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Quick Estimates of National Income, 2007-08 and Revised Estimates of National Income, 2008-09: A Review*

Quick Estimates of National Income, 2007-08 and Revised Estimates of National Income, 2008-09: A Review*

The ‘Quick Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving and Capital Formation, 2007-08’ were released by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) on January 30, 2009. These estimates provide data on various macro-economic aggregates for the years 1999-2000 to 2007-08. Subsequently, the ‘Revised Estimates of National Income, 2008-09’ were also released by the CSO on May 29, 2009. This article reviews the trends in various macro-economic aggregates as given in the Quick and Revised Estimates.

1. Gross Domestic Product

Indian economy had grown robustly at an annual average rate of 8.9 per cent during 2003-04 to 2007-08. The strong Indian growth performance, based on its structural strengths of young population, rising savings and investment rates, large unfulfilled domestic demand and globally competitive firms attracted significant investor attention in recent years. Higher rates of economic growth during this period have been the result of high levels of investment, rise in productivity supported by technological upgradation and greater integration with global flows of trade, finance and technology. However, this high growth phase was soon followed by a cyclical slowdown which got accentuated by the global financial sector meltdown precipitated by collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. Global developments impacted investment, consumption and other segments of India’s real economy through trade as well as financial channels of transmission.

As per the Quick Estimates of National Income 2007-08, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost registered a growth of 9.0 per cent in 2007-08 as compared with 9.7 per cent in 2006-07. Subsequently, for the year 2008-09, the Revised Estimates placed the growth of real GDP at 6.7 per cent (Table 1, Chart 1) revising downwards the Advance Estimate of 7.1 per cent, released in February 2009.

1.1 Sectoral Growth and Composition of Real Gross Domestic Product

A marked slowdown that occurred in the real GDP growth for the year 2008-09 vis-à-vis 2007-08 was evident he sectors, though decline has been quite steep in industrial sector. The growth rate of GDP originating from industry is estimated at 2.6 per cent in 2008-09 lower than that of 7.4 per cent in 2007-08, mainly reflecting deceleration in the growth of its two sub-sectors viz., ‘manufacturing’ and ‘electricity, gas and water supply’. ‘Mining and quarrying’, on the other hand, has witnessed some rise in the growth rate (Table 1).


Table 1: Sectoral Growth Rates of Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost (at 1999-00 Prices)

( Per cent)

Sector

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07@

2007-08*

2008-09#

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

I.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

-0.2

6.3

-7.2

10.0

0.0

5.8

4.0

4.9

1.6

II.

Industry

6.4

2.4

6.8

6.0

8.5

8.1

10.7

7.4

2.6

 

(i)

Mining & quarrying

2.4

1.8

8.8

3.1

8.2

4.9

8.8

3.3

3.6

 

(ii)

Manufacturing

7.7

2.5

6.8

6.6

8.7

9.1

11.8

8.2

2.4

 

(iii)

Electricity, gas & water supply

2.1

1.7

4.7

4.8

7.9

5.1

5.3

5.3

3.4

III.

Services

5.7

6.9

7.5

8.8

9.9

11.2

11.3

10.8

9.4

 

(i)

Construction

6.2

4.0

7.9

12.0

16.1

16.2

11.8

10.1

7.2

 

(ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurant

5.2

9.6

6.9

10.1

7.7

10.3

10.4

12.4^

9.0^

  (iii)

Transport, storage & communication

11.2

8.4

14.1

15.3

15.6

14.9

16.3

..

. .

  (iv)

Financing, insurance, real estate & business services

4.1

7.3

8.0

5.6

8.7

11.4

13.8

11. 7

7.8

  (v)

Community, social & personal services

4.7

4.1

3.9

5.4

6.8

7.1

5.7

6.8

13.1

IV.

Gross domestic product at factor cost

4.4

5.8

3.8

8.5

7.5

9.5

9.7

9.0

6.7

@ : Provisional *  : Quick Estimates. # : Revised Estimates. ^ : Includes ‘Transport, storage and communication ’. ..    :   Not available.Source: Central Statistical Organisation.

Agriculture and allied activities registered a growth rate of 1.6 per cent in 2008-09 as compared with 4.9 per cent in 2007-08. The fact that agricultural output during 2007-08 has been at a record level, lower growth is partly attributable to higher base.

The services sector is estimated to decelerate in 2008-09. While the ‘construction’ sub-sector has recorded a slower growth in 2008-09, the sub-sector ‘community, social and personal services’ grew at double digit level in 2008-09, mainly due to Sixth Pay Commission award (Table 1 and Statement 1).

As per the Revised Estimates, the shares of ‘agriculture and allied activities’ and industry are estimated to decline fractionally while that of services in real GDP is estimated to rise. This rise in the share of services is mainly reflective of increase in the share of ‘community, social and personal services’.This relative movement in shares of major sectors in GDP has been persisting since the beginning of current decade.The share of ‘agriculture and allied activities’ has been showing continuous decline while the services sector is witnessing a rise during the period 2000-01 to 2008-09 (Table 2 and Chart 2).

1.2 Sectoral Contribution to the Growth of Real Gross Domestic Product

In 2008-09, the sectoral contributions to growth worked out to be 4.5 per cent for ‘agriculture and allied activities’, 7.5 per cent for industry and 88.1 per cent for the services sector as against the contributions of 10.0 per cent, 15.6 per cent and 74.4 per cent, respectively in 2007-08 (Chart 3, Table 3).

Table 2: Sectoral Composition of Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost

( Per cent)

 

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07@

2007-08*

2008-09#

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

I.

Agriculture and allied activities

23.9

24.0

21.4

21.7

20.2

19.5

18.5

17.8

17.0

II.

Industry

20.0

19.3

19.9

19.4

19.6

19.4

19.5

19.2

18.5

 

(i)

Mining & quarrying

2.3

2.2

2.3

2.2

2.2

2.1

2.1

2.0

1.9

 

(ii)

Manufacturing

15.3

14.8

15.2

15.0

15.1

15.1

15.3

15.2

14.6

 

(iii)

Electricity, gas & water supply

2.4

2.3

2.4

2.3

2.3

2.2

2.1

2.0

2.0

III.

Services

56.1

56.7

58.7

58.9

60.2

61.1

62.0

63.0

64.5

 

(i)

Construction

5.8

5.7

5.9

6.1

6.6

7.0

7.2

7.2

7.3

 

(ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurant

14.3

14.9

15.3

15.5

15.5

15.6

15.7

28.0^

28.6^

 

(iii)

Transport, storage & communication

8.0

8.2

9.0

9.5

10.2

10.7

11.4

--

--

 

(iv)

Financing, insurance, real estate & business services

13.0

13.2

13.7

13.4

13.5

13.8

14.3

14.6

14.8

 

(v)

Community, social & personal services

15.0

14.7

14.8

14.3

14.2

13.9

13.4

13.1

13.9

IV.

Gross domestic product at factor cost

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

@ : Provisional   * : Quick Estimates.    # :Revised Estimates.    ^ : Includes ‘Transport, storage and communication ’.
.. : Not Available. Source: Central Statistical Organisation.


2. Trends in Domestic Saving

Fiscal consolidation, particularly following the enactment of FRBM Act coupled with strong growth performance led to distinct improvement in public and private sector savings during the recent years. As per the Quick Estimates, the Gross Domestic Savings (GDS) in India at current market prices have increased to 37.7 per cent of GDP in 2007-08 from 35.7 per cent in 2006-07, mainly due to improvement in saving performance of the private corporate and public sectors. There was also a modest increase in household sectors saving during the same period (Table 4). It is significant to note that the Indian economy has witnessed a continuous increase in the rate of GDS, particularly 2001-02 onwards. During this period, the public sector saving has witnessed a turn-around since 2003-04, with the rate of saving increasing to 4.5 per cent in 2007-08 from (-) 2.0 per cent in 2001-2002.


Table 3: Sectoral Contribution to the Growth of Gross Domestic Product at factor cost

( Per cent)

 

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07@

2007-08*

2008-09#

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

I.

Agriculture & allied activities

-0.1

1.5

-1.7

2.1

0.0

1.2

0.8

0.9

0.3

II.

Industry

1.3

0.5

1.3

1.2

1.7

1.6

2.1

1.4

0.5

 

(i)

Mining & quarrying

0.1

0.0

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.1

 

(ii)

Manufacturing

1.1

0.4

1.0

1.0

1.3

1.4

1.8

1.3

0.4

 

(iii)

Electrical, gas & water supply

0.1

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

III.

Services

3.2

3.8

4.3

5.2

5.8

6.7

6.9

6.7

5.9

 

(i)

Construction

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.7

1.0

1.1

0.8

0.7

0.5

 

(ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurant

0.7

1.4

1.0

1.5

1.2

1.6

1.6

3.5^

2.6^

 

(iii)

Transport, storage

                 
   

& communication

0.8

0.7

1.2

1.4

1.5

1.5

1.8

..

 

(iv)

Financing, insurance, real

                 
   

estate & business services

0.5

0.9

1.1

0.8

1.2

1.5

1.9

1.7

1.1

 

(v)

Community, social &

                 
   

personal services

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.0

0.8

0.9

1.7

IV.

Gross Domestic Product

4.4

5.8

3.8

8.5

7.5

9.5

9.7

9.0

6.7

@ : Provisional               * :  Quick Estimates.            #  :  Revised Estimates.
^ : Includes ‘Transport, storage and communication’.    
.. : Not Available. Sectoral rates may not add up to GDP growth due to rounding off.
Source: Central Statistical Organisation.


Table 4: Saving and Capital Formation by Institutions

(Per cent of GDP at Current Market Prices)

Item

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07*

2007-08#

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1.

Gross Domestic Saving

23.5

26.3

29.8

31.7

34.2

35.7

37.7

 

(i)

Household Sector

22.1

22.9

24.1

22.8

24.1

24.1

24.3

   

(a) Financial Assets

10.9

10.3

11.4

10.1

11.7

11.7

11.7

   

(b) Physical Assets

11.3

12.6

12.7

12.7

12.4

12.4

12.6

 

(ii)

Private Corporate Sector

3.4

4.0

4.6

6.7

7.7

8.3

8.8

   

of which: Joint Stock Companies

3.1

3.5

4.1

6.2

7.2

7.8

8.4

 

(iii)

Public Sector

-2.0

-0.6

1.1

2.2

2.4

3.3

4.5

   

of which : Non-department

             
   

commercial Enterprises

3.5

4.0

4.2

4.2

4.1

4.2

4.0

2.

Gross Capital Formation

24.2

25.2

26.8

31.6

34.8

36.4

38.7

 

i)

Household Sector

11.3

12.6

12.7

12.7

12.4

12.4

12.6

 

ii)

Private Corporate Sector

5.4

5.9

6.8

10.8

13.7

14.8

15.9

 

iii)

Public Sector

6.9

6.1

6.3

6.9

7.6

8.0

9.1

 

iv)

Valuables

0.6

0.6

0.9

1.3

1.2

1.2

1.1

3.

Gross Domestic Capital

             
 

Formation (GDCF)##

22.8

25.2

27.6

32.1

35.5

36.9

39.1

4.

Saving -Investment Balance

-0.7

1.1

3.0

0.1

-0.6

-0.7

-1.0

 

i)

Household Sector

10.8

10.3

11.4

10.1

11.7

11.7

11.7

 

ii)

Private Corporate Sector

-2.0

-1.9

-2.2

-4.0

-6.0

-6.5

-7.0

 

iii)

Public Sector

-8.9

-6.7

-5.3

-4.7

-5.2

-4.6

-4.6

* : Provisional estimates.   #  :  Quick Estimates.   ## : Adjusted for errors and omissions.
Source : Central Statistical Organisation.

The household sector has been the largest contributor to the GDS, though its share has been declining overtime. An analysis of the composition of GDS shows that the share of household sector has decreased to 64.6 per cent in 2007-08 from 91.1 per cent in 2000-01. On the other hand, the private corporate sector, which occupied the second largest share in the GDS, increased its share during the same period on account of rise in its profitability. As mentioned earlier, the public sector turned from dis-savings to a savings generating sector constituting 11.9 per cent of GDS in 2007-08 from (-) 7.4 per cent in 2000-01 (Chart 4).

3. Trends in Domestic Capital Formation

The rate of Gross Domestic Capital Formation (GDCF) continued its rising trend and rose to 39.1 per cent in 2007-08 from 36.9 per cent in 2006-07 induced by high growth performance of Indian economy. The saving-investment gap (i.e. rate of GDS less rate of GDCF) increased further in 2007-08. Of the three contributing sectors, the rate of capital formation in the household sector, a corollary of household sector saving in physical assets, increased modestly in 2007-08. The rate of capital formation in private corporate sector also increased modestly in 2007-08. Similarly, public sector also witnessed an increase in rate of capital formation during the same period mainly on account of higher investment in public sector enterprises coupled with a revival in investment in agriculture sector in the area of irrigation, rural infrastructure and incentivisation of state governments for the same (Table 4 and Statement 3). The saving-investment gaps at the sectoral level are indicated in Table 4.

The composition of Gross Capital Formation (GCF) by type of institution reveals that while the share of public as well as private sector in gross capital formation have increased in 2007-08 in comparison to 2006-07, the share of household sector decreased during the same period (Chart 5).


In terms of type of economic activity, capital formation was highest in the industrial sector. It increased to 50.1 per cent in 2007-08 from 37.0 per cent in 2000-01. On the other hand, the share of capital formation in the services as well as agricultural sector continuously declined during the same period. The share of capital formation in ‘agriculture and allied activities’ continued to be the lowest among all the three sectors (Chart 6, Statement 4).

4. Other Macro-economic Aggregates

As a share of GDP at current market prices, total final consumption expenditure has increased in 2008-09 mainly on account of an increase in the share of Government final consumption expenditure (GFCE). Gross fixed capital formation as a proportion of GDP increased marginally in 2008-09, while ‘change in stock’ remained unchanged at the previous year’s level. The share of ‘valuables’ as per cent to GDP increased to 1.3 per cent in 2008-09 from 1.1 per cent in 2007-08. The shares of exports and imports in GDP have increased in 2008-09 vis-a-vis 2007-08. As a result, net exports as a proportion of GDP at current market prices declined further (Statement 5a).

Similar trends could be observed in other macro-economic aggregates, such as Net Domestic Product (NDP), Net National Product (NNP), Gross National Product (GNP), etc. which are basically variants of Gross Domestic Product at factor cost. The real Net National Product at factor cost, which is defined as National Income, grew at 9.1 per cent in 2007-08, more than double of 3.7 per cent in 2000-01. Accordingly, the per capita income (i.e. per capita Net National Product at factor cost) showed a growth of 7.6 per cent in 2007-08 from 1.8 per cent in 2000-01. However, national income and per capita income both registered lower growth of 6.4 and 4.9, respectively in 2008-09 (Statement 5b).

It may be mentioned that some ‘Discrepancies’ arise due to the difference between the GDP estimated by economic activity marked up by net indirect taxes (indirect taxes less subsidies) to arrive at GDP at market prices and the GDP estimated from the expenditure side. Discrepancies during 2008-09 are estimated at 0.7 per cent of GDP at current market prices as against the corresponding rate of 0.3 per cent in 2007-08.

To sum up, after averaging a high growth rate of 8.9 per cent during the five years period of 2003-04 to 2007-08, India’s real GDP growth declined sharply to 6.7 per cent in 2008-09, reflecting a cyclical downturn and contagion of global financial crisis. However, despite the moderation in growth, India continues to be one of the fastest growing economies in the world reaffirming its inherent strength and strong macroeconomic fundamentals led by strong domestic demand base.

Statement 1 : Trends in Sectoral Growth and Share of Gross Domestic Product at Factor cost (Contd.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

I.

Agriculture & allied

445403

-0.2

473249

6.3

438966

-7.2

482676

10.0

482910

0.0

 

activities

(23.9)

 

(24.0)

 

(21.4)

 

(21.7)

 

(20.2)

 

II.

Industry

372599

6.4

381366

2.4

407276

6.8

431724

6.0

468451

8.5

   

(20.0)

 

(19.3)

 

(19.9)

 

(19.4)

 

(19.6)

 
 

i)

Mining &

42589

2.4

43335

1.8

47168

8.8

48626

3.1

52591

8.2

   

quarrying

(2.3)

 

(2.2)

 

(2.3)

 

(2.2)

 

(2.2)

 
 

ii)

Manufacturing

284571

7.7

291803

2.5

311685

6.8

332363

6.6

361115

8.7

     

(15.3)

 

(14.8)

 

(15.2)

 

(15.0)

 

(15.1)

 
 

iii)

Electricity, gas &

45439

2.1

46228

1.7

48423

4.7

50735

4.8

54745

7.9

   

water supply

(2.4)

 

(2.3)

 

(2.4)

 

(2.3)

 

(2.3)

 

III.

Services

1046299

5.7

1117991

6.9

1202045

7.5

1308358

8.8

1437407

9.9

   

(56.1)

 

(56.7)

 

(58.7)

 

(58.9)

 

(60.2)

 
 

i)

Construction

108362

6.2

112692

4.0

121650

7.9

136224

12.0

158212

16.1

     

(5.8)

 

(5.7)

 

(5.9)

 

(6.1)

 

(6.6)

 
 

ii)

Trade, hotels &

267326

5.2

293075

9.6

313221

6.9

344743

10.1

371155

7.7

   

restaurant

(14.3)

 

(14.9)

 

(15.3)

 

(15.5)

 

(15.5)

 
 

iii)

Transport,

148324

11.2

160772

8.4

183471

14.1

211627

15.3

244694

15.6

   

storage & communication

(8.0)

 

(8.2)

 

(9.0)

 

(9.5)

 

(10.2)

 
 

iv)

Financing,ins.,

243048

4.1

260737

7.3

281550

8.0

297250

5.6

323080

8.7

   

real estate & business services

(13.0)

 

(13.2)

 

(13.7)

 

(13.4)

 

(13.5)

 
 

v)

Community,

279239

4.7

290715

4.1

302153

3.9

318514

5.4

340266

6.8

   

social & personal services

(15.0)

 

(14.7)

 

(14.8)

 

(14.3)

 

(14.2)

 

IV.

GDP at factor cost

1864300

4.4

1972606

5.8

2048287

3.8

2222758

8.5

2388768

7.5

   

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

Statement 1: Trends in Sectoral Growth and Share of Gross Domestic Product at Factor cost (Concld.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08 *

2008-09 #

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

1

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

I.

Agriculture & allied activities

511114

5.8

531315

4.0

557122

4.9

566045

1.6

   

(19.5)

 

(18.5)

 

(17.8)

 

(17.0)

 

II.

Industry

506519

8.1

560775

10.7

602032

7.4

617882

2.6

   

(19.4)

 

(19.5)

 

(19.2)

 

(18.5)

 
 

i)

Mining & quarrying

55164

4.9

60038

8.8

61999

3.3

64244

3.6

     

(2.1)

 

(2.1)

 

(2.0)

 

(1.9)

 
 

ii)

Manufacturing

393842

9.1

440193

11.8

476303

8.2

487739

2.4

     

(15.1)

 

(15.3)

 

(15.2)

 

(14.6)

 
 

iii)

Electricity, gas & water supply

57513

5.1

60544

5.3

63730

5.3

65899

3.4

   

(2.2)

 

(2.1)

 

(2.0)

 

(2.0)

 

III.

Services

1598468

11.2

1779028

11.3

1970563

10.8

2155448

9.4

   

(61.1)

 

(62.0)

 

(63.0)

 

(64.5)

 
 

i)

Construction

183868

16.2

205543

11.8

226325

10.1

242577

7.2

     

(7.0)

 

(7.2)

 

(7.2)

 

(7.3)

 
 

ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurant

409255

10.3

451910

10.4

497685

10.1

954589 ^

9.0

     

(15.6)

 

(15.7)

 

(15.9)

 

(28.6)

 
 

iii)

Transport, storage &

281144

14.9

326985

16.3

377713

15.5

   

communication

(10.7)

 

(11.4)

 

(12.1)

     
 

iv)

Financing,ins.,real estate &

359888

11.4

409472

13.8

457584

11.7

493356

7.8

   

business services

(13.8)

 

(14.3)

 

(14.6)

 

(14.8)

 
 

v)

Community, social &

364313

7.1

385118

5.7

411256

6.8

464926

13.1

   

personal services

(13.9)

 

(13.4)

 

(13.1)

 

(13.9)

 

IV.

GDP at factor cost

2616101

9.5

2871120

9.7

3129717

9.0

3339375

6.7

   

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

:  Quick Estimates. # : Revised Estimates. .. : Not Available.^ : Includes ‘Transport, storage and communication’.
Note  : Figures in the parentheses are share as a per cent of GDP.
Source : Central Statistical Organisation.


Statement 2 : Domestic Saving by Type of Institution (At Current Prices)

(Amount in Rs. crore)

Item

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08*

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

I.

Household sector

504165

563240

664064

716874

864653

994898

1150134

   

(22.1)

(22.9)

(24.1)

(22.8)

(24.1)

(24.1)

(24.3)

 

(i)

Financial saving

247476

253255

313260

317546

420974

482822

553288

   

(10.9)

(10.3)

(11.4)

(10.1)

(11.7)

(11.7)

(11.7)

 

(ii)

Physical Saving

256689

309985

350804

399328

443679

512076

596846

   

(11.3)

(12.6)

(12.7)

(12.7)

(12.4)

(12.4)

(12.6)

II.

Private corporate sector

76906

99217

127100

212048

276550

342284

416936

   

(3.4)

(4.0)

(4.6)

(6.7)

(7.7)

(8.3)

(8.8)

III.

Public sector

-46186

-15936

29521

68951

86823

137926

212543

   

-(2.0)

-(0.6)

(1.1)

(2.2)

(2.4)

(3.3)

(4.5)

IV.

Gross Domestic Saving

534885

646521

820685

997873

1228026

1475108

1779613

   

(23.5)

(26.3)

(29.8)

(31.7)

(34.2)

(35.7)

(37.7)

* : Quick Estimates.
Note : Figures in parantheses are rate as a percentage of GDP
Source : Central Statistical Organisation.


Statement 3: Capital Formation by Type of Institution

(Amount in Rs.crore)

Item

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08*

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

(At current prices)

I.

Gross capital formation (GCF)

508009

551042

618807

738221

996099

1248899

1502508

1829346

   

(24.2)

(24.2)

(25.2)

(26.8)

(31.6)

(34.8)

(36.4)

(38.7)

 

(i)

Public sector

144638

156537

149399

174579

216962

271835

329679

429014

     

(6.9)

(6.9)

(6.1)

(6.3)

(6.9)

(7.6)

(8.0)

(9.1)

 

(ii)

Private corporate sector

109013

123628

145466

188266

338755

491983

611044

749894

     

(5.2)

(5.4)

(5.9)

(6.8)

(10.8)

(13.7)

(14.8)

(15.9)

 

(iii)

Household sector

239634

256689

309985

350804

399328

443679

512076

596846

     

(11.4)

(11.3)

(12.6)

(12.7)

(12.7)

(12.4)

(12.4)

(12.6)

 

(iv)

Valuables

14724

14187

13957

24572

41054

41392

49709

53591

     

(0.7)

(0.6)

(0.6)

(0.9)

(1.3)

(1.2)

(1.2)

(1.1)

II.

Gross fixed capital formation

477818

538180

585010

687890

895980

1112602

1343843

1605440

   

(22.7)

(23.6)

(23.8)

(25.0)

(28.4)

(31.0)

(32.5)

(34.0)

III.

Change in stock

15467

-1325

19840

25759

59065

94895

108956

170315

   

(0.7)

-(0.1)

(0.8)

(0.9)

(1.9)

(2.6)

(2.6)

(3.6)

IV.

Valuables

14724

14187

13957

24572

41054

41392

49709

53591

   

(0.7)

(0.6)

(0.6)

(0.9)

(1.3)

(1.2)

(1.2)

(1.1)

V.

Errors & omissions

3779

-30386

-772

21104

15113

23741

19297

16167

   

(0.2)

-(1.3)

(0.0)

(0.8)

(0.5)

(0.7)

(0.5)

(0.3)

VI.

Gross domestic capital

511788

520656

618035

759325

1011212

1272630

1521805

1845513

 

formation # (II+III+IV+V)

(24.3)

(22.8)

(25.2)

(27.6)

(32.1)

(35.5)

(36.9)

(39.1)

(At constant prices)

I.

Gross capital formation (GCF)

485049

502116

554734

633105

781622

930738

1060108

1220412

   

(23.9)

(23.5)

(25.0)

(26.3)

(30.0)

(32.7)

(34.0)

(35.9)

 

(i)

Public sector

140315

144540

134468

145578

166989

202935

232844

290032

   

(6.9)

(6.8)

(6.1)

(6.1)

(6.4)

(7.1)

(7.5)

(8.5)

 

(ii)

Private corporate sector

102912

111726

130848

163091

274130

373165

441866

513210

   

(5.1)

(5.2)

(5.9)

(6.8)

(10.5)

(13.1)

(14.2)

(15.1)

 

(iii)

 Household sector

227566

232360

276489

302895

306630

321498

347307

378052

   

(11.2)

(10.9)

(12.5)

(12.6)

(11.8)

(11.3)

(11.1)

(11.1)

 

(iv)

Valuables

14256

13489

12930

21541

33873

33140

38091

39118

   

(0.7)

(0.6)

(0.6)

(0.9)

(1.3)

(1.2)

(1.2)

(1.1)

II.

Gross fixed capital formation

456380

490009

523310

594552

706906

831470

952344

1075632

   

(22.5)

(22.9)

(23.6)

(24.7)

(27.2)

(29.2)

(30.5)

(31.6)

III.

Change in stock

14413

-1383

18495

17012

40843

66128

69673

105662

   

(0.7)

-(0.1)

(0.8)

(0.7)

(1.6)

(2.3)

(2.2)

(3.1)

IV.

Valuables

14256

13489

12930

21541

33873

33140

38091

39118

   

(0.7)

(0.6)

(0.6)

(0.9)

(1.3)

(1.2)

(1.2)

(1.1)

V.

Errors & omissions

3609

-27667

-691

18241

11924

17742

13675

10832

   

(0.2)

-(1.3)

(0.0)

(0.8)

(0.5)

(0.6)

(0.4)

(0.3)

VI.

Gross domestic capital

488658

474449

554044

651346

793545

948480

1073783

1231244

 

formation # (II+III+IV+V)

(24.1)

(22.2)

(25.0)

(27.1)

(30.5)

(33.3)

(34.4)

(36.2)

* : Quick Estimates. # : Adjsuted for errors and omissions.
Notes : Figures in parentheses are rate as percentage of GDP. Source  : Central Statistical Organisation.


Statement 4: Gross Capital Formation by Industry at Constant Prices (Contd.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and rate as percentage of GDP)

Item

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

I.

Agriculture & allied activities

45480

2.2

56978

2.7

55668

2.5

53542

2.2

   

(9.7)

 

(11.7)

 

(10.3)

 

(8.8)

 

II.

Industry

174369

8.6

158479

7.4

207313

9.4

257954

10.7

   

(37.0)

 

(32.4)

 

(38.3)

 

(42.2)

 
 

(i)

Mining & quarrying

5810

0.3

8384

0.4

8385

0.4

14185

0.6

   

(1.2)

 

(1.7)

 

(1.5)

 

(2.3)

 
 

(ii)

Manufacturing

128988

6.4

106206

5.0

158580

7.2

194206

8.1

   

(27.4)

 

(21.7)

 

(29.3)

 

(31.8)

 
 

(iii)

Electricity, gas & water supply

39571

1.9

43889

2.1

40348

1.8

49563

2.1

     

(8.4)

 

(9.0)

 

(7.4)

 

(8.1)

 

III.

Services

250944

12.4

273170

12.8

278824

12.6

300068

12.5

   

(53.3)

 

(55.9)

 

(51.5)

 

(49.1)

 
 

(i)

Construction

9074

0.4

15846

0.7

16711

0.8

21324

0.9

   

(1.9)

 

(3.2)

 

(3.1)

 

(3.5)

 
 

(ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurants

27921

1.4

16437

0.8

9317

0.4

24916

1.0

   

(5.9)

 

(3.4)

 

(1.7)

 

(4.1)

 
 

(iii)

Transport, storage

76297

3.8

60348

2.8

73205

3.3

71098

3.0

   

& communication

(16.2)

 

(12.4)

 

(13.5)

 

(11.6)

 
 

(iv)

Financing, insurance, real

79976

3.9

109136

5.1

101311

4.6

102148

4.3

   

estate & business services

(17.0)

 

(22.3)

 

(18.7)

 

(16.7)

 
 

(v)

Community, social &

57676

2.8

71403

3.3

78280

3.5

80582

3.4

   

personal services

(12.3)

 

(14.6)

 

(14.4)

 

(13.2)

 

IV.

Gross capital formation

470793

23.2

488627

22.9

541805

24.4

611564

25.5

 

by industry of use

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

Statement 4: Gross Capital Formation by Industry at Constant Prices (Concld.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and rate as percentage of GDP)

Item

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08*

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

Amount

Rate

1

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

I.

Agriculture & allied activities

57849

2.2

66065

2.3

73285

2.3

79328

2.3

   

(7.7)

 

(7.4)

 

(7.2)

 

(6.7)

 

II.

Industry

367583

14.1

452263

15.9

525943

16.9

591731

17.4

   

(49.2)

 

(50.4)

 

(51.5)

 

(50.1)

 
 

(i)

Mining & quarrying

21832

0.8

21956

0.8

20681

0.7

25945

0.8

   

(2.9)

 

(2.4)

 

(2.0)

 

(2.2)

 
 

(ii)

Manufacturing

300336

11.5

368492

13.0

434076

13.9

492005

14.5

   

(40.2)

 

(41.1)

 

(42.5)

 

(41.6)

 
 

(iii)

Electricity, gas & water supply

45415

1.7

61815

2.2

71186

2.3

73781

2.2

     

(6.1)

 

(6.9)

 

(7.0)

 

(6.2)

 

III.

Services

322315

12.4

379269

13.3

422791

13.6

510236

15.0

   

(43.1)

 

(42.3)

 

(41.4)

 

(43.2)

 
 

(i)

Construction

25577

1.0

33217

1.2

41667

1.3

48366

1.4

   

(3.4)

 

(3.7)

 

(4.1)

 

(4.1)

 
 

(ii)

Trade, hotels & restaurants

26127

1.0

24817

0.9

32502

1.0

34079

1.0

     

(3.5)

 

(2.8)

 

(3.2)

 

(2.9)

 
 

(iii)

Transport, storage & communication

81387

3.1

115288

4.1

128611

4.1

166617

4.9

     

(10.9)

 

(12.8)

 

(12.6)

 

(14.1)

 
 

(iv)

Financing, insurance,

90465

3.5

108041

3.8

109250

3.5

126282

3.7

   

real estate & business services

(12.1)

 

(12.0)

 

(10.7)

 

(10.7)

 
 

(v)

Community, social & personal services

98759

3.8

97906

3.4

110761

3.5

134892

4.0

     

(13.2)

 

(10.9)

 

(10.8)

 

(11.4)

 

IV.

Gross capital formation

747749

28.7

897598

31.6

1022017

32.8

1181294

34.7

 

by industry of use

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

(100.0)

 

* : Quick Estimates.
Notes     :   Figures in parentheses are share of Gross Capital Formation.
Source   :   Central Statistical Organisation.


Statement 5a: Select Macroeconomic Aggregates (at current prices) (Contd.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

I.

Product Aggregates

                   

1.

GDP at factor cost

1925017

7.8

2097726

9.0

2261415

7.8

2538170

12.2

2877701

13.4

2.

GDP at market prices

2102314

7.7

2278952

8.4

2454561

7.7

2754620

12.2

3149407

14.3

3.

NDP at market prices

1900496

7.3

2050655

7.9

2204053

7.5

2474572

12.3

2820366

14.0

4.

GNP at factor cost

1902284

7.4

2077658

9.2

2244725

8.0

2517462

12.2

2855326

13.4

5.

NNP at factor cost

1700466

7.0

1849361

8.8

1994217

7.8

2237414

12.2

2526285

12.9

6.

GNP at market prices

2079581

7.4

2258884

8.6

2437871

7.9

2733912

12.1

3127032

14.4

7.

NNP at market prices

1877763

7.0

2030587

8.1

2187363

7.7

2453864

12.2

2797991

14.0

8.

Per capita GNP at factor cost

18668

5.5

19977

7.0

21257

6.4

23484

10.5

26220

11.6

9.

Per capita NNP at factor cost

16688

5.1

17782

6.6

18885

6.2

20871

10.5

23198

11.1

II.

Demand Aggregates

                   

1.

Total Final Consumption

1604362

6.5

1748981

9.0

1842343

5.3

2009782

9.1

2178078

8.4

 

Expenditure

(76.3)

 

(76.7)

 

(75.1)

 

(73.0)

 

(69.2)

 

2.

Private Final Consumption

1339274

6.8

1467195

9.6

1551365

5.7

1699485

9.5

1840026

8.3

 

Expenditure

(63.7)

 

(64.4)

 

(63.2)

 

(61.7)

 

(58.4)

 

3.

Governement Final

265088

4.9

281786

6.3

290978

3.3

310297

6.6

338052

8.9

 

Consumption Expenditure

(12.6)

 

(12.4)

 

(11.9)

 

(11.3)

 

(10.7)

 

4.

Exports of Goods

278126

22.1

290757

4.5

355556

22.3

417425

17.4

569051

36.3

 

& Services

(13.2)

 

(12.8)

 

(14.5)

 

(15.2)

 

(18.1)

 

5.

Imports of Goods

297523

12.0

311050

4.5

379981

22.2

436878

15.0

625945

43.3

 

& Services

(14.2)

 

(13.6)

 

(15.5)

 

(15.9)

 

(19.9)

 

6.

Gross Fixed Capital

477818

4.7

538180

12.6

585010

8.7

687890

17.6

895980

30.3

 

Formation

(22.7)

 

(23.6)

 

(23.8)

 

(25.0)

 

(28.4)

 

7.

Change in stock

15467

 

-1325

 

19840

 

25759

 

59065

 
   

(0.7)

 

-(0.1)

 

(0.8)

 

(0.9)

 

(1.9)

 

8.

Valuables

14724

 

14187

 

13957

 

24572

 

41054

 
   

(0.7)

 

(0.6)

 

(0.6)

 

(0.9)

 

(1.3)

 

9.

Discrepancies

9340

 

–777

 

17153

 

42961

 

31905

 
   

(0.4)

 

(0.0)

 

(0.7)

 

(1.6)

 

(1.0)

 

Statement 5a: Select Macroeconomic Aggregates (at current prices) (Concld.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08*

2008-09 #

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

1

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

I.

Product Aggregates

               

1.

GDP at factor cost

3282385

14.1

3779384

15.1

4320892

14.3

4933183

14.2

2.

GDP at market prices

3586743

13.9

4129173

15.1

4723400

14.4

5321753

12.7

3.

NDP at market prices

3206432

13.7

3692136

15.1

4213949

14.1

..

..

4.

GNP at factor cost

3256269

14.0

3749606

15.2

4297047

14.6

4906167

14.2

5.

NNP at factor cost

2875958

13.8

3312568

15.2

3787597

14.3

4326384

14.2

6.

GNP at market prices

3560627

13.9

4099396

15.1

4699555

14.6

..

..

7.

NNP at market prices

3180316

13.7

3662358

15.2

4190104

14.4

..

..

8.

Per capita GNP at factor cost

29442

12.3

33419

13.5

37660

12.7

..

..

9.

Per capita NNP at factor cost

26003

12.1

29524

13.5

33283

12.7

37490

12.6

II.

Demand Aggregates

               

1.

Total Final Consumption

2433023

11.7

2729368

12.2

3075183

12.7

3529833

14.8

 

Expenditure

(67.8)

 

(66.1)

 

(65.1)

 

(66.3)

 

2.

Private Final Consumption

2057461

11.8

2307822

12.2

2596084

12.5

2913386

12.2

 

Expenditure

(57.4)

 

(55.9)

 

(55.0)

 

(54.7)

 

3.

Government Final

375562

11.1

421546

12.2

479099

13.7

616447

28.7

 

Consumption Expenditure

(10.5)

 

(10.2)

 

(10.1)

 

(11.6)

 

4.

Exports of Goods

712087

25.1

916804

28.7

999441

9.0

1206600

20.7

 

& Services

(19.9)

 

(22.2)

 

(21.2)

 

(22.7)

 

5.

Imports of Goods

813466

30.0

1042263

28.1

1167786

12.0

1491375

27.7

 

& Services

(22.7)

 

(25.2)

 

(24.7)

 

(28.0)

 

6.

Gross Fixed Capital

1112602

24.2

1343843

20.8

1605440

19.5

1852354

15.4

 

Formation

(31.0)

 

(32.5)

 

(34.0)

 

(34.8)

 

7.

Change in stock

94895

 

108956

 

170315

 

187548

 
   

(2.6)

 

(2.6)

 

(3.6)

 

(3.5)

 

8.

Valuables

41392

 

49709

 

53591

 

71656

 
   

(1.2)

 

(1.2)

 

(1.1)

 

(1.3)

 

9.

Discrepancies

16460

 

22756

 

-12784

 

-34864

 
   

(0.5)

 

(0.6)

 

-(0.3)

 

-(0.7)

 

*    : Quick Estimates.  # :   Revised Estimates.
Note : Figures in parentheses are percentage of GDP at constant market prices.
Source : Central Statistical Organisation.


Statement 5b: Select Macroeconomic Aggregates ( at constant prices) (Contd.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

Amount

Growth rate

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

I.

Product Aggregates

                   

1.

GDP at factor cost

1864301

4.4

1972606

5.8

2048286

3.8

2222758

8.5

2388768

7.5

2.

GDP at market prices

2030711

4.0

2136651

5.2

2217133

3.8

2402727

8.4

2602065

8.3

3.

NDP at market prices

1836856

3.7

1928182

5.0

1993482

3.4

2161286

8.4

2339566

8.2

4.

GNP at factor cost

1841873

4.0

1952467

6.0

2030419

4.0

2203258

8.5

2367683

7.5

5.

NNP at factor cost

1648018

3.7

1743998

5.8

1806734

3.6

1961817

8.6

2105184

7.3

6.

GNP at market prices

2008283

3.7

2116512

5.4

2199266

3.9

2383227

8.4

2580980

8.3

7.

NNP at market prices

1814313

3.4

1907511

5.1

1974677

3.5

2141786

8.5

2318481

8.2

8.

per capita GNP at factor cost

18074

2.2

18769

3.8

19219

2.4

20553

6.9

21742

5.8

9.

per capita NNP at factor cost

16173

1.8

16769

3.7

17109

2.0

18301

7.0

19331

5.6

II.

Demand Aggregates

                   

1.

Total final consumption

1548909

2.8

1634234

5.5

1669920

2.2

1763745

5.6

1850690

4.9

 

Expenditure

(76.3)

 

(76.5)

 

(75.3)

 

(73.4)

 

(71.1)

 

2.

Private final consumption

1293822

3.2

1373355

6.1

1409960

2.7

1497146

6.2

1574565

5.2

 

Expenditure

(63.7)

 

(64.3)

 

(63.6)

 

(62.3)

 

(60.5)

 

3.

Govt. final consumption

255087

0.9

260879

2.3

259960

-0.4

266599

2.6

276125

3.6

 

Expenditure

(12.6)

 

(12.2)

 

(11.7)

 

(11.1)

 

(10.6)

 

4.

Exports of goods

269241

18.2

284498

5.7

346546

21.8

372356

7.4

473549

27.2

 

& services

(13.3)

 

(13.3)

 

(15.6)

 

(15.5)

 

(18.2)

 

5.

Imports of goods

274975

3.5

284324

3.4

313775

10.4

364824

16.3

445870

22.2

 

& services

(13.5)

 

(13.3)

 

(14.2)

 

(15.2)

 

(17.1)

 

6.

Gross fixed capital

456380

-9.8

490009

7.4

523310

6.8

594552

13.6

706906

18.9

 

formation

(22.5)

 

(22.9)

 

(23.6)

 

(24.7)

 

(27.2)

 

7.

Change in stock

14413

 

-1383

 

18495

 

17012

 

40843

 
   

(0.7)

 

-(0.1)

 

(0.8)

 

(0.7)

 

(1.6)

 

8.

Valuables

14256

 

13489

 

12930

 

21541

 

33873

 
   

(0.7)

 

(0.6)

 

(0.6)

 

(0.9)

 

(1.3)

 

9.

Discrepancies

2486

 

127

 

-40848

 

11185

 

-67869

 
   

(0.1)

 

(0.0)

 

-(1.8)

 

(0.5)

 

-(2.6)

 

Statement 5b: Select Macroeconomic Aggregates (at constant prices) (Concld.)

(Amount in Rs. crore and growth rate in per cent)

Item

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08 *

2008-09 #

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

Amount

Growth Rate

1

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

I.

Product Aggregates

               

1.

GDP at factor cost

2616101

9.5

2871120

9.7

3129717

9.0

3339375

6.7

2.

GDP at market prices

2844942

9.3

3120031

9.7

3402716

9.1

3609425

6.1

3.

NDP at market prices

2557516

9.3

2803623

9.6

3052647

8.9

..

..

4.

GNP at factor cost

2595441

9.6

2849838

9.8

3114864

9.3

3323648

6.7

5.

NNP at factor cost

2308015

9.6

2533432

9.8

2764795

9.1

2941971

6.4

6.

GNP at market prices

2824282

9.4

3098767

9.7

3387863

9.3

..

..

7.

NNP at market prices

2536856

9.4

2782361

9.7

3037794

9.2

..

..

8.

Per capita GNP at factor cost

23467

7.9

25400

8.2

27371

7.8

..

..

9.

Per capita NNP at factor cost

20868

8.0

22580

8.2

24295

7.6

25494

4.9

II.

Demand Aggregates

               

1.

Total Final Consumption

1980383

7.0

2102984

6.2

2277701

8.3

2400750

5.4

 

Expenditure

(69.6)

 

(67.4)

 

(66.9)

 

(66.5)

 

2.

Private Final

1687118

7.1

1793691

6.3

1945668

8.5

2001488

2.9

 

Consumption Expenditure

(59.3)

 

(57.5)

 

(57.2)

 

(55.5)

 

3.

Govt. Final Consumption

293265

6.2

309293

5.5

332033

7.4

399262

20.2

 

Expenditure

(10.3)

 

(9.9)

 

(9.8)

 

(11.1)

 

4.

Exports of goods & services

556893

17.6

674670

21.1

689003

2.1

777380

12.8

   

(19.6)

 

(21.6)

 

(20.2)

 

(21.5)

 

5.

Imports of goods & services

628983

41.1

782976

24.5

837015

6.9

986440

17.9

   

(22.1)

 

(25.1)

 

(24.6)

 

(27.3)

 

6.

Gross Fixed Capital Formation

831470

17.6

952344

14.5

1075632

12.9

1163503

8.2

   

(29.2)

 

(30.5)

 

(31.6)

 

(32.2)

 

7.

Change in stock

66128

 

69673

 

105662

 

108739

 
   

(2.3)

 

(2.2)

 

(3.1)

 

(3.0)

 

8.

Valuables

33140

 

38091

 

39118

 

49859

 
   

(1.2)

 

(1.2)

 

(1.1)

 

(1.4)

 

9.

Discrepancies

3597

 

65245

 

52615

 

95634

 
   

(0.1)

 

(2.1)

 

(1.5)

 

(2.6)

 

#  : Quick Estimates.  * :  Revised Estimates. ..  :   Not Available.
Note    : Figures in parentheses are share in GDP at Market Prices
Source : Central Statistical Organisation.


* Prepared in the Division of National Income, Savings and Flow of Funds of Department of Economic Analysis and Policy, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai.

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