
the abolition of capital controls had to be accompanied by domestic deregulation
and macro-economic policies oriented towards stabilisation. High level of domestic
cost increases was a cause of concern enunciating the need to break the wage price
spiral to ensure that benefits are not lost through loss of competitiveness.
Partial relaxation was undertaken in June 1979. This also marked the beginning
of further domestic deregulation and enhancement of market forces. Remaining restrictions
were abolished in one step in October 1979. Measures were undertaken to remove
direct credit control measures and improve the functioning of the labour market.
Assessment Though the process of liberalisation of capital
controls in UK was one of the fastest, it was part of a broader policy framework
aimed at improving the functioning of the overall UK economy in late 1970s. While
inflows increased marginally, the immediate post-liberalisation period saw a substantial
hike in capital outflows from UK. Economic growth in UK improved during the 1980s
and inflation fell. Towards the end of 1980s, UK witnessed a period of industrial
unrest and an asset price bubble developed. The exchange rate remained volatile
at times though there was no backtracking towards capital control measures.
UK at present has no restrictions on capital transactions in money, capital and
derivatives market and with respect to personal capital transactions and institutional
investors. The authorities have, however, retained the power to impose restrictions
on inward direct investment if it hinders national interest. A
chronology of key changes in capital controls in the United States, Japan, Australia
and Italy is provided in Annex 1. Section III
Emerging Market Economies’ Experience The
decade of 1980s and 1990s saw a range of pressures on developing countries to
open up to foreign capital flows triggered by the fast global integration of trade
and finance. Many emerging market economies like Malaysia, Indonesia and
Thailand maintained unrestricted capital accounts in the 1980s and till the mid-1990s.
This was followed by episodes of huge capital inflows into these countries particularly
in the 1990s, the magnitude of which became unmanageable and destabilising. Sterilisation
operations were usually the first policy response, but, such operations typically
entailed costs to the central banks and attracted further inflows as they tended
to keep interest rates high. Recognising the limitations of sterilisation operations
beyond a point and succumbing to the appreciation pressures due to huge inflows,
some of these emerging economies reversed from the liberal capital account and
re-imposed restrictions – both price and non-price based – around
the crisis periods. The literature on crisis experiences of EMEs shows
that the risks of CAL arise mainly from inadequate preparedness before liberalisation
in terms of domestic and external sector policy consolidation, strengthening of
prudential regulation and development of financial markets, including infrastructure,
for orderly functioning of these markets (Kawai et al, 2003). In this
context, the East Asian experience and that of some Latin American countries is
of relevance. Mexican Crisis The Mexican
crisis in 1994-95 first drew attention to the volume and velocity of the flows
involved in capital account crises in emerging market economies. From the
late 1980s to the early 1990s, Mexico liberalised its capital account as part
of a larger program of economic stabilisation and reform, internationalisation
of the stock market and liberalisation of FDI. During 1987-93, Mexico achieved
reduction in inflation from 160 per cent to 8 per cent (partly through a wage
and price freeze), economic growth which stagnated in the 1980s rose to 3 per
cent in 1989-93, external debt was restructured and private capital inflows surged,
contributing to a large increase in international reserves. Between 1990
and 1993, Mexico received more than $ 91 billion in net capital inflows; 67 per
cent of this or $ 61 billion was portfolio investment (Folkerts-Landau and Ito,
1995). There were, however, weaknesses in Mexico’s economic position
including current account deficit at 6.5 per cent of GDP in 1993, financed largely
by short-term capital inflows, a steep real appreciation of the peso
and a major deterioration in the private sector’s saving performance. Mexico’s
weak external position was exacerbated in 1994 by a substantial rise in world
interest rates, which prompted international investors to reassess the share of
their portfolios invested in emerging markets. All these developments tended to
weaken the peso. The peso was allowed to depreciate within its
band, but the vulnerability of the economy was increased by the replacement of
peso-denominated government debt by Tesobonos, instruments indexed to
the U.S. dollar. The current account deficit widened further to 8 per cent of
GDP for 1994. All these factors contributed to the eruption of the crisis in December.
1994. Though a devaluation of the peso occurred immediately and the peso
was allowed to float after a massive loss of international reserves, it did not
restore confidence and the peso continued to depreciate sharply, as financial
markets were suspicious about Mexico’s ability to service its short-term
debt (Martinez, 1998). East Asian Crisis The East
Asian region was characterised by high rates of growth since the 1980s which had
accelerated to a range of 7 to 10 per cent in the 1990s accompanied by high investment
rates which averaged around 30 per cent through the 1980s (except in the Philippines)
and kept well above 30 per cent of GDP and above 40 per cent in Malaysia and Thailand
in the 1990s. There were moderate deficits in the general government budget ranging
between 0.3 per cent of GDP and 3 per cent of GDP. Malaysia recorded deficit of
4 per cent of GDP during the 1980s, but rapidly consolidated its position and
moved into fiscal surplus since 1994. Thailand recorded fiscal surpluses all through
the 1990s (Rangarajan and Prasad, 1999, Patra et al, 1999 and Bhalla,
1998). The East Asian economies faced a serious currency crisis during
1997-1999. It began in Thailand without much early warning signals in late
June 1997 and afflicted other countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia and South
Korea, and lasted upto the last quarter of 1998. It came as a surprise,
not only because of the large number of countries affected and the speed of the
spreading crisis from one country to another, but also because of the fact that
before the crisis many countries had been showing healthy signs: long periods
of impressive growth rates, responsible government fiscal policies, and steady
investment in human and physical capital. Prior to the crisis, there was a boom
in private capital flows to emerging markets in the 1990s, which rose to around
$ 300 billion at the time of the East Asian crisis in mid-1997. Some countries
allowed entry of this inflow in a completely controlled manner (China, India)
while others (e.g. Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia) had varying degrees of controls.
The restrictions on outflows also varied among the countries. None of the emerging
markets, however, had a fully floating exchange rate. Central banks intervened
to restrict movements in exchange rates and most of them sought to keep the exchange
rate under an implicit or explicit peg or a band. The choice of fixed exchange
rate regimes was predicated by the costs and ineffectiveness associated with sterilisation,
the lack of scope for any further fiscal consolidation, the limit on monetary
tightening that would have encouraged further inflows and the erosion in competitiveness
which would have occurred under greater exchange rate flexibility.
The saving rate which had stabilised around 30 per cent in most of the countries
in the 1990s was not sufficient to finance the high rates of investment. As foreign
borrowing rates were almost 3 to 5 per cent less than risk-free domestic deposits,
excess borrowing occurred. The widening saving-investment gap was reflected in
large and persistent current account deficits (CAD) during the 1990s when Thailand
and Malaysia had CAD at 8 per cent of GDP and 10 per cent of GDP, respectively,
in 1995. In Indonesia, there was a worsening of the current account deficit
in 1995 to 3.3 per cent, after the relatively modest levels during the immediately
preceding years. In the Philippines, the current account deficit stabilised at
a high of around 4 to 5 per cent. There was a marginal upward movement in inflation
during the 1990s in all the economies although the rates remained modest.
Philippines experienced a reduction in its inflation rate from over 15 per cent
during the 1980s to around 8 per cent in 1995-96. Fixed nominal exchange
rates acted in conjunction with worsening current account imbalances and positive
inflation differentials to produce real appreciation of the currencies. Other
factors also contributed to currency overvaluation and loss of competitiveness
such as the rapid appreciation of the US dollar after 1995, the nominal devaluation
of 50per cent of the Chinese yuan in 1994 and the slump in external demand. Taking
1990 as the base year, the real exchange rate appreciated by 19 per cent in Malaysia,
23 per cent in the Philippines, 12 per cent in Thailand and 8 per cent in Indonesia
in 1997. The ratio of debt stock (including short-term debt) to reserves,
indicating solvency, showed that except Indonesia and the Philippines for whom
this ratio was 267 per cent and 166 per cent, respectively, other Asia economies
were well below 100 per cent. The share of short-term debt to total debt
varied between 13 per cent (in Philippines) and 32 per cent (in Thailand).
In retrospect, the key weaknesses were the large inflow of short-term capital,
and the fact that most of the affected countries had high current account deficits
and overvalued exchange rates. The crisis left a trace of heavy economic
and social costs. These Asian economies saw an overall decline in 1998.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 1998 contracted almost 6 per cent in Korea, 8
per cent in Thailand and 7 per cent in Malaysia. Social unrest and political uncertainty
compounded the economic and financial dislocations in Indonesia to reduce real
GDP by almost 14 per cent. Excepting Indonesia, all the economies showed
a positive growth rate in 1999 as they recovered with international support and
domestic policy improvements. This episode was, however, a major shock to
countries embarking upon rapid capital account liberalisation and raised doubts
about the benefits of liberalisation of capital account without certain macroeconomic
and prudential policy prerequisites. The major macroeconomic causes for the crisis
were identified as: current account imbalances with concomitant savings-investment
imbalance, overvalued exchange rates, high dependence upon potentially short-term
capital flows and huge portfolio flow composition of foreign investment. These
factors were exacerbated by maturity mismatches, currency mismatches, moral hazard
behaviour of lenders and borrowers, excessive leveraging, herd behaviour of markets
and predatory speculation, and the sharp appreciation of the US dollar.
The crisis period witnessed reversals of policies towards capital account by these
countries. Such policy changes in select countries are discussed in some detail
in the succeeding paragraphs. Malaysia3 Malaysia,
which had generally been an open economy, saw a temporary episode of imposition
of controls and its subsequent elimination during 1994. A substantial backtracking
from capital account liberalisation occurred during 1997. To avoid appreciation
of the ringgit, the initial policy response to heavy inflows in Malaysia in 1994
was for the central bank to intervene in the forex market by buying up foreign
exchange and thereafter to sterilise the excess domestic liquidity. With sterilisation
becoming costly (with shortage of government paper) and ineffective (sterilisation
operations kept interest rates high, which in turn attracted capital inflows),
the authorities introduced a number of direct and regulatory capital control measures
in early 1994. The measures were specifically designed to limit short-term capital
inflows. Specific measures were: Residents
were prohibited from selling Malaysian money market securities to non-residents; Commercial
banks were prohibited from engaging in non trade-related bid-side swaps or forward
transactions with non-residents; Asymmetric
open position limits, that is, ceilings on banks' net liability positions excluding
trade-related and foreign direct investment flows, were imposed, aimed at curtailing
bank foreign borrowing to engage in portfolio or non-trade transactions; and - Commercial
banks were required to place with the central bank the ringgit funds of foreign
banking institutions maintained in non-interest-bearing accounts; these funds
were subsequently included in the eligible liabilities base of commercial banks.
The
immediate market reaction to the 1994 measures was negative, resulting in a depreciation
of the ringgit and a correction in the stock market. The controls were, however,
very temporary. By the end of 1994, most of the controls were lifted. Following
the onset of the Asian crisis, the ringgit came under significant pressure again
in 1997. After substantial amounts of capital outflows, the authorities imposed
a number of exchange and capital control measures in September 1998, aimed at
containing ringgi speculation and the outflow of capital to eliminate the offshore
ringgit market and to stabilise short-term capital flows:
The
authorities closed all channels for converting ringgit funds into foreign exchange
held abroad, required repatriation of foreign exchange held abroad by residents,
blocked the repatriation of portfolio capital held by non-residents for 12 months,
and imposed restrictions on transfers of capital by residents.
The
controls were supported by additional measures to eliminate potential loopholes
(prohibiting the trading of ringgit assets offshore, announcing demonetisation
of large denomination ringgit notes, and amending the Companies Act to limit dividend
payments).
The authorities replaced the
policy of a managed float by pegging the ringgit to the U.S. dollar, relaxed monetary
and fiscal policies to support economic activity, and accelerated financial and
corporate sector reforms that had commenced in early 1998 to deal with the weak
financial institutions and the banking system.
On
February 4, 1999 the authorities replaced the 12-month holding restriction on
repatriation of portfolio capital with a declining scale of exit levies.
According
to the Malaysian central bank, these rules were meant to encourage existing portfolio
investors to take a longer view of their investments in Malaysia, attract new
funds into the country, while at the same time discouraging destabilising short-term
flows and penalising early withdrawals. In addition, they were designed to allow
smoother outflow of funds, rather than a sudden and massive outflow upon the expiry
of the one year holding period. The Malaysian experience reflects the
potential effectiveness of controls on inflows when the controls are accompanied
by steps to strengthen prudential regulations and an appropriate monetary policy.
The controls were effective in eliminating the offshore ringgit market, which
was the locus of much of the speculative activity. In conjunction with the 12-month
holding period and restrictions on resident outward investments, the suppression
of the offshore ringgit market effectively constrained capital outflows. Thailand4
Thailand went in for capital account liberalisation before reforming the financial
sector. Capital inflows were actively promoted in Thailand since 1985 till the
mid-1990s. Inflows through portfolio and equity investments were permitted freely,
though portfolio and foreign direct investment outflows were subject to restrictions.
Banks' foreign borrowing was unrestricted other than by net open position limits,
while that by residents could be contracted freely except that proceeds needed
to be repatriated to authorised banks or placed in foreign currency accounts.
The Thai economy started showing signs of overheating in mid-1993. The liberalisation
of short-term flows, combined with high domestic interest rates and an implicit
exchange rate guarantee, led to a substantial and unsustainable build-up of short-term
liabilities by banks and non-banks during early 1995. Not willing to give
up the fixed exchange rate regime, the authorities attempted to cope with capital
inflows through a combination of monetary, prudential and market-based capital
control measures. The policy rate was raised in March 1995. Sterilisation measures
were stepped up. In addition, some measures designed to target capital flows more
directly were introduced in August 1995: Asymmetric
open position limits for short and long positions (with smaller limits on short
foreign currency positions in an attempt to discourage foreign borrowing abroad);
Reporting requirement for banks on risk
control measures in foreign exchange and derivatives trading; and
A
seven per cent reserve requirement (held at the central bank) on non-resident
baht accounts with less than one-year maturity and on finance companies' short-term
foreign borrowing.
The persistent growth
in net total and short-term capital inflows in 1995 prompted the authorities to
introduce a second round of measures in April-June 1996. The seven per cent reserve
requirement was extended to non-resident baht borrowing with a maturity of less
than one year and to new short-term offshore borrowing of maturities of less than
one year by commercial banks. The Thai baht came under speculative
pressure by mid-1997. To stabilise the foreign exchange market and stem speculative
attacks on the baht, the authorities imposed a series of measures to limit capital
outflows in June 1997: Financial institutions
were asked to refrain from, and then suspend (June 1997), transactions with non-residents
that could facilitate a build-up of baht positions in the offshore market (including
baht lending through swaps, outright forward transactions in baht, and sales of
baht against foreign currencies).
Any
purchase before maturity of baht-denominated bills of exchange and other debt
instruments required payment in U.S. dollars.
Foreign
equity investors were prohibited from repatriating funds in baht (but were free
to repatriate funds in foreign currencies).
These
measures gave rise to a two-tier currency market, with separate exchange rates
for investors who bought baht in domestic and overseas markets. With the persistent
expectations of baht devaluation driving capital outflows, foreign exchange reserves
remained under pressure and the authorities eventually abandoned their pegged
exchange rate regime and floated the baht on July 2, 1997. Thailand’s
capital controls provided temporary relief. Circumvention was facilitated because
of presence of offshore market with arbitrage opportunities. Re-imposition of
controls along with weak economic fundamentals undermined investor confidence
and reduced inflows. Once the economic situation showed signs of improvement and
the Bank of Thailand lifted controls in 1998 unifying the two-tier market, baht
appreciated and stock prices improved. South Korea
Over the course of the late 1980s, South Korea pursued a policy of gradually liberalising
the domestic financial system and the capital account, although this was accelerated
in 1993. In 1988, South Korea accepted Article VIII obligations ensuring
full convertibility for current account transactions. In the early 1980s, capital
inflows were liberalised and capital outflows restricted to assist the financing
of current account deficits. Later in the decade, when Korea began to run substantial
current account surpluses, controls were reimposed on inflows and controls on
outflows were eased. This position was reversed in early 1990s as a consequence
of the strong won. Liberalisation of the capital account was gradual and selective
and a comprehensive liberalisation plan was not adopted until 1993. Policy thereafter
was oriented towards gradually liberalising capital account transactions. Korea’s
policy towards capital account transactions was, thus, guided by developments
in the current account. Financial sector reform, including efforts to improve
regulation and supervision, was pursued concurrently (Coe and Se-jik, 2002 and
IEO, 2003). As part of the reform process, Korea moved from pegging the
won to a basket of currencies to the Market Average Exchange Rate (MAER) system
in order to allow exchange rates to be determined more by market forces. One key
consequence of the increased access of Korean financial institutions to external
financing was a rapid expansion of foreign debt, which nearly trebled from $ 44
billion in 1993 to $120 billion in September 1997. While this level of foreign
debt accounted for only 25 per cent of GDP in 1997, which was considerably lower
than that of other comparable countries, a critical dimension was the maturity
structure of the debt. The share of short-term debt rose from an already high
43.7 per cent in 1993 to an extremely high 58.3 per cent at the end of 1996. Newly-licensed
merchant banks, most of them owned by chaebols assumed a very large share
of this short-term debt. The policy of liberalising short-term flows before long-term
flows and restricting direct raising of capital by non-financial firms gave the
merchant banks a profitable niche. The merchant banks were required to keep their
currency exposures in balance, but there were many loopholes in these rules and
supervision was poor. Thus, although measures were undertaken in the 1990s to
liberalise and strengthen the financial sector, persistent weaknesses of oversight
and regulation remained. Korea was hit by the Asian financial crisis
of 1997 as the sharp rise in the short-term debt to reserves ratio and concerns
about the stability of the financial sector (especially the finance companies)
encouraged continual pressure against the won. When the won was forced out of
its trading band, its value collapsed. Korea adopted financial and corporate
restructuring policies following the crisis and recovered fast, and is currently
showing robust growth rates. In recent years, Korean won was allowed to appreciate
but at the same time, the country attempted to maintain export competitiveness
of the country. While currency value is allowed to be determined by market fundamentals,
interventions ensure smoothing of the currency path. Experience
of other EMEs Russia Russia started slowly
liberalising its capital account in the early 1990s, but in 1998, Russia faced
a serious currency crisis due to its fiscal situation. In August 1998, Russia
introduced a series of emergency measures, including re-intensification of capital
controls and the announcement of a debt moratorium. The unilateral debt
restructuring and moratorium was reflected in a downgrading of sovereign credit
ratings in early 1999 and a complete halt in access to international capital markets.
FDI declined sharply. The exchange rate band was abandoned and the currency
depreciated sharply. Russia recovered with the help of subsequent reforms and
has recorded an average growth of 7 per cent in the last three years. Russia lifted
the last remaining capital restrictions effective July 1, 2006 clearing the way
for making the currency fully convertible. Such restrictions included a 7.5 per
cent mandatory reserve requirement for non-resident holders of sovereign debt.
They also involved an obligation to hold proceeds from the sale of sovereign debt
temporarily in a special rouble account before converting the roubles into foreign
currency. Earlier in the year, the central bank abolished the compulsory sale
of 10 per cent of foreign earnings by Russian entities. Foreigners were
also permitted better access to the Russian bond market. The move to full capital
account convertibility is expected to make the domestic Russian debt market more
attractive to foreign investors, but little immediate impact is expected on the
rouble’s exchange rate that is currently linked to a bi-currency basket.
It is estimated that Russia has the second largest amount of dollar bills in circulation
after the US. With convertibility, Russians who keep their savings in US dollar
are likely to opt for rouble, speeding up ‘de-dollarisation’ of the
country’s economy (Humber, 2006 and Mosnews, 2006). Brazil
Brazil was impacted by both the East Asian and the Russian crisis and was
taking steps to avert its intensity when inflows of private foreign capital suddenly
dried up. At the time of financial crisis in 1999, Brazil suffered from both fiscal
and balance of payments weaknesses: in mid-1998, the bulk of the government’s
domestic debt - which amounted to 40 per cent of GDP - consisted of short-term
financing. The current account deficit was approaching 5 per cent of GDP.
In August 1998, capital flows to Brazil came to a halt. These events forced
Brazil to float the real which led to a sharp depreciation in February
1999 and threatened to fuel inflation while driving the economy into a deep recession.
The real was allowed to continue to float and Brazil adopted inflation
targeting in two steps to enhance the credibility of its macro-economy. Interest
rates were as high as 39 per cent and had to be raised further, given the inflationary
potential due to sharp depreciation. Subsequently, a remarkable turnaround in
the fiscal situation to a surplus helped Brazil in resolving the crisis as the
debt-to-GDP ratio stabilised. The central bank started the practice of lowering
rates between meetings of the MPC which reduced the inflationary expectations.
This measure, coupled with greater information disclosure, helped in stabilising
international financial flows and the exchange rate and the interest rate. Dependence
on short-term credit (other than trade finance) to finance the balance of payments
was reduced and maturities of the government’s domestic debt were lengthened.
Brazil was broadly able to adhere to the announced inflation targets and witnessed
a return to growth thereafter (Fraga, 2000 and IEO, 2003). Argentina
In the mid-1990s, Argentina displayed strong economic performance: the hyperinflation
of the 1980s came down to low single digits, output growth was impressive, and
the economy had successfully weathered the Mexican crisis of the mid-1990s. The
current and capital account transactions were both liberalised simultaneously
in 1991, and Argentina embarked on a currency board arrangement pegged to US dollar
from April 1991. Major weaknesses however, emerged during the boom years of the
1990s, including the build-up of public debt and the failure to tackle serious
structural weaknesses in fiscal institutions, labour markets, and external trade.
These weaknesses came into play with the onset of a prolonged depression beginning
in mid-1998 on account of several factors: cyclical correction, domestic political
uncertainties, financial contagion from the 1998 Russian crisis, and Brazil’s
1999 crisis and the subsequent devaluation of Brazil’s currency. Once the
downturn had started, the currency board arrangement limited the Argentine authorities’
ability to manage macroeconomic policies in a counter-cyclical manner. In
2001-02, Argentina experienced one of the worst economic crises in its history.
Output fell by about 20 per cent over three years, inflation came back, the government
defaulted on its debt, the banking system was largely paralysed, and the Argentine
peso depreciated sharply. When the economy slid into recession, the currency
board became a liability in the context of a build-up of sizable foreign currency-denominated
public debt. The currency board was abandoned in January 2002, and the peso
was first devalued and later floated, thereby totally backtracking from the hard
peg combined with re-imposition of several current and capital account restrictions.
In the early months of 2003, the economy began to recover and in 2005, after three
years of around 9 per cent growth, real GDP has surpassed its 1998 peak by some
6 per cent, led by strong investment and consumption. The economy has benefited
from a favourable terms of trade, significant reduction in the debt burden following
the 2005 debt restructuring, and a competitive currency. However, inflation
after touching a low of 3 per cent in 2003 has risen steadily to 12.3 per cent
in 2005. The external accounts have improved remarkably aided by favourable global
commodity prices and the emergence of Asia as a key export destination which have
increased earnings from primary and agro-industrial exports. At the same time,
net private capital flows turned positive in 2005 for the first time since 1999.
In a nutshell, the adverse interaction between currency board arrangement and
fiscal dynamics played the central role in Argentine crisis of 2001-02, combined
with adverse external developments (Daseking et al, 2004; IMF, 2006)
Turkey Huge requirements for public sector borrowing in
1993 and early 1994, combined with major policy errors in financing the deficit,
led to Turkey’s currency crisis in 1994. As a result, output fell by 6 per
cent, inflation rose to three-digit levels, the central bank lost half of its
reserves, and the exchange rate (against the U.S. dollar) depreciated by more
than half in the first three months of the year. Again, Turkey faced a serious
currency crisis during November-December 2000 when the overnight inter-bank interest
rates climbed as high as 1700 per cent while domestic interest rates reached 60
per cent and fearing an impending liquidity crisis, foreign investors immediately
took their money out from Turkey. This was followed by another crisis which began
on February 19, 2001 due to domestic political dissensions and the foreign investors
and creditors started panic buying of Euro to cover their exposure from impending
economic and political crisis. There has been a sharp decline of the Turkish lira
over the past few months due to a massive sale of Turkish assets by international
investors - as in other emerging markets - due to external factors, including
the tightening of monetary policy in the United States, the euro zone and Japan
coupled with the domestic political uncertainty caused by the forthcoming elections,
a large government debt, a growing current account deficit and dependence on short-term
capital inflows (Celasun, 1998; Bibbee, 2001). Chile
Chile faced a surge in private capital inflows beginning 1989. With monetary policy
adhering to a domestic inflation target and exchange rate geared towards achieving
an external current account target, complete deregulation of capital flows resulted
in a classical monetary policy dilemma. The initial policy response was sterilised
foreign exchange intervention and a tightening of fiscal policy. With sterilisation
costs becoming sizable, the authorities in June 1991 introduced selective controls
on capital inflows (Schneider, 2000): A 20
per cent unremunerated reserve requirement (URR) on foreign borrowing. The URR,
an indirect/price-based capital control, was designed to indirectly tax short-term
capital inflows (a form of Tobin tax). Initially, the URR covered foreign loans
(except for trade credit), but over time its coverage was extended to non-debt
flows that had become a channel for short-term portfolio inflows (i.e., foreign
currency deposits in commercial banks, and even foreign direct investments of
a potentially speculative nature). The rate of the URR was raised from 20 per
cent to 30 per cent, until a decline in capital inflows, reflecting contagion
from the Asian crisis, motivated a reduction of the rate. In September 1998, the
URR was suspended by reducing its rate to zero per cent.
The
URR was also supported by restrictive measures such as a minimum stay requirement
for direct and portfolio investments from abroad; some regulatory requirements
for domestic corporations borrowing abroad; and extensive reporting requirements
on banks for capital transactions.
Along
with these controls, supporting measures such as liberalisation of capital outflows
started in the early 1990s which was expected to relieve the pressure on net capital
flows. The use of capital controls in Chile has been part of a broad
program of economic reforms involving a coherent set of macroeconomic and structural
policies implemented throughout the 1990s. Chile depicts a successful
experience in CAL using judicious controls along with liberalisation and economic
reforms. Chile could well recognise the significance of financial reforms
(in establishing a sound prudential framework and a strong credit culture) for
the success of economic reforms5. China
China has been following a policy of gradualist economic reforms since late 1978.
A closed economic system was rapidly opened to trade and investment. China
allowed yuan to be freely convertible under current account in December 1996.
There are, however, extensive restrictions on inflows and outflows of money for
capital account transactions (BIS, 2003). On July 21, 2005 China abandoned
its eight-year peg to the dollar and moved to a managed floating exchange rate
regime. Since then, the renminbi (RMB) has appreciated, albeit
marginally. China continues to take steps to create market infrastructure and
financial instruments for a floating currency. They introduced an inter-bank
foreign currency trading system in early 2005. They also introduced new
financial products to hedge against currency appreciation such as forwards.
China has taken steps to liberalise controls on capital movements to increase
the depth and liquidity in foreign exchange markets. It has continued to
expand the program that allows FIIs to buy shares in locally listed companies.
Chinese residents and institutional investors have also been increasingly allowed
to acquire overseas assets. But, China still maintains extensive controls
on outflow of capital than it does on inflows. The country remains reticent
to open capital account partly due to its weak financial system and the need to
substantially strengthen regulations and prudential supervision. The authorities
have recently announced that China will push ahead with yuan convertibility ‘step
by step’. ‘Yuan convertibility’ is a systematic project
and has to accommodate the nation’s macroeconomic and financial reform.
The Chinese government realises that capital account liberalisation is in the
country’s best long-term interests and moving in this direction is inevitable.
In the last few years, China has announced the following liberalisation measures
on capital flows. 2003 - Chinese authorities
introduce measures that promote FDI and other capital flows. - Qualified
Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) program launched. (QFII: Qualified Foreign
Institutional Investor – a foreign entity allowed to invest upto a certain
quota amount in China’s domestic capital markets). 2004
- July-August: Select Chinese domestic institutional investors
(ADII) authorised to invest in overseas assets. - November/December:
Limits raised on amounts emigrants, travellers, and students can take out of China.
2005 - February: Eliminated surrender requirements
on certain commercial firms’ forex receipts. - June:
Raised quota for QFIIs from $ 4 billion to $ 10 billion. 2006
- April: Liberalised forex regulations allowing Chinese firms/residents
to buy more foreign assets. (April 2006: Individuals can convert more RMB
to take out of China, commercial banks can buy foreign bonds; securities firms
can buy foreign assets). - April: 54 foreign and domestic banks
operating in China allowed to trade forex swaps. China also had record
current account surplus and its official external debt was modest. The focus
on attracting certain forms of FDI on an integrated, geographically-targeted basis,
and gradual opening up of financial sector has also helped in attracting stable
capital inflows into China. China has committed to open the external
sector to foreign investment as part of WTO accession with substantive liberalisation
to be completed by 2007 (Lu, 2006). This looming deadline has forced Chinese
government to accelerate steps to strengthen reforms in the banking system.
Section IV Extant Capital
Account Restrictions The 2005 Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements
and Exchange Restrictions records that the changes in exchange rate regimes
indicated a move towards more flexible regimes by several countries and the general
thrust of changes affecting the regulatory framework of foreign exchange transactions
was towards the easing of controls including capital account transactions.
Changes in the prudential measures of many countries were also directed towards
the easing of requirements. The category in which several countries appear
to have become restrictive pertains to the regulation of the inflow of foreign
direct investments. However, the limitations in this category are often motivated
by reasons other than economic factors – similar to the regulation of real
estate investments by non-residents. Of late, however, there has been a
significant increase in notifications to the IMF involving the enforcement of
restrictions for security reasons. These restrictions were introduced consequent
to the emphasis on preventing the financing of terrorism. Based on
the reporting by member countries, the IMF report for 2005 shows that only 16
countries do not have restrictions on payment for capital transactions (Italy,
Spain, Luxemburg, Israel and Hong Kong among the advanced countries and Gambia,
Zambia, Kiribati, Iraq, Bolivia, Guatemala, Haiti, Nicaragua, Panama,
Peru and Uruguay among the EMEs and developing countries). Though,
the Article 56 (1) of the EC Treaty holds that ‘all restrictions on the
movement of capital between Member States and between Member States and third
countries’ stand prohibited, Articles 57 to 60 of the Treaty provide for
certain qualifying restrictions which would not be construed as violation or arbitrary
discrimination or disguised restriction on the free movement of capital and payments.
These qualifying restrictions are summarised below:
Article No. |
Qualifying restrictions |
57 |
Restrictions which exist on 31st December 1993 under national or
community law adopted in respect of movement of capital involving direct investment
- including in real estate - establishment, the provision of financial services
or the admission of securities to capital markets. |
58(1)(a) |
Application of tax law distinguishing between taxpayers on the basis of
residence or with regard to the place where the capital is invested. |
58(1)(b) |
Requisite measures to prevent infringements of national law in the fields
of taxation, prudential supervision of financial institutions, lay down procedures
for statistical information or measures on the grounds of public policy and
public security. |
58(2) | Restrictions
on the right of establishment. |
59 |
In exceptional circumstances, movement of capital to or from third countries
cause, or threaten to cause, serious difficulties for the operation of economic
and monetary union (by qualified majority, the Council after consulting ECB,
may take safeguard measures with regard to third countries for a period not
exceeding six months, if such measures are strictly necessary). |
60(1) |
For serious political reasons and on grounds of urgency in the light of
common foreign and security policy, Member States may take unilateral measures
with regard to capital movement and payments. |
60(2) |
In the event of serious internal disturbances affecting law and order or
in the event of war to take urgent measures on the movement of capital and
payments. | Source:
Courtesy - Shri U.S. Das, IMF, Washington |
Table
4: Summary of Features of Controls on Capital |
Transactions in IMF Member Countries |
(Total
number of countries: 184) |
Features of Controls on Capital
Transactions | Total
no. of |
Countries with this feature | |
1. |
Capital Market Securities |
126 |
2. |
Money Market Transactions |
103 |
3. |
Collective Investment Securities |
9 7 |
4. |
Derivatives and Other Instruments |
8 3 |
5. |
Commercial Credits |
9 8 |
6. |
Financial Credits |
109 |
7. |
Guarantees, Sureties and Financial backup Facilities |
8 7 |
8. |
Direct Investment |
143 |
9. |
Liquidation of Direct Investment |
5 4 |
10. |
Real Estate Transactions |
135 |
11. |
Personal Capital Transactions |
9 7 |
Provisions specific to | |
(a) |
Commercial banks and Other Credit Institutions |
157 |
(b) |
Institutional investors |
9 1 |
Note: |
India figures under all these items. | |
Source:
IMF, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions, 2005 |
Section V
Lessons
from Country Experiences The experience of the countries recounted
above with respect to capital account liberalisation and lessons drawn therefrom
are summarised below: Liberalisation of the
capital account was gradual in most of the advanced economies in the run up to
full convertibility, combined with strengthened financial systems and prudential
regulations. Even after “fully” liberalising the capital account these
countries continue to maintain certain capital controls.
Experience
of some of the Asian and Latin American economies, which liberalised their capital
account in the 1980s and later backtracked by imposing controls, shows that even
after full capital account convertibility, there is a need for safety valves in
the form of regulatory safeguards to meet potential capital account crises.
Gradual liberalisation should not be used as
a shield for weak economic policies by continuing to retain several controls.
Instead, gradual liberalisation should be used as a tool for furtherance of sound
macroeconomic and prudential policies prior to full CAL (France).
Gradual
process of CAL does not eliminate the risks of crisis or pressures in the foreign
exchange market (France, Japan). These risks, however, get minimised when an integrated
approach to reform is taken involving macroeconomic stabilisation and institutional
strengthening.
Along with other reform
measures, exchange rate flexibility is important while undertaking CAL. Fixed
exchange rate regime reduces the incentive to hedge foreign currency borrowing.
Floating exchange rates reduce such incentives. Under a flexible exchange rate
scenario, monetary policy flexibility can be a useful tool to help maintain macro-economic
stability.
Capital controls could temporarily
relieve the pressures on the balance of payments but they cannot provide lasting
protection when the fundamental causes of the imbalances remain unaddressed.
Partial system of capital control that seeks
to discriminate between types of flows or destinations provides incentives for
circumvention and is vulnerable to diversion of capital flows to unregulated financial
markets.
Limiting fiscal imbalances and
preventing excessive build-up of domestic debt is essential to avoid chances of
backtracking subsequent to CAL. Though fiscal consolidation may not by itself
be a sufficient condition to prevent crises, it has been a necessary component
of liberalisation and its absence can lead to instability (Brazil).
Emerging
market economies have managed heavy inflows subsequent to liberalisation through
sterilisation, though later most of them have reimposed capital controls faced
with the limitations of sterilisation.
Avoiding
real exchange rate misalignment could minimise effects of crisis. This also gives
room for pursuing autonomous monetary policy. It would force market participants
to hedge their positions which would be beneficial for forex market development.
Most of the developing countries have opted for greater flexibility in their exchange
rate regimes as CAL has progressed.
Given
the increased risks that are prevalent in a deregulated environment, it is important
to focus on effective risk management strategies, improve prudential supervision
and develop proper reporting standards to meet the emerging challenges.
Most
of the advanced economies used capital controls extensively during the phase of
run up to full convertibility. Once these economies went in for CAL in the late
1970s and 1980s, cases of reintroduction of controls were rare. The financial
environment in which countries operate today has however changed dramatically
from the 1960s and 1970s when the advanced countries were able to use controls.
Liberalisation and deregulation, combined with advancement of information and
communications technology, has increased the complexity and sophistication of
the global financial markets. The range of financial instruments being used by
market participants has increased. Financial markets react swiftly to new information
and changed circumstances and also exhibit higher risks and volatility. Under
such circumstances, use of controls for a prolonged period may not be very effective.
At the same time, rapid easing of capital controls and subsequent backtracking
seen in the case of many Asian and Latin American countries, clearly indicate
the need for a more cautious and calibrated approach, and ensuring enough regulatory
and prudential safeguards before moving towards capital account liberalisation,
if risks of substantial backtracking are to be minimised.
Annex
1 | Chronology
of Key Changes in Capital Account |
Controls in Select Advanced Countries |
| |
1. United States |
1963 |
July |
T Announcement of introduction of Interest Equalisation
Tax (enacted 1964). |
1965 |
March |
T Introduction of voluntary guidelines limiting
foreign lending and investment. |
1968 |
January |
T Guidelines limiting foreign direct investment
made mandatory. |
1974 |
January |
L Abolition of capital controls, including voluntary
guidelines. | | |
2. Japan |
1960 |
June |
L Controls on foreign direct investment eased. |
|
July |
L Introduction of non-resident free yen accounts. |
1967 |
July |
L Further easing in foreign direct investment regulations. |
1971 |
July |
L Restrictions on outward direct and portfolio
investment eased. | |
September |
T Restrictions on yen conversion of advance export
receipts. | 1972 |
June |
T Marginal reserve requirement imposed on non-resident
free yen accounts. | |
October |
T Restrictions on the purchase of Japanese securities
by non- residents. | |
November |
L Restrictions on portfolio outflows eased further. |
1973 |
November |
L Easing of restrictions on the advance receipt
export payments. | |
November |
T Acquisition of foreign short-term (maturity less
than 6 months) securities by residents restricted. | |
December |
L Easing of restrictions on the purchase of Japanese
securities | | |
and lowering of the marginal reserve requirement
of non- resident free yen accounts. |
1974 |
January |
T Tightening of portfolio outflow restrictions,
including | | |
voluntary restraints on institutional investors. |
|
April |
T Japanese banks instructed to no finance "non-urgent"
foreign direct investment. | |
September |
L Marginal reserve requirement on non-resident
free yen accounts abolished. |
1977 |
March |
L Abolition of "voluntary restraints"
on banks’ purchase of foreign securities. | |
June |
L Restrictions on foreign currency accounts of
residents eased. | |
June |
T Reserve requirements introduced on foreign currency |
| |
liabilities of foreign exchange banks, residents’
external foreign | | |
currency deposits and non-resident free yen accounts. |
1978 |
March |
T Marginal reserve requirement on non-resident
free yen | | |
accounts increased, further restrictions on portfolio
inflows. | 1979 |
February |
L Marginal reserve requirement on non-resident
free yen accounts abolished. | |
February |
L Restrictions on non-resident purchase of bonds
eased. | |
M a y |
L Easing of restrictions on portfolio flows. |
1980 |
March |
L Easing of restrictions on portfolio inflows. |
|
December |
L Revision of the Foreign Exchange and Foreign
Trade Control Law. |
1983 |
April |
L Abolition of requirement to link forward exchange
transactions to trade. | |
M a y |
L Publication of the "Report on yen/dollar
exchange issues". | |
June |
L Further easing of portfolio flows. |
|
June |
L Liberalisation of short-term euro/yen lending
by Japanese banks. |
1985 |
M a y |
L Abolition of prior notification requirement for
residents borrowing short-term euro/yen. |
1986 |
August |
L Easing of limits on off-shore investment by institutional
investors. | |
December |
L Japanese Off-shore Market (JOM) opened. |
1989 |
April |
L Easing in restrictions on flows of funds between
JOM and domestic markets. |
1991 |
April |
L Restrictions on inward foreign direct investment
eased. | 1998 |
April |
L Introduction of new Foreign Exchange and Foreign
Trade Control Law. | | |
3. Australia |
1972 |
September |
T Short-term overseas borrowing restricted. |
|
December |
T Those undertaking long-term overseas borrowing
required to | | |
hold a non-interest bearing deposit with the Reserve
Bank. | 1973 |
March |
T Restrictions on inward investment in real estate
imposed. | 1977 |
July |
L Requirement to hold a non-interest bearing deposit
with the | | |
Reserve Bank when borrowing overseas suspended
(and not reintroduced). |
1981 |
July |
L Monetary limits on overseas investment in equity
or real estate abolished. |
1983 |
December |
L Restrictions on interest-bearing investments
by non-residents abolished. | |
December |
L The exchange rate was floated. |
1985 |
January |
L A range of portfolio controls abolished. |
|
October |
L Restrictions on inward direct investment eased. |
1992 |
February |
L Restrictions on inward direct investment eased
further. | | |
4. Italy |
1972 |
June |
T Introduction of measures aimed at restricting
capital | | |
outflows; ban on net external credit position of
banks; | | |
suspension of external convertibility of Italian
banknotes. | 1973 |
January |
T Establishment of a dual exchange market. |
|
July |
T Introduction of a 50 per cent compulsory non-interest |
| |
bearing deposit scheme with respect to most capital
outflows. | 1974 |
March |
L Abolition of the dual exchange market. |
|
M a y |
T Introduction of a temporary compulsory non-interest
bearing | | |
deposit scheme with respect to imports, excluding
raw | | |
materials, oil and investment goods. Italy is authorised
by the | | |
Commission to invoke safeguard measures. |
1976 |
March |
T Reintroduction of compulsory bank financing in
foreign | | |
exchange for advance settlement of imports. |
|
M a y |
T Reintroduction of the non-interest bearing import
deposit scheme. | |
October |
T Imposition of a temporary special tax on purchases
of | | |
foreign currency and payments abroad. Extension
of the compulsory import deposit scheme. |
1977 |
February |
L Expiration of the special tax on foreign currency
purchases. | |
April |
L Abolition of the compulsory import deposit scheme. |
1981 |
May |
T Reintroduction of the non-interest-bearing deposit
scheme | | |
with respect to purchases of foreign currency by
residents. | 1982 |
February |
L Abolition of the advance deposit scheme. |
1983 |
December |
L Certain direct investment abroad is exempted
from the 50 per | | |
cent non-interest-bearing deposit requirements. |
1984 |
December |
L Reduction of compulsory zero-deposit requirements
on portfolio investment abroad. |
1985 |
October |
L Abolition of the compulsory deposit requirement
for direct | | |
investment abroad. Residents’ foreign exchange
deposits are | | |
freely convertible into other currencies and the
ban on transfer | | |
of foreign securities and loans between residents
is lifted. | | |
Reduction of compulsory deposit requirements on
other transactions. |
1986 |
August |
L Restoration of external convertibility of Italian
banknotes. | 1987 |
March |
T Introduction of reserve requirement on bank deposits
in foreign currency. | |
M a y |
L Abolition of the non-interest-bearing deposit
requirement for | | |
investment abroad in securities and real estate. |
|
September |
T Shortening of holding periods of foreign currencies. |
1988 |
June |
L Restrictions on tourist spending are eased. |
|
October |
L Introduction of a positive system of exchange
control. Significant relaxation of controls. |
1990 |
January |
L Abolition of restrictions on purchases of foreign
securities by residents. | |
M a y |
L Abolition of all remaining exchange control regulations. |
T:
Tightening of controls; L: Loosening of controls Source:
Bakker and Chapple (2002). |
Annex-2 |
CONTROLS
ON CAPITAL ACCOUNT TRANSACTIONS | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
United
States | On
capital market securities Shares or other securities of a participating nature | Purchase
locally by non-residents – Laws on inward direct investment apply to
purchases in the United States by non-residents of securities. There are also
some restrictions specific to state legislative jurisdiction in the banking,
securities, and insurance sectors. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Public offers in the United States
or to U.S. residents by foreign investment companies are prohibited. |
On Money market instruments | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Foreign mutual funds are restricted. |
On collective investment
securities | Sale or issue
locally by non-residents – The regulations governing shares and other
securities of a participating nature apply. |
Controls on credit Operations | Financial
Credits – by residents to non-residents – The Johnson Act prohibits,
with certain exceptions, persons within the United States from dealing in financial
obligations or extending loans to foreign governments (other than IMF/World Bank
members) that have defaulted. | Controls
on direct investment | Outward direct
investment – Controls for security reasons to certain countries. |
Note:
Compiled from Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions,
IMF, 2005. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Inward direct investment | Laws
on inward direct investment apply to purchases in the United States by non-residents.
Also, controls on investment transactions for security reasons from some countries. |
Controls on real estate
transactions | Purchase locally by non-residents
– Ownership of agricultural land by foreign nationals or by corporations
in which foreign owners have an interest of at least 10 per cent or substantial
control must be reported to the Department of Agriculture. Certain states in the
United States impose various controls on foreign nationals’ purchases of
land within their borders. | Provisions
specific to commercial banks and other credit institutions | Investment
regulations – Banks are subject to prudential oversight in these areas.
Open foreign exchange position limits – Banks are subject to prudential
oversight and reporting requirements. | China
| On capital
Market securities | Purchase locally
by non-residents – Qualified foreign institutional investors (QFIIs)
may invest domestically in A shares, subject to certain limitations. |
Shares or other securities
of a participating nature | B shares denominated
in U.S. dollars or Hong Kong dollars and are listed on the Chinese Securities
Exchange may be bought by foreign and domestic investors. Domestic investors may
purchase B shares with new or existing foreign currency deposits. |
| Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – These transactions are limited
to B shares. Foreign institutional investors, however, can invest in treasury
bonds, convertible bonds, and corporate bonds listed on domestic security
exchanges. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
| Purchase
abroad by residents – Overseas listed domestic companies may repurchase
the shares issued by them provided that the SAFE verifies the source of the
fund and approves payment abroad. Sale or issue abroad by
residents – restricted. | Bonds
or other Debt securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – These transactions are not permitted. |
| Purchase
abroad by residents – Banks authorised by the China Banking Regulatory
Commission (CBRC) and insurance companies authorised by the China Regulatory
Commission and the SAFE may purchase foreign bonds. |
| Sale
or issue abroad by residents – Following authorisation. Foreign exchange
earnings from bond floatation must be repatriated. |
On money market instruments | Purchase
locally by non-residents – Non-residents are not allowed to purchase
money market instruments. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Non-residents are not allowed to
sell or issue money market instruments. | Purchase
abroad by residents – The regulations governing bonds or other debt
securities apply. | Sale
or issue abroad by residents – These transactions are subject to SAFE
approval. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
On collective investment securities | Purchase
locally by non-residents – Qualified foreign institutional investors
may invest in domestic closed-end and open-end funds. |
Sale or issue locally by non-residents –
These transactions are not allowed. | Purchase
abroad by residents – The regulations governing purchases of money
market instruments apply. | Sale
or issue abroad by residents – The regulations governing the sale or
issue of money market instruments apply. | Controls
on derivatives and other Instruments | Purchase
locally by non-residents – These transactions are not allowed. |
Purchase locally by non-residents
– These transactions are not allowed. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – These transactions are not allowed. |
Purchase abroad by residents –
Only financial institutions that are approved by the CBRC and carry out foreign
exchange trading operations for their own account or on behalf of customers
may purchase without SAFE approval, both transactions are subject to SAFE approval
and restrictions. | Controls
on credit operations | Purchases of foreign exchange
for advance repayment of foreign debt require SAFE authorisation. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Commercial
credits | By residents to non-residents
– Financial institutions authorised by the CBRC may lend to overseas
institutions or contract overseas credits. | To
residents from non-residents – Medium – and long-term international
commercial borrowing by Chinese institutions must be incorporated in the state
plan for the use of foreign capital and undergo transaction based examination. |
FFEs may borrow from non-residents
without obtaining prior approval but must register the borrowing with the
SAFE. | Financial
credits – The regulations governing commercial credits apply. |
By residents to non-residents:
Restricted. | To
residents from non-residents: Restricted. |
Guarantees, sureties, and financial
backup facilities | By residents
to non-residents – Financing guarantees provided by domestic Chinese
banks and other domestic institutions (with the exception of wholly foreign-owned
enterprises) require prior SAFE approval. |
To residents from non-residents – Domestic
institutions may accept guarantees from foreign institutions. |
Controls on direct investment | A
three-tier classification system is in effect, defining activities in which foreign
exchange investment is encouraged, restricted, or banned. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Outward
direct investment | Outward direct investment
is permitted only after examination of the source of the foreign exchange
funds and approval of the authorities concerned. In some provinces and regions,
the limit on outward investment is the equivalent of US $ 3 million. |
Inward direct investment | Non-residents
are free to invest in China as long as they meet requirements under Sino foreign
joint-venture laws and other relevant regulations, and are approved by the Ministry
of Commerce. | For
environmental and security reasons, inward direct investment in some industries
is prohibited. | Controls
on liquidation of direct Investment | Prior
approval is required. | Controls
on real estate transactions | The regulations
governing direct investment apply. | Purchase
abroad By residents | Restricted. |
Purchase locally by non- residents | Restricted. |
Controls on
Personal capital Transactions Loans | Sale
locally by non-residents – With SAFE approval. |
By residents to non-residents: Restricted. |
To residents
from non-residents: Restricted. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Gifts, endowments,
inheritances, and Legacies | By residents
to non-residents – Restricted and subject to complex procedures. |
To residents from non-residents
– Restricted and subject to complex procedures. |
Transfer of assets | Transfer
abroad by emigrants – Routine foreign exchange revenues, including
retirement and | pension
funds, may be remitted abroad. | Provisions
specific to commercial Banks and other credit institutions | The
limits and restrictions are set by the Monetary Authority for prudential reasons. |
Borrowing abroad –
The regulations governing commercial credits apply. Effective June 27, 2004,
domestic banks that are foreign funded may not convert proceeds from debt contracted
abroad into renminbi and are not allowed to purchase foreign exchange to service
these debts. | Maintenance
of accounts abroad – Registration with the SAFE is required for domestic
banks to open foreign exchange accounts abroad. Domestic nonbank financial
institutions and nonfinancial | enterprises
require prior approval by the SAFE. | Lending
to non-residents (financial or commercial credits) – The regulations
governing commercial credits apply. | Lending
locally in foreign exchange – Lending is subject mainly to review of
qualifications by the PBC and to asset–liability ratio requirements. |
Purchase of locally issued
securities denominated in foreign exchange: Securities denominated in
foreign currency are not currently issued. | Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Differential
treatment of deposit accounts in foreign exchange | Liquid
asset requirements – The ratio of all liquid foreign exchange capital
to all liquid foreign exchange liabilities may not be less than 60%. |
Credit controls –
The ratio of the credit balance for a single borrower to a bank’s net
capital may not exceed 10%. | Investment
regulations – Bank equity investment should not exceed the difference
between bank | capital
and mandatory paid–in capital. Nonbank financial institutions’ total
equity investment (excluding trust accounts) should not exceed the difference
between their capital and mandatory paid-in capital. |
Abroad by banks – Investment in
foreign securities other than equities on foreign securities markets by banks
is subject to quarterly approval by the PBC. In banks by non-residents –
PBC approval is required. | Open
foreign exchange position limits – For financial institutions trading
foreign exchange on their own behalf, the daily total amount traded (total
open foreign exchange position) should not exceed 20% of the foreign exchange
working capital. As authorised by the highest level of management, financial
institutions trading foreign exchange on their own behalf may retain a small
amount of overnight open position, but this should not exceed 1% of the foreign
exchange working capital or foreign exchange operating funds. |
On resident assets and
liabilities : Restricted. | On
non-resident assets and liabilities : Restricted. |
Feature Argentina
| Extant Capital Restrictions
| Controls
on capital transactions | Inward
and outward foreign exchange transactions must be registered. Foreign exchange
that | enters the
domestic market may be transferred out 365 days after its entry, except in the
case of foreign trade operations and direct investment. |
New financing in the form of financial credits
to or bond issues by private borrowers must be matched by foreign exchange
sales to the MULC. | The
prior approval requirement for servicing nonfinancial and financial private debt
is applicable only for debts of financial institutions that have opted for the
BCRA’s refinancing mechanism(matching). |
Monthly ceiling for purchases of foreign exchange
by residents for various transactions, across all financial institutions apply. |
Also, a monthly cap is applied
on purchases of foreign exchange by non-residents for various transactions. |
Controls on capital and
money Market instruments | Non-resident
portfolio investors are required to deposit 30% of their investment in an
unremunerated account for one year. | On
capital market Securities Shares or other securities of a Participating
nature | Sale or issue locally
by non-residents – Under the regulations of the National
Securities Commission (CNV), foreign and Argentine issuers must meet the same
requirements to make a public offering of securities in Argentina. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | Purchase
abroad by residents – Although there are no specific controls on residents’
purchases of foreign securities abroad, their purchases may be limited as
a result of restrictions on capital flows from Argentina to foreign jurisdictions. |
Bonds or other debt securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – The regulations governing the sale
or issue of shares or other securities of a participating nature apply. Purchase
abroad by residents : Restricted. Sale or issue abroad by
residents : Restricted. | On
money market instruments | The regulations
governing the foreign exchange aspects of bonds or other debt securities apply.
Purchase locally by non-residents : Restricted. |
Sale or issue locally by non-residents
– The regulations governing domestic issuers also apply. |
Purchase abroad by residents
– The regulations governing bonds or other debt securities apply. |
Sale or issue
abroad by residents : Restricted. | On
collective investment securities | Purchase
locally by non-residents : Restricted. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Approval by the CNV is required
for public offerings. | Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | Purchase
abroad by residents – The regulations governing bonds or other debt
securities apply. | Sale
or issue abroad by resident: Restricted. |
Controls on derivatives and other
Instruments | Without approval by the BCRA,
authorised foreign exchange dealers may engage in arbitrage and swaps only
with foreign banks or holding companies located in a Bank for International
Settlements member state and that have at least an A rating from one of the rating
agencies registered with the BCRA, or with institutions owned by foreign governments.
(Subject to complex procedures). | Purchase
locally by non-residents: Restricted. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents: Approval by the CNV is required for public
offerings. | Purchase
abroad by residents – Access to the foreign exchange market for forward
and other derivatives contracts – except for currency, interest rate,
and commodity swaps – is subject to BCRA approval. |
Sale or issue abroad by residents:
Restricted. | Commercial
credits | By residents to non-residents
– Residents may make advance payments on imports to their foreign suppliers
of up to 360 days. Exporters may allow their customers to pay in installments.
(Subject to complex procedures). | Financial
credits | By residents to non-residents
– Residents may extend credits to non-residents within the limit
for the accumulation of external assets. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Guarantees, sureties,
and financial backup facilities | To
residents from non-residents: Restricted |
By residents to non-residents –
Non-financial private sector residents may provide financial |
backing within the current
limits on accumulation of foreign assets. | Controls
on direct investment | Outward direct
investment – Residents may access the MULC for direct investments within
the limits for accumulation of external assets. |
Inward direct investment | Restricted. |
Controls on liquidation of
direct investment | Non-residents may access
the MULC to purchase foreign exchange to transfer to their foreign bank accounts
the proceeds collected in the country from sales of direct investments in the
non- financial private sector and the final sale of direct investments in
the country in the non-financial private sector (subject to limits). |
Controls on
real estate transactions | The rules
governing direct investments apply. | Purchase
abroad by residents : Restricted | Purchase
locally by non-residents: Purchases of real estate in border areas by foreign
investors require prior approval. | Sale
locally by non-residents: Restricted. | Controls
on personal capital transactions | The
rules governing legal entities apply. | Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Loans | By
residents to non-residents: Restricted. |
To residents from non-residents: Restricted. |
Provisions specific
to commercial banks and other credit institutions | Lending
to non-residents (financial or commercial credits) – Credits granted
by financial intermediaries must be used in the country and must finance investment,
production, commercialisation, or consumption of goods and services for internal
consumption or export. | Purchase
of locally issued securities denominated in foreign exchange – There are
limits on the maximum amount of securities a bank may hold from a particular
issuer. | Differential
treatment of deposit accounts in foreign exchange – Reserve requirementsMinimum
cash requirements apply separately to each currency in which liabilities are denominated. |
Investment regulations | Abroad
by banks – Transactions are prohibited by policies on general lending. |
Open foreign exchange position
limits – Complex restrictions apply. |
The limit on banks’ U.S. dollar exposure
is 10% of a bank’s net worth. | The
absolute value of the overall net position in foreign exchange – as a monthly
average of daily balances converted to pesos at the reference exchange rate –
may not exceed 30% of the net liabilities of the preceding month. |
When the net foreign exchange
position is positive, the amount may not exceed that proportion of liquid
own resources. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Provisions specific
To institutional investors | Limits (max.) on securities
issued by non-residents – Mutual funds may invest 25% in publicly
offered securities issued by non-residents; pension funds may invest up to 10%. |
Limits (max.) on investment portfolio
held abroad – There is a 25% limit on investment for mutual fund
portfolios, but this limit does not apply to MERCOSUR countries and Chile. For
diversification, no more than 10% of pension funds may be invested in securities
issued by a foreign sovereign, or in securities of foreign corporations issued
abroad. | Limits (min.)
on investment portfolio held locally – When a mutual fund consists
of negotiable securities, a minimum of 75% of the investment must be made
in assets issued and traded in Argentina, including those issued by MERCOSUR
countries and Chile. | C
u r r e n c y - m a t c h In g Regulations on assets/ liabilities composition | Apply. |
Japan |
Controls on capital transactions | Apply. |
Controls on direct
investment | Outward direct investment: Outward direct
investments by residents in a limited number of industries, such as the manufacture
of arms, require prior notice. Inward direct investment : Inward direct investments
by foreign investors in a limited number of industries, such as the manufacture
of arms, require prior notice. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Provisions specific to
institutional investors | Limits (max.)
on investment portfolio held abroad –The limits are (1) 30% of total
assets for insurance companies purchasing foreign currency– denominated
assets; and (2) 20% of the reserve funds issued by non-residents for bond holdings
by the Post Office Insurance Fund. | Other
controls imposed by securities laws | Apply. |
France
| Controls
on capital Transactions Controls on Direct investment | Apply. |
Direct investments by companies
not listed publicly are defined as those in which foreign investors together hold
more than one-third of the capital. However, there are no controls on investments
in a company whose capital is more than 50% foreign owned. In the case of firms
whose shares are listed on the stock exchange, the threshold is also 50% of capital;
this applies to each individual foreign participation but not to total foreign
participation. To determine whether a company is under foreign control, the Ministry
of Economy and Finance (MINEFI) may take into account any special relationships
resulting from stock options, loans, patents, licenses, or commercial contracts.
Inward direct investment: An authorisation is required for investments in areas
pertaining to public order, public health, and defence. |
Controls on liquidation of direct investment | The
liquidation proceeds of foreign direct investment in France may be freely transferred
abroad; the liquidation must be reported to the MINEFI within 20 days of its occurrence. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | The
liquidation of direct investments abroad is free from any prior application, provided
that the corresponding funds have been reported to the Bank of France. |
Provisions specific
To institutional investors | Currency-matching
regulations on assets/liabilities composition: Insurance companies in the |
EU are required to cover their
technical reserves with assets expressed in the same currency. |
Italy |
Controls on capital and money
market instruments | Apply. |
On collective investment
securities | Sale or issue
locally by non-residents – The offering of securities issued by mutual
funds that are not covered by EU directives is subject to authorisation. |
Provisions Specific to
institutional investors | Limits (max.)
on securities issued by non-residents – Portfolio investments abroad
by life insurance and pension funds are subject to prudential regulations.
Currency-matching regulations on assets/liabilities composition: Apply. |
Other controls imposed by securities
laws | The public offering in Italy of financial
products is to be reported to the supervisory authority, and the corresponding
prospectuses should be attached. | Australia
| Controls on
Capital transactions | The purchase of shares
and other securities of a participatory nature, which may be affected by laws
and policies on inward direct investment, may require notification to the Australian
authorities. Detailed guidelines apply. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions
| Controls on
capital and Money market instruments. On capital market securities,
shares or other securities of a participating nature. | Purchase
locally by non-residents: Restricted. Sale or issue abroad
by residents: Restricted. | Bonds
or other debt Securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents : Restricted. |
On money market instruments | The
regulations governing bonds or other debt securities apply. |
Controls on derivatives and
other instruments | An AFSL is required
to purchase or sell foreign currency, except when one of the following conditions
is met: (1) the transaction is settled immediately; (2) the person is
not a dealer in foreign currency; (3) the person is dealing on his or her own
account; or (4) it is a foreign company that is a counterparty to derivatives
of foreign exchange contracts, where it is dealing or making a market in foreign
exchange contracts. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents : Restricted. |
Controls on credit Operations Commercial credits | By
residents to non-residents : Restricted. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Controls
on direct investment | Inward
direct investment: Prior authorisation is required for (1) acquisitions by
foreign investors of a substantial interest in an Australian business, (2)
all investments subject to special restrictions (i.e., in the banking, civil aviation,
airports, shipping, media, telecommunications, and real estate sectors), (3) direct
investments by foreign governments or their agencies, irrespective of size; and
(4) proposals to establish new business when the total amount of the investment
is $A 10 million or more. | Controls
on real estate transactions | Purchase
locally by non-residents – All acquisitions of residential real estate,
including vacant land, must be documented, unless exempt by regulation. Acquisitions
of non-residential commercial real estate for development are normally approved,
as are acquisitions of developed non-residential commercial real estate. Foreign
acquisitions of established residential real estate are normally approved only
in cases involving temporary residents who acquire the property as their principal
place of residence for a period in excess of 12 months subject to resale of the
property upon departure. | Controls
on personal capital transactions – Gifts, endowments, inheritances,
and legacies | By residents to non-residents
– Transfers may be subject to approval of the authorities in cases
where the gift involves a foreign person obtaining an interest in Australian urban
land. | Provisions
specific to commercial banks and other credit institutions Investment
regulations | Authorised deposit–taking
institutions are subject to prudential requirements, e.g., liquidity management
and credit concentration. In banks by non-residents – Prior
approval from the Treasurer is required for any person or group – domestic
or foreign – to acquire a 15% or larger share in a financial sector company. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Provisions
specific to institutional investors Other controls imposed by securities
laws | Limits (max.) on securities issued
by non-residents – Foreign-owned life insurance companies may operate
only in the form of locally incorporated subsidiaries. |
The rules of the Australian Stock Exchange require
that, to be a participating organisation of the exchange, a majority of the
directors must be Australian residents. | Korea
| Controls
on capital transactions | Controls
on capital transactions are based on a negative list system. Proceeds from capital
transactions in excess of $100,000 or its equivalent must be repatriated to Korea
within six months of accrual. These funds, however, may be held abroad and
used for overseas transactions in accordance with the regulations on foreign
exchange transactions. Non-residents may borrow stocks from residents through
brokerage houses up to the value of W 5 billion without approval from or reporting
to the authorities. | Controls
on capital and money market Instruments On capital Market securities
Shares or other securities of a participating nature | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents: Foreign institutions are eligible to list
their shares on the Korean Stock Exchange in the form of depository receipts. |
Foreign Institutions are eligible
to list their shares on the Korean Stock Exchange in the form of Depository
Receipts. | Bonds
or other Debt securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Foreign institutions may issue
won-denominated bonds in the domestic capital market. However, the issuer
must submit a prior report to the MOFE and the Financial Supervisory Council
(FSC). | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
| Sale
or issue abroad by residents – The sale or issuance of foreign currency–denominated
bonds abroad by residents must be reported to a designated foreign exchange
bank. The sale or issuance of won–denominated bonds abroad by residents
must be reported to the MOFE. | On
money Market instruments | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Only the issuance of won-denominated
securities with a maturity of less than one year requires MOFE approval. |
Purchase abroad by residents
– Purchases of short-term securities abroad denominated in won
require BOK approval. | Sale
or issue abroad by residents – There are no controls for foreign exchange
banks to issue money market instruments denominated in foreign currency in
foreign money markets. | Residents
may issue money market instruments denominated in won in the foreign money markets
with the approval of the MOFE. | On
collective investment securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Foreign institutions may issue
collective investment securities in the domestic market, provided that they
establish themselves in Korea and submit a prior report to the FSC. |
Sale or issue
abroad by residents – According to the Foreign Exchange Transaction
Regulation, residents may issue collective investment securities denominated
in foreign currency in foreign markets. However, the issuer must submit a
prior report to the designated exchange bank. |
Residents may issue collective investment securities
denominated in domestic currency in foreign markets with the approval of the MOFE. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | Controls
on derivatives and other instruments | There
are no controls on the trading of over the counter–related derivatives if
the transactions are made through domestic foreign exchange banks. However,
transactions in credit derivatives with domestic foreign exchange banks and
those directly related to specific capital transactions require BOK notification.
Security companies may carry out freely transactions in derivatives. |
Purchase locally by non-residents:
Restricted. | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – There are controls on all derivative
transactions by non- residents involving the use of wonde nominated financing. |
Purchase abroad by residents:
Restricted. | Sale
or issue abroad by residents: Restricted. |
Controls on credit operations
Commercial credits | By residents to
non-residents – Commercial credits in domestic currency of more than
W 1 billion, a lender requires BOK approval. In addition, commercial credits
in foreign currency of more than $10 million or its equivalent by companies
require BOK approval. | To
residents from non-residents – Only commercial credits with maturities
of one year or less, granted to enterprises with unsound financial structures,
require MOFE approval. | Financial
credits | By residents to non-residents
– Credits and loans denominated in domestic currency of more than
W 1 billion, a borrower require BOK approval. In addition, commercial credits
in foreign currency of more than $10 million or its equivalent by companies
require BOK approval. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
| To
residents from non-residents – Only financial credits with a maturity
of one year or less, granted. Guarantees, sureties, and financial backup
facilities By residents to non-residents-Residents, other than banks,
must notify or obtain approval from the BOK. |
Controls on direct Investment | Outward
direct investment – Under current regulations, notification to and
approval by a foreign exchange bank is required. |
Inward direct investment – All
foreign direct investments, except those in industries on the negative list,
are subject to a notification requirement. A notification is deemed accepted by
a foreign exchange bank unless it advises to the contrary. Equity participation
is possible by increasing the amount invested in newly established or existing
enterprises. Direct investment by means of mergers and acquisitions is also
allowed. | Controls
on real estate transactions | Purchase
abroad by residents – The acquisition of real estate for business activities
and for the establishment of hospitals, schools, and religious institutions
requires notification to and approval by the BOK. However, neither approval nor
notification is required for the acquisition of overseas real estate by foreign
exchange banks or residents if given as gifts or received through inheritance
from non-residents. | Purchase
locally by non-residents – Notification to the BOK is required for
the acquisition of real estate. Sale locally by non-residents
– No controls apply if the real estate was acquired in compliance with
foreign exchange regulations. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Controls on personal capital
transactions | |
Loans | By
residents to non-residents – BOK approval is required for all lending
by residents to non- residents. To residents from non-residents –
Notification to the BOK is required for all lending to residents by non-residents. |
Provisions specific to
commercial banks and other credit institutions. | There
are prudential regulations on the assets/liabilities compositions of foreign exchange
banks. | Differential
treatment of deposit accounts held by non-residents | Reserve
requirements – The reserve requirements on foreign currency deposit
accounts are 1%–5% for resident accounts and 1% for non-resident accounts. |
Investment regulations
In banks by non-residents – Non-residents may acquire up
to 10% of stocks without restrictions; acquisition exceeding 10% requires approval
of the FSC. | Open
foreign exchange position limits – The overall net open position (short-hand
position) of | foreign
exchange banks measured by the sum of the net short positions or the sum of the
net long positions, whichever is greater, is limited to 20% of the total equity
capital at the end of the | previous
month. | On
resident assets and liabilities: Restriction apply. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | On
non-resident assets and liabilities – Effective January 15, 2004, the
overbought or long positions of nondeliverable forwards between domestic and
foreign financial institutions could not exceed 110% of the positions as of
January 14, 2004. | Other
controls imposed by securities laws | Controls
imposed by the Securities Laws established by the FSC are as follows: (1)
domestic securities – investments by non-resident foreign nationals
are regulated by The Regulations on Securities Business, which also regulate
investment ceilings, investment procedures, and the management of foreign
investors; (2) overseas securities investments By residents are regulated
by the Regulations on Securities Business, which also regulate securities’
eligibility for investment and transaction procedures; and (3) issuance of
overseas securities By residents is regulated by the Regulations on Securities
Issuance and Disclosure, which also regulate the eligibility of issuers, the use
of funds raised by issuance, and the obligations of issuers on reporting. |
Singapore
| Controls on
capital and money market instruments | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Non-residents may issue equity
shares. Whenever the Singapore dollar proceeds of an initial public offering
by non-resident financial institutions are to be used offshore, these proceeds
are no longer required to be converted into foreign currency |
On capital market Securities Shares or other
Securities of a Participating nature | Before
their remittance abroad. | Feature
| Extant Capital Restrictions |
Bonds or other debt securities | Sale
or issue locally by non-residents – Non-residents may issue bonds.
Effective May 28, 2004, whenever the Singapore dollar proceeds are to be used
offshore by non-resident financial institutions, these proceeds are no longer
required to be swapped or converted into foreign currency before their remittance
abroad. All rated and unrated foreign entities are allowed to issue Singapore
dollar bonds. In the case of unrated foreign entities, the investor base is restricted
to sophisticated investors only. | Controls
on credit operations Financial credits | By
residents to non-residents : Restricted. |
Controls on real Estate transactions | Purchase
locally by non-residents: Foreign investment in residential and other properties,
including vacant land, landed residential property, and residential property in
a building of less than six floors, requires government approval. Foreigners
may, however, freely purchase residential units in buildings of six or more
floors and in approved condominium developments, excluding public housing.
Development of land for residential purposes that has been zoned or approved
for industrial or commercial use also requires government approval. |
Provisions specific to
commercial banks and other credit institutions | Lending
to non-residents (financial or commercial credits): Financial
institutions in Singapore may not extend Singapore dollar credit facilities
exceeding S$5 million to any non-resident financial entity for speculative
activities in the foreign exchange market. | Differential
treatment of deposit accounts in foreign exchange | Reserve
requirements – Foreign currency deposits of ACU member banks accepted
by domestic banks are not subject to reserve requirements. |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | Liquid
asset requirements – Foreign currency deposits of ACU member banks
accepted by domestic banks are not subject to liquid asset requirements. |
Open foreign exchange position
limits | No limits are set by the MAS, but
it reviews the internal control systems of banks to ensure that adequate limits
and controls are established for treasury activities. |
Provisions specific to Institutional
investors | Effective August 23, 2004, risk
requirements under Insurance (Valuation and Capital) Regulations 2004, which is
based on the Risk Based Capital Framework, apply. The total risk requirement includes
a foreign currency mismatch risk requirement of 8% on the foreign currency risk
exposure. The risk requirement applies only when foreign assets are at least 10%
of the total value of insurance fund assets. Insurers are also required to hold
a concentration risk requirement if the foreign currency risk exposure exceeds
50% of total assets. | Limits
(max.) on securities issued by non-residents: Apply. |
Limits (max.) on investment portfolio held
abroad: Apply. | Currency-matching
regulations on assets/liabilities composition: Apply. |
United Kingdom |
Controls on direct investment | Inward
direct investment – The Secretary of State for Trade and Industry may
prohibit a proposed transfer of control of an important U.K. manufacturing undertaking
to a non-resident when the transfer of a substantial part is considered contrary
to the interests of the United Kingdom in terms of public policy, public security,
or public health. If it is considered that the national |
Feature | Extant
Capital Restrictions | | interest
cannot appropriately be protected in any other way, property in such a proposal
or completed transfer may be compulsorily acquired against compensation. Both
prohibition and vesting orders are subject to parliamentary approval. These
powers have not been used to date. | Provisions
specific to commercial banks and other credit institutions – | Open
foreign exchange position limits: Net spot liabilities in foreign currencies
(i.e., the net amount of foreign currency resources funding sterling assets)
form part of a bank’s eligible liabilities that are subject to a 0.15%
non–interest bearing deposit requirement with the Bank of England. Effective
June 1, 2004, the level of the required deposit is based on the average of
reported eligible liabilities over a six-month period in excess of the equivalent
of £500 million (previously, £400 million). This rule applies
to building societies as well as to banks. | References
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*Dr. Mohua Roy is Director,
Monetary Policy Department, Smt. Rekha Misra and Smt. Sangita Misra are Assistant
Adviser and Research Officer, respectively, in the Department of Economic Analysis
and Policy (DEAP). This is a modified and expanded version of a paper presented
to the Committee on Fuller Capital Account Convertibility (CFCAC). The paper was
prepared under the overall guidance of Shri S. S. Tarapore, Chairman, CFCAC, Shri
K. Kanagasabapathy, Secretary, CFCAC and Dr. R. K. Pattnaik, Adviser, DEAP.
The views in this paper are those of the authors and not necessarily of the institution
to which they belong. 2 The discussion is based
on Bakker and Chapple (2002). 3 The Malaysian experience
is based on Bank Negara Malaysia Annual Report, various issues and Ariyoshi et
al, (2000). 4 The Thai experience has been drawn
mainly from Ariyoshi et al (2000) and Johnston et al, (1997). 5
At present, Chile has controls on derivatives and commercial credits. There are
provisions specific to commercial banks and other credit institutions and institutional
investors. |