Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey for Q1:2025-26 - RBI - Reserve Bank of India
Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey for Q1:2025-26
Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 45th round of its quarterly Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey (SIOS) conducted during Q1:2025-26. This forward-looking survey captures qualitative assessment and expectations of Indian companies engaged in the services and infrastructure sectors on a set of business parameters relating to demand conditions, price situation and other business conditions. In the latest round of the survey , 693 companies provided their assessment for Q1:2025-26 and expectations for Q2:2025-26 as well as outlook on key parameters for the subsequent two quarters.
Highlights:
A. Services Sector
Assessment for Q1:2025-26
- Services sector enterprises assessed improvement in the overall business situation, employment conditions and their turnover during Q1:2025-26 (Chart 1 and Table A).
- Responding firms reported easing of pressures from input and finance costs, while pressures stemming from salary outgo increased.
- Services firms’ assessment on profit margin improved, supported by improvement in turnover and selling prices.
Expectations for Q2:2025-26
- Services firms maintained their positive outlook on demand conditions in Q2:2025-26, though their level of optimism recorded some moderation vis-à-vis the previous quarter (Chart 1 and Table A).
- Pressures from wage bill, input cost and finance cost are likely to ease moderately.
- Firms expressed lower optimism regarding selling prices and profit margins.
Expectations for Q3:2025-26 and Q4:2025-26
- Services sector firms remain optimistic on overall business situation, turnover and employment till Q4:2025-26 (Table C).
- Input cost pressures are likely to persist in H2:2025-26.
- Responding services firms reported that with their existing resources they could provide 11.2 per cent additional services during Q4:2024-25 (Table S14).
B. Infrastructure Sector
Assessment for Q1:2025-26
- Infrastructure companies remained positive on overall business situation, employment as well as their turnover during Q1:2025-26 (Chart 2 and Table B).
- Respondents assessed easing of cost pressures; while sentiments on selling price growth and profit margin moderated.
Expectations for Q2:2025-26
- Infrastructure firms remain highly optimistic on overall business situation and turnover (Chart 2 and Table B).
- Cost pressures are likely to remain high, leading to tempered expectations for increase in selling prices and profit margins.
Expectations for Q3:2025-26 and Q4:2025-26
- Infrastructure firms expect sequential improvement in turnover and overall business situation during H2:2025-26 (Table D).
- Input cost pressures are likely to persist in near term; with concomitant rise in selling prices.
Summary of Net Responses3 on Survey Parameters
(per cent) |
||||
Parameters |
Assessment period |
Expectations period |
||
Q4:2024-25* |
Q1:2025-26 |
Q1:2025-26* |
Q2:2025-26 |
|
Overall Business Situation |
34.9 |
35.5 |
69.6 |
58.7 |
Turnover |
34.3 |
35.4 |
72.3 |
60.3 |
Full-time Employees |
20.4 |
21.5 |
53.9 |
40.4 |
Part-time Employees |
15.8 |
16.1 |
56.5 |
39.8 |
Availability of Finance |
19.7 |
23.1 |
57.0 |
44.4 |
Cost of Finance |
-26.8 |
-23.9 |
-59.5 |
-39.7 |
Salary & Wages |
-25.5 |
-38.8 |
-61.5 |
-42.7 |
Cost of Inputs |
-36.7 |
-35.9 |
-69.2 |
-53.2 |
Selling Price |
14.8 |
15.4 |
55.8 |
37.2 |
Profit Margin |
7.6 |
8.1 |
49.3 |
34.6 |
Inventories |
18.6 |
14.3 |
54.1 |
39.0 |
Technical/Service Capacity |
17.1 |
19.7 |
62.7 |
45.7 |
Physical Investment |
14.8 |
17.5 |
57.6 |
42.3 |
*: Based on the previous round’s response.
(per cent) |
||||
Parameters |
Assessment period |
Expectations period |
||
Q4:2024-25* |
Q1:2025-26 |
Q1:2025-26* |
Q2:2025-26 |
|
Overall Business Situation |
37.9 |
32.2 |
68.9 |
66.7 |
Turnover |
37.0 |
34.5 |
71.2 |
65.0 |
Full-time Employees |
23.4 |
16.0 |
59.9 |
54.8 |
Part-time Employees |
28.5 |
13.8 |
59.7 |
64.1 |
Availability of Finance |
27.5 |
13.4 |
69.8 |
61.7 |
Cost of Finance |
-29.6 |
-15.8 |
-62.8 |
-56.1 |
Salary & Wages |
-33.3 |
-25.0 |
-66.0 |
-61.7 |
Cost of Inputs |
-47.7 |
-32.7 |
-71.1 |
-71.6 |
Selling Price |
25.6 |
13.3 |
62.1 |
60.4 |
Profit Margin |
16.3 |
6.9 |
57.9 |
51.3 |
Inventories |
26.9 |
16.8 |
70.6 |
58.2 |
Technical/Service Capacity |
32.2 |
14.6 |
72.6 |
70.9 |
Physical Investment |
31.7 |
20.2 |
73.8 |
77.8 |
*: Based on the previous round’s response.
Expectations of Select Parameters for extended period – Net response (in per cent)
Parameter |
Round 44 |
Round 45 |
||
Q1:2025-26 |
Q2:2025-26 |
Q3:2025-26 |
Q4:2025-26 |
|
Overall Business Situation |
68.9 |
66.7 |
70.9 |
71.6 |
Turnover |
71.2 |
65.0 |
69.5 |
74.4 |
Full-time Employees |
59.9 |
54.8 |
56.9 |
56.0 |
Part-time Employees |
59.7 |
64.1 |
64.5 |
64.5 |
Cost of Inputs |
-71.1 |
-71.6 |
-67.6 |
-67.6 |
Selling Price |
62.1 |
60.4 |
60.0 |
61.0 |
Note: Please see the excel file for time series data
Service Sector |
||||||||
Table S1: Assessment and Expectation for Overall Business Situation (Percentage responses)@ |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Better |
No Change |
Worse |
Net response# |
Better |
No Change |
Worse |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
43.0 |
48.1 |
8.9 |
34.1 |
68.5 |
28.4 |
3.1 |
65.3 |
Q2:24-25 |
41.9 |
46.4 |
11.7 |
30.2 |
71.5 |
26.5 |
2.0 |
69.4 |
Q3:24-25 |
42.8 |
48.3 |
8.9 |
33.9 |
70.1 |
27.8 |
2.1 |
68.0 |
Q4:24-25 |
42.5 |
49.9 |
7.6 |
34.9 |
71.4 |
26.4 |
2.2 |
69.2 |
Q1:25-26 |
45.8 |
44.0 |
10.2 |
35.5 |
71.7 |
26.2 |
2.1 |
69.6 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
60.9 |
36.9 |
2.2 |
58.7 |
‘Increase’ in Overall business situation is optimistic. |
||||||||
@: Due to rounding off percentage may not add up to 100. |
||||||||
#: Net Response (NR) is the difference of percentage of the respondents reporting optimism and that reporting pessimism. The range is -100 to 100. Any value greater than zero indicates expansion/ optimism and any value less than zero indicates contraction/ pessimism. |
||||||||
Table S2: Assessment and Expectation for Turnover (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
45.2 |
43.1 |
11.7 |
33.5 |
70.5 |
23.6 |
5.9 |
64.6 |
Q2:24-25 |
43.6 |
43.5 |
12.9 |
30.7 |
71.9 |
24.8 |
3.3 |
68.7 |
Q3:24-25 |
44.8 |
44.0 |
11.2 |
33.5 |
71.9 |
25.2 |
3.0 |
68.9 |
Q4:24-25 |
44.9 |
44.4 |
10.7 |
34.3 |
74.1 |
23.3 |
2.6 |
71.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
46.8 |
41.8 |
11.4 |
35.4 |
74.8 |
22.7 |
2.5 |
72.3 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
64.0 |
32.4 |
3.7 |
60.3 |
‘Increase’ in Turnover is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S3: Assessment and Expectation for Full-time Employees (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
34.8 |
58.2 |
7.0 |
27.8 |
48.4 |
49.5 |
2.1 |
46.3 |
Q2:24-25 |
29.0 |
62.0 |
9.0 |
20.1 |
52.2 |
46.0 |
1.7 |
50.5 |
Q3:24-25 |
34.5 |
58.7 |
6.8 |
27.8 |
45.8 |
52.4 |
1.8 |
44.0 |
Q4:24-25 |
28.4 |
63.7 |
7.9 |
20.4 |
54.3 |
44.0 |
1.7 |
52.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
30.5 |
60.6 |
9.0 |
21.5 |
55.1 |
43.8 |
1.1 |
53.9 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
41.9 |
56.7 |
1.5 |
40.4 |
‘Increase’ in Full-time Employees is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
Table S4: Assessment and Expectation for Part-time Employees (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
28.9 |
65.0 |
6.1 |
22.7 |
50.8 |
46.7 |
2.5 |
48.3 |
Q2:24-25 |
22.2 |
69.6 |
8.3 |
13.9 |
55.4 |
42.1 |
2.5 |
52.9 |
Q3:24-25 |
29.7 |
64.4 |
5.9 |
23.8 |
54.1 |
43.8 |
2.1 |
52.1 |
Q4:24-25 |
22.5 |
70.7 |
6.8 |
15.8 |
59.0 |
38.9 |
2.2 |
56.8 |
Q1:25-26 |
23.4 |
69.3 |
7.3 |
16.1 |
58.0 |
40.6 |
1.5 |
56.5 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
41.9 |
56.1 |
2.1 |
39.8 |
‘Increase’ in Part-time Employees is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S5: Assessment and Expectation for Availability of Finance (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Improve |
No Change |
Worsen |
Net response |
Improve |
No Change |
Worsen |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
37.9 |
56.2 |
5.9 |
32.0 |
56.4 |
42.5 |
1.1 |
55.3 |
Q2:24-25 |
28.5 |
62.8 |
8.7 |
19.8 |
58.8 |
40.0 |
1.2 |
57.6 |
Q3:24-25 |
34.7 |
58.9 |
6.4 |
28.3 |
51.4 |
47.2 |
1.4 |
50.1 |
Q4:24-25 |
27.9 |
63.9 |
8.2 |
19.7 |
58.0 |
40.6 |
1.4 |
56.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
30.1 |
62.8 |
7.0 |
23.1 |
58.4 |
40.2 |
1.4 |
57.0 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
46.1 |
52.2 |
1.7 |
44.4 |
‘Improve’ in Availability of Finance is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S6: Assessment and Expectation for Cost of Finance (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
40.0 |
55.1 |
4.9 |
-35.1 |
51.0 |
43.5 |
5.5 |
-45.5 |
Q2:24-25 |
36.6 |
59.0 |
4.3 |
-32.3 |
59.4 |
38.0 |
2.6 |
-56.9 |
Q3:24-25 |
38.9 |
57.7 |
3.4 |
-35.4 |
55.9 |
42.5 |
1.6 |
-54.3 |
Q4:24-25 |
33.7 |
59.3 |
6.9 |
-26.8 |
61.1 |
37.0 |
1.9 |
-59.2 |
Q1:25-26 |
32.3 |
59.4 |
8.3 |
-23.9 |
61.5 |
36.4 |
2.0 |
-59.5 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
44.1 |
51.4 |
4.4 |
-39.7 |
‘Decrease’ in Cost of Finance is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
Table S7: Assessment and Expectation for Salary/Wages (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
45.3 |
52.0 |
2.7 |
-42.6 |
46.7 |
53.3 |
0.0 |
-46.7 |
Q2:24-25 |
29.9 |
66.0 |
4.1 |
-25.8 |
54.5 |
44.9 |
0.7 |
-53.8 |
Q3:24-25 |
33.5 |
63.5 |
3.0 |
-30.4 |
45.0 |
54.5 |
0.5 |
-44.5 |
Q4:24-25 |
29.5 |
66.4 |
4.0 |
-25.5 |
55.7 |
43.7 |
0.6 |
-55.1 |
Q1:25-26 |
42.2 |
54.4 |
3.4 |
-38.8 |
61.9 |
37.7 |
0.4 |
-61.5 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
43.6 |
55.5 |
0.9 |
-42.7 |
‘Decrease’ in Salary/Wages is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S8: Assessment and Expectation for Cost of Inputs (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
47.5 |
49.6 |
2.9 |
-44.7 |
57.1 |
42.5 |
0.4 |
-56.7 |
Q2:24-25 |
44.4 |
51.8 |
3.8 |
-40.6 |
66.5 |
32.9 |
0.6 |
-65.9 |
Q3:24-25 |
46.2 |
50.4 |
3.4 |
-42.7 |
65.6 |
33.1 |
1.3 |
-64.2 |
Q4:24-25 |
41.2 |
54.2 |
4.5 |
-36.7 |
69.4 |
30.1 |
0.5 |
-68.9 |
Q1:25-26 |
41.4 |
53.1 |
5.5 |
-35.9 |
70.1 |
29.0 |
0.9 |
-69.2 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
54.3 |
44.7 |
1.0 |
-53.2 |
‘Decrease’ in Cost of Inputs is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S9: Assessment and Expectation for Selling Price (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
26.9 |
67.9 |
5.2 |
21.7 |
52.4 |
46.0 |
1.6 |
50.8 |
Q2:24-25 |
20.5 |
71.1 |
8.4 |
12.1 |
55.5 |
43.2 |
1.4 |
54.1 |
Q3:24-25 |
29.0 |
64.1 |
6.9 |
22.2 |
50.4 |
47.3 |
2.3 |
48.0 |
Q4:24-25 |
21.2 |
72.4 |
6.4 |
14.8 |
57.9 |
39.8 |
2.3 |
55.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
22.9 |
69.6 |
7.5 |
15.4 |
57.4 |
41.1 |
1.6 |
55.8 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
39.4 |
58.4 |
2.2 |
37.2 |
‘Increase’ in Selling Price is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
Table S10: Assessment and Expectation for Profit Margin (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
26.5 |
57.5 |
16.0 |
10.5 |
50.6 |
45.1 |
4.2 |
46.4 |
Q2:24-25 |
21.0 |
62.1 |
16.8 |
4.2 |
49.6 |
46.3 |
4.2 |
45.4 |
Q3:24-25 |
28.4 |
58.2 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
42.3 |
53.7 |
3.9 |
38.4 |
Q4:24-25 |
21.2 |
65.1 |
13.6 |
7.6 |
52.6 |
43.7 |
3.7 |
48.9 |
Q1:25-26 |
24.4 |
59.3 |
16.3 |
8.1 |
53.0 |
43.3 |
3.7 |
49.3 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
39.2 |
56.1 |
4.6 |
34.6 |
‘Increase’ in Profit Margin is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S11: Assessment and Expectation for Inventories (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
31.2 |
62.0 |
6.9 |
24.3 |
50.9 |
45.9 |
3.2 |
47.8 |
Q2:24-25 |
24.5 |
69.4 |
6.1 |
18.4 |
54.3 |
43.4 |
2.3 |
52.0 |
Q3:24-25 |
29.8 |
64.6 |
5.5 |
24.3 |
47.7 |
51.3 |
1.1 |
46.6 |
Q4:24-25 |
26.5 |
65.6 |
7.9 |
18.6 |
55.0 |
43.6 |
1.4 |
53.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
22.8 |
68.6 |
8.6 |
14.3 |
56.1 |
41.9 |
2.0 |
54.1 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
41.9 |
55.3 |
2.9 |
39.0 |
‘Increase’ in Inventories is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table S12: Assessment and Expectation for Technical/Service Capacity (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
29.4 |
67.4 |
3.2 |
26.2 |
54.7 |
45.3 |
0.0 |
54.7 |
Q2:24-25 |
23.0 |
72.5 |
4.5 |
18.5 |
57.2 |
42.5 |
0.2 |
57.0 |
Q3:24-25 |
32.4 |
64.2 |
3.4 |
29.0 |
58.6 |
41.1 |
0.3 |
58.3 |
Q4:24-25 |
22.0 |
73.2 |
4.8 |
17.1 |
64.3 |
35.0 |
0.7 |
63.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
23.3 |
73.0 |
3.7 |
19.7 |
62.7 |
37.3 |
0.0 |
62.7 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
46.0 |
53.7 |
0.3 |
45.7 |
‘Increase’ in Technical/Service Capacity is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
Table S13: Assessment and Expectation for Physical Investment (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
27.4 |
69.3 |
3.2 |
24.2 |
53.8 |
45.7 |
0.5 |
53.2 |
Q2:24-25 |
21.6 |
72.9 |
5.5 |
16.1 |
55.7 |
44.1 |
0.3 |
55.4 |
Q3:24-25 |
30.2 |
66.4 |
3.4 |
26.8 |
57.0 |
42.7 |
0.3 |
56.7 |
Q4:24-25 |
20.2 |
74.4 |
5.4 |
14.8 |
61.5 |
37.7 |
0.9 |
60.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
20.8 |
75.8 |
3.4 |
17.5 |
58.0 |
41.6 |
0.4 |
57.6 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
43.1 |
56.0 |
0.9 |
42.3 |
‘Increase’ in Physical Investment is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table S1 are applicable here. |
Table S14: Estimated Spare Capacity for the Services Sector
Survey conducted during |
Reference quarter |
Response rate for the |
Spare Capacity |
Q4:2022-23 |
Q3:2022-23 |
63.0 |
13.8 |
Q1:2023-24 |
Q4:2022-23 |
79.8 |
13.6 |
Q2:2023-24 |
Q1:2023-24 |
84.3 |
12.3 |
Q3:2023-24 |
Q2:2023-24 |
74.0 |
11.8 |
Q4:2023-24 |
Q3:2023-24 |
74.8 |
11.7 |
Q1:2024-25 |
Q4:2023-24 |
78.8 |
11.3 |
Q2:2024-25 |
Q1:2024-25 |
71.5 |
11.2 |
Q3:2024-25 |
Q2:2024-25 |
79.9 |
10.6 |
Q4:2024-25 |
Q3:2024-25 |
83.7 |
10.9 |
Q1:2025-26 |
Q4:2024-25 |
65.7 |
11.2 |
Infrastructure Sector
Table I1: Assessment and Expectation for Overall Business Situation (Percentage responses)@ |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Better |
No Change |
Worse |
Net response# |
Better |
No Change |
Worse |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
37.7 |
51.3 |
11.0 |
26.6 |
70.3 |
25.4 |
4.2 |
66.1 |
Q2:24-25 |
38.4 |
44.9 |
16.7 |
21.7 |
76.5 |
21.6 |
2.0 |
74.5 |
Q3:24-25 |
40.2 |
47.2 |
12.6 |
27.6 |
70.3 |
26.8 |
2.9 |
67.4 |
Q4:24-25 |
44.4 |
49.0 |
6.5 |
37.9 |
70.9 |
25.2 |
3.9 |
66.9 |
Q1:25-26 |
41.3 |
49.6 |
9.1 |
32.2 |
72.2 |
24.5 |
3.3 |
68.9 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
69.2 |
28.2 |
2.6 |
66.7 |
‘Increase’ in Overall business situation is optimistic. |
||||||||
@: Due to rounding off percentage may not add up to 100. |
||||||||
#: Net Response (NR) is the difference of percentage of the respondents reporting optimism and that reporting pessimism. The range is -100 to 100. Any value greater than zero indicates expansion/ optimism and any value less than zero indicates contraction/ pessimism. |
||||||||
Table I2: Assessment and Expectation for Turnover (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
37.7 |
51.3 |
11.0 |
26.6 |
68.4 |
24.8 |
6.8 |
61.5 |
Q2:24-25 |
41.3 |
42.8 |
15.9 |
25.4 |
73.2 |
23.5 |
3.3 |
69.9 |
Q3:24-25 |
44.1 |
42.5 |
13.4 |
30.7 |
73.2 |
24.6 |
2.2 |
71.0 |
Q4:24-25 |
45.5 |
46.1 |
8.4 |
37.0 |
72.7 |
24.2 |
3.1 |
69.5 |
Q1:25-26 |
46.2 |
42.0 |
11.8 |
34.5 |
75.2 |
20.9 |
3.9 |
71.2 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
69.2 |
26.5 |
4.3 |
65.0 |
‘Increase’ in Turnover is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I3: Assessment and Expectation for Full-time Employees (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
31.2 |
59.1 |
9.7 |
21.4 |
47.5 |
51.7 |
0.8 |
46.6 |
Q2:24-25 |
28.3 |
61.6 |
10.1 |
18.1 |
64.7 |
33.3 |
2.0 |
62.7 |
Q3:24-25 |
30.7 |
60.6 |
8.7 |
22.0 |
41.5 |
56.3 |
2.2 |
39.3 |
Q4:24-25 |
29.9 |
63.6 |
6.5 |
23.4 |
48.4 |
48.4 |
3.1 |
45.3 |
Q1:25-26 |
22.7 |
70.6 |
6.7 |
16.0 |
61.2 |
37.5 |
1.3 |
59.9 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
56.5 |
41.7 |
1.7 |
54.8 |
‘Increase’ in Full-time Employees is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
Table I4: Assessment and Expectation for Part-time Employees (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
32.8 |
59.9 |
7.3 |
25.5 |
55.8 |
41.9 |
2.3 |
53.5 |
Q2:24-25 |
21.5 |
66.7 |
11.8 |
9.7 |
63.7 |
33.3 |
3.0 |
60.7 |
Q3:24-25 |
30.3 |
61.6 |
8.1 |
22.2 |
54.3 |
40.2 |
5.4 |
48.9 |
Q4:24-25 |
31.5 |
65.4 |
3.1 |
28.5 |
62.0 |
34.0 |
4.0 |
58.0 |
Q1:25-26 |
19.1 |
75.5 |
5.3 |
13.8 |
62.8 |
34.1 |
3.1 |
59.7 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
66.3 |
31.5 |
2.2 |
64.1 |
‘Increase’ in Part-time Employees is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I5: Assessment and Expectation for Availability of Finance (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Improve |
No Change |
Worsen |
Net response |
Improve |
No Change |
Worsen |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
35.1 |
59.1 |
5.8 |
29.2 |
58.6 |
40.5 |
0.9 |
57.8 |
Q2:24-25 |
31.4 |
55.5 |
13.1 |
18.2 |
68.0 |
32.0 |
0.0 |
68.0 |
Q3:24-25 |
34.1 |
57.9 |
7.9 |
26.2 |
55.1 |
44.1 |
0.7 |
54.4 |
Q4:24-25 |
34.0 |
59.5 |
6.5 |
27.5 |
60.8 |
37.6 |
1.6 |
59.2 |
Q1:25-26 |
22.7 |
68.1 |
9.2 |
13.4 |
71.8 |
26.2 |
2.0 |
69.8 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
63.5 |
34.8 |
1.7 |
61.7 |
‘Improve’ in Availability of Finance is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I6: Assessment and Expectation for Cost of Finance (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
36.4 |
56.3 |
7.3 |
-29.1 |
60.4 |
38.7 |
0.9 |
-59.4 |
Q2:24-25 |
38.3 |
50.0 |
11.7 |
-26.6 |
65.1 |
32.2 |
2.7 |
-62.4 |
Q3:24-25 |
37.3 |
52.4 |
10.3 |
-27.0 |
63.5 |
33.3 |
3.2 |
-60.3 |
Q4:24-25 |
40.1 |
49.3 |
10.5 |
-29.6 |
60.7 |
36.9 |
2.5 |
-58.2 |
Q1:25-26 |
25.0 |
65.8 |
9.2 |
-15.8 |
68.2 |
26.4 |
5.4 |
-62.8 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
60.5 |
35.1 |
4.4 |
-56.1 |
‘Decrease’ in Cost of Finance is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I7: Assessment and Expectation for Salary/Wages (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
38.3 |
57.8 |
3.9 |
-34.4 |
55.2 |
44.8 |
0.0 |
-55.2 |
Q2:24-25 |
31.9 |
63.0 |
5.1 |
-26.8 |
70.6 |
29.4 |
0.0 |
-70.6 |
Q3:24-25 |
34.9 |
61.1 |
4.0 |
-31.0 |
43.1 |
56.9 |
0.0 |
-43.1 |
Q4:24-25 |
35.9 |
61.4 |
2.6 |
-33.3 |
47.6 |
52.4 |
0.0 |
-47.6 |
Q1:25-26 |
30.0 |
65.0 |
5.0 |
-25.0 |
66.7 |
32.7 |
0.7 |
-66.0 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
63.5 |
34.8 |
1.7 |
-61.7 |
‘Decrease’ in Salary/Wages is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I8: Assessment and Expectation for Cost of Inputs (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
42.2 |
51.7 |
6.1 |
-36.1 |
63.4 |
36.6 |
0.0 |
-63.4 |
Q2:24-25 |
49.2 |
42.3 |
8.5 |
-40.8 |
75.9 |
23.4 |
0.7 |
-75.2 |
Q3:24-25 |
48.0 |
45.6 |
6.4 |
-41.6 |
70.8 |
29.2 |
0.0 |
-70.8 |
Q4:24-25 |
52.3 |
43.0 |
4.6 |
-47.7 |
70.4 |
29.6 |
0.0 |
-70.4 |
Q1:25-26 |
39.8 |
53.1 |
7.1 |
-32.7 |
74.3 |
22.4 |
3.3 |
-71.1 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
74.3 |
22.9 |
2.8 |
-71.6 |
‘Decrease’ in Cost of Inputs is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I9: Assessment and Expectation for Selling Price (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
30.8 |
60.0 |
9.2 |
21.5 |
60.7 |
33.7 |
5.6 |
55.1 |
Q2:24-25 |
24.5 |
61.8 |
13.6 |
10.9 |
69.8 |
27.1 |
3.1 |
66.7 |
Q3:24-25 |
27.0 |
63.1 |
9.9 |
17.1 |
52.7 |
44.5 |
2.7 |
50.0 |
Q4:24-25 |
30.1 |
65.4 |
4.5 |
25.6 |
56.4 |
43.6 |
0.0 |
56.4 |
Q1:25-26 |
22.9 |
67.6 |
9.5 |
13.3 |
62.9 |
36.4 |
0.8 |
62.1 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
63.4 |
33.7 |
3.0 |
60.4 |
‘Increase’ in Selling Price is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I10: Assessment and Expectation for Profit Margin (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
28.6 |
59.7 |
11.7 |
16.9 |
54.7 |
38.5 |
6.8 |
47.9 |
Q2:24-25 |
26.8 |
52.2 |
21.0 |
5.8 |
65.1 |
31.6 |
3.3 |
61.8 |
Q3:24-25 |
28.0 |
55.2 |
16.8 |
11.2 |
45.7 |
49.3 |
5.1 |
40.6 |
Q4:24-25 |
27.5 |
61.4 |
11.1 |
16.3 |
55.2 |
40.0 |
4.8 |
50.4 |
Q1:25-26 |
23.3 |
60.3 |
16.4 |
6.9 |
61.8 |
34.2 |
3.9 |
57.9 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
55.7 |
40.0 |
4.3 |
51.3 |
‘Increase’ in Profit Margin is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
Table I11: Assessment and Expectation for Inventories (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
34.8 |
59.4 |
5.8 |
29.0 |
58.0 |
39.0 |
3.0 |
55.0 |
Q2:24-25 |
30.4 |
59.8 |
9.8 |
20.5 |
71.5 |
27.0 |
1.5 |
70.1 |
Q3:24-25 |
35.6 |
56.8 |
7.6 |
28.0 |
59.1 |
38.2 |
2.7 |
56.4 |
Q4:24-25 |
37.2 |
52.4 |
10.3 |
26.9 |
62.4 |
35.9 |
1.7 |
60.7 |
Q1:25-26 |
24.8 |
67.3 |
8.0 |
16.8 |
74.1 |
22.4 |
3.5 |
70.6 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
62.7 |
32.7 |
4.5 |
58.2 |
‘Increase’ in Inventories is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I12: Assessment and Expectation for Technical/Service Capacity (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
36.2 |
59.5 |
4.3 |
31.9 |
66.2 |
32.4 |
1.4 |
64.9 |
Q2:24-25 |
30.9 |
57.4 |
11.8 |
19.1 |
79.1 |
20.9 |
0.0 |
79.1 |
Q3:24-25 |
32.9 |
62.0 |
5.1 |
27.8 |
72.5 |
27.5 |
0.0 |
72.5 |
Q4:24-25 |
34.8 |
62.6 |
2.6 |
32.2 |
68.8 |
30.0 |
1.3 |
67.5 |
Q1:25-26 |
20.7 |
73.2 |
6.1 |
14.6 |
72.6 |
27.4 |
0.0 |
72.6 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
72.2 |
26.6 |
1.3 |
70.9 |
‘Increase’ in Technical/Service Capacity is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
||||||||
Table I13: Assessment and Expectation for Physical Investment (Percentage responses) |
||||||||
Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectation |
||||||
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
Increase |
No Change |
Decrease |
Net response |
|
Q1:24-25 |
33.1 |
61.2 |
5.8 |
27.3 |
64.0 |
36.0 |
0.0 |
64.0 |
Q2:24-25 |
36.5 |
52.7 |
10.8 |
25.7 |
75.8 |
24.2 |
0.0 |
75.8 |
Q3:24-25 |
32.6 |
61.6 |
5.8 |
26.7 |
75.3 |
24.7 |
0.0 |
75.3 |
Q4:24-25 |
34.1 |
63.4 |
2.4 |
31.7 |
71.1 |
28.9 |
0.0 |
71.1 |
Q1:25-26 |
25.0 |
70.2 |
4.8 |
20.2 |
73.8 |
26.2 |
0.0 |
73.8 |
Q2:25-26 |
|
|
|
|
77.8 |
22.2 |
0.0 |
77.8 |
‘Increase’ in Physical Investment is optimistic. Footnotes @ and # given in Table I1 are applicable here. |
The survey results reflect the respondents’ views, which are not necessarily shared by the Reserve Bank.
Results of the previous survey round were released on the Bank’s website on April 09, 2025.
Net Response (NR) is the difference between the percentage of respondents reporting optimism and those reporting pessimism. It ranges between -100 to 100. Positive value indicates expansion/optimism and negative value indicates contraction/pessimism. In other words, NR = (I – D); where, I is the percentage response of ‘Increase/optimism’, D is the percentage response of ‘Decrease/pessimism’ and E is the percentage response as ‘no change/ equal’ (i.e., I+D+E=100). For example, increase in turnover is optimism whereas decrease in cost of inputs is optimism.