Speeches - Monetary Policy - RBI - Reserve Bank of India
Speeches
Nov 22, 2011
The Challenge of Food Inflation
First of all, my thanks to the Indian Society of Agricultural Marketing, particularly to Prof. Radhakrishna, the President, and Prof. Satyanarayana, Secretary of the Society for inviting me to address this conference. Speaking to a gathering of distinguished agricultural economists is an opportunity to which I attach a lot of value. Whenever I am invited to speak, I struggle to determine a topic that is relevant to the organizers, and is also within the domain of the
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
First of all, my thanks to the Indian Society of Agricultural Marketing, particularly to Prof. Radhakrishna, the President, and Prof. Satyanarayana, Secretary of the Society for inviting me to address this conference. Speaking to a gathering of distinguished agricultural economists is an opportunity to which I attach a lot of value. Whenever I am invited to speak, I struggle to determine a topic that is relevant to the organizers, and is also within the domain of the
Nov 14, 2011
Post-Crisis: The New Normal
The aftermath of the recent global financial crisis bears testimony to the fact that impact of the turmoil is severe and the recovery therefrom is protracted, resulting in significant losses in output and employment for an extended period of time. Even two-years after the recent crisis, there are lingering apprehensions that global economy in general and advanced economies in particular may suffer double-dip recession. 2. There is a perception that advanced countries
Dr. K.C. Chakrabarty, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
The aftermath of the recent global financial crisis bears testimony to the fact that impact of the turmoil is severe and the recovery therefrom is protracted, resulting in significant losses in output and employment for an extended period of time. Even two-years after the recent crisis, there are lingering apprehensions that global economy in general and advanced economies in particular may suffer double-dip recession. 2. There is a perception that advanced countries
Nov 03, 2011
Growth, Resilience and Reform: Reflections on Post-crisis Policy Challenges*
Introduction It is a privilege and a pleasure for me to be delivering the 45th A. D. Shroff Memorial Lecture. The list of speakers who preceded me reads like an honour roll of the business and policy establishment in our country and I am proud to be a part of this very distinguished set of people. I am also very glad that the venue of the lecture is the Indian Merchants’ Chamber. 2011 marks the 20th anniversary of the reform initiative of 1991. Early that year, IMC an
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Introduction It is a privilege and a pleasure for me to be delivering the 45th A. D. Shroff Memorial Lecture. The list of speakers who preceded me reads like an honour roll of the business and policy establishment in our country and I am proud to be a part of this very distinguished set of people. I am also very glad that the venue of the lecture is the Indian Merchants’ Chamber. 2011 marks the 20th anniversary of the reform initiative of 1991. Early that year, IMC an
Oct 19, 2011
Identifying Systemic Risk in Global Markets – Lessons learned from the crisis
In my considered opinion, systemic risks in the global markets can be best identified and measured by looking at some select key parameters which, between them, indicate the extent of asset bubbles and the corresponding under-pricing of risks. In other words, it is not so much high volatility, which is the ‘effect’, that should be a cause for concern as persistent and excessively low volatility, which is the ‘cause’, and was the hallmark of the pre-crisis period. In p
Shri V.K. Sharma, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
In my considered opinion, systemic risks in the global markets can be best identified and measured by looking at some select key parameters which, between them, indicate the extent of asset bubbles and the corresponding under-pricing of risks. In other words, it is not so much high volatility, which is the ‘effect’, that should be a cause for concern as persistent and excessively low volatility, which is the ‘cause’, and was the hallmark of the pre-crisis period. In p
Oct 19, 2011
Inflation | Decoding the Dynamics
In India, we have multiple price gauges—six consumer price indices (CPIs) and a Wholesale Price Index (WPI). While the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) examines all the price indices, both at aggregate and disaggregated levels, changes in WPI are taken as the headline inflation for policy articulation. Within WPI, non-food manufactured products inflation is considered the core inflation—an indicator of demand condition. Going by any measure of inflation, India comes out as
Shri Deepak Mohanty, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
In India, we have multiple price gauges—six consumer price indices (CPIs) and a Wholesale Price Index (WPI). While the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) examines all the price indices, both at aggregate and disaggregated levels, changes in WPI are taken as the headline inflation for policy articulation. Within WPI, non-food manufactured products inflation is considered the core inflation—an indicator of demand condition. Going by any measure of inflation, India comes out as
Oct 10, 2011
Monetary Policy: Key factors Shaping Trajectory
Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India. Published in the www.livemint.com on September 22, 2011. For energy-importing economies such as China and India, monetary policy is going to be influenced by global oil price movements as long as oil remains the predominant incremental source of energy The core objectives of monetary policy in the future will remain what they have been in the past. The primary objective of monetary policy is a low and stable inflat
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India. Published in the www.livemint.com on September 22, 2011. For energy-importing economies such as China and India, monetary policy is going to be influenced by global oil price movements as long as oil remains the predominant incremental source of energy The core objectives of monetary policy in the future will remain what they have been in the past. The primary objective of monetary policy is a low and stable inflat
Sep 27, 2011
Monetary Policy Dilemmas: Some RBI Perspectives
I value this opportunity of speaking at the Stern School to an academic community interested in central bank issues. Over the last decade, the profile of central banks has gone up. First, we had the Great Moderation - a period of extraordinary benign macroeconomic environment globally, characterized by steady growth in advanced economies and accelerated growth in emerging economies, and low and stable inflation all around. Central banks took credit for this, believed
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
I value this opportunity of speaking at the Stern School to an academic community interested in central bank issues. Over the last decade, the profile of central banks has gone up. First, we had the Great Moderation - a period of extraordinary benign macroeconomic environment globally, characterized by steady growth in advanced economies and accelerated growth in emerging economies, and low and stable inflation all around. Central banks took credit for this, believed
Sep 03, 2011
Monetary Policy Response to Recent Inflation in India
I thank the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Guwahati and Mr. Ankit Khemka, Convenor, Techniche 2011, for inviting me to address such a talented and bright group of youngsters . I propose to speak to you about inflation which is a matter of concern to all of us. It has been about two years since October 2009 that the Reserve Bank of India announced its exit from the crisis-driven accommodative monetary policy stance. However, inflation continues to remain elevate
Shri Deepak Mohanty, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
I thank the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Guwahati and Mr. Ankit Khemka, Convenor, Techniche 2011, for inviting me to address such a talented and bright group of youngsters . I propose to speak to you about inflation which is a matter of concern to all of us. It has been about two years since October 2009 that the Reserve Bank of India announced its exit from the crisis-driven accommodative monetary policy stance. However, inflation continues to remain elevate
Aug 13, 2011
Changing Inflation Dynamics in India
I thank the Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology (MNNIT) for giving me this opportunity to address this distinguished gathering. I propose to speak on inflation which is a matter of concern to all of us. What is inflation? Simply put, inflation is the sustained increase in the overall price level. Relative change in prices of goods and services is a desirable attribute of market economy as it reflects productivity changes as well as demand and supply conditi
Shri Deepak Mohanty, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
I thank the Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology (MNNIT) for giving me this opportunity to address this distinguished gathering. I propose to speak on inflation which is a matter of concern to all of us. What is inflation? Simply put, inflation is the sustained increase in the overall price level. Relative change in prices of goods and services is a desirable attribute of market economy as it reflects productivity changes as well as demand and supply conditi
Aug 12, 2011
How does the Reserve Bank of India Conduct its Monetary Policy?
I thank the Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Lucknow for inviting me to address this distinguished gathering. I do see many bright young prospective managers in the audience. As you step out of the portals of the Institute, you will be faced with the challenge of managing some or the other key aspect of our economy, be it agriculture, industry or services. This evening, let me give you a flavour of how do we manage monetary policy in the Reserve Bank of India? In
Shri Deepak Mohanty, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
I thank the Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Lucknow for inviting me to address this distinguished gathering. I do see many bright young prospective managers in the audience. As you step out of the portals of the Institute, you will be faced with the challenge of managing some or the other key aspect of our economy, be it agriculture, industry or services. This evening, let me give you a flavour of how do we manage monetary policy in the Reserve Bank of India? In
Jul 07, 2011
Striking the Balance between Growth and Inflation in India
Striking the Balance between Growth and Inflation in India* I. Introduction The Indian economy recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis of 2008, but inflationary pressures emerged even in the early stages of the recovery in late 2009. Over the past year and a half, the challenge for monetary policy has been to contain these inflationary pressures without disrupting the recovery. The economy grew by 8.5 per cent in the fiscal year 2010-11, which is close
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Striking the Balance between Growth and Inflation in India* I. Introduction The Indian economy recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis of 2008, but inflationary pressures emerged even in the early stages of the recovery in late 2009. Over the past year and a half, the challenge for monetary policy has been to contain these inflationary pressures without disrupting the recovery. The economy grew by 8.5 per cent in the fiscal year 2010-11, which is close
Jun 23, 2011
India and the Global Financial Crisis What Have We Learnt?
Thank you for inviting me to deliver the 2011 K R Narayanan Oration. It is an honour to which I attach a lot of value. President Narayanan 2. Late President Narayanan was a distinguished diplomat, a reputed parliamentarian, a capable minister and above all an erudite scholar. Born at the very bottom of India’s social pyramid, he rose on to occupy the highest office in the country with no assets other than hard work, integrity and humility. ‘A working President’, as he
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Thank you for inviting me to deliver the 2011 K R Narayanan Oration. It is an honour to which I attach a lot of value. President Narayanan 2. Late President Narayanan was a distinguished diplomat, a reputed parliamentarian, a capable minister and above all an erudite scholar. Born at the very bottom of India’s social pyramid, he rose on to occupy the highest office in the country with no assets other than hard work, integrity and humility. ‘A working President’, as he
Jun 10, 2011
Monetary policy in a world with macroprudential policy
Introduction Ladies and gentlemen, it is a privilege to be able to speak today to this distinguished group of Governors. As for my subject, I will focus on how monetary policy might need to adjust to the implementation of new macroprudential frameworks. To speak on this topic in India is almost presumptuous, given that the Reserve Bank of India is among those central banks, mainly Asian ones, that have successfully combined both monetary policy and macroprudential mea
Jaime Caruana, General Manager, Bank for International Settlements
Introduction Ladies and gentlemen, it is a privilege to be able to speak today to this distinguished group of Governors. As for my subject, I will focus on how monetary policy might need to adjust to the implementation of new macroprudential frameworks. To speak on this topic in India is almost presumptuous, given that the Reserve Bank of India is among those central banks, mainly Asian ones, that have successfully combined both monetary policy and macroprudential mea
May 10, 2011
Policy Discipline and Spillovers in an Inter-connected Global Economy
The interconnected world is not new. We have been living in it for some time. For half a century, exports, international capital flows, and foreign direct investment have been growing much faster than GDP, binding economies ever more tightly together. In many ways, this process has been a tremendous force for good. My own country, India, is testament to that. Integration with the world contributed to growth, lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. But i
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
The interconnected world is not new. We have been living in it for some time. For half a century, exports, international capital flows, and foreign direct investment have been growing much faster than GDP, binding economies ever more tightly together. In many ways, this process has been a tremendous force for good. My own country, India, is testament to that. Integration with the world contributed to growth, lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. But i
Apr 05, 2011
Sustainability of Economic Growth and Controlling Inflation: The Way Forward
It is my pleasure to speak at FICCI’s National Executive Committee Meeting this year. As many observers have been highlighting, after a relatively long phase of benign, growth-friendly macroeconomic conditions, things have begun to look somewhat hostile on the macroeconomic front. The most significant manifestation of this is the acceleration of inflation, a trend that was visible even before the impact of the financial crisis was felt in late 2008, but which very qui
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
It is my pleasure to speak at FICCI’s National Executive Committee Meeting this year. As many observers have been highlighting, after a relatively long phase of benign, growth-friendly macroeconomic conditions, things have begun to look somewhat hostile on the macroeconomic front. The most significant manifestation of this is the acceleration of inflation, a trend that was visible even before the impact of the financial crisis was felt in late 2008, but which very qui
Apr 01, 2011
Lessons for Monetary Policy from the Global Financial Crisis : An Emerging Market Perspective
The global financial crisis has challenged the conventional views on the role of monetary policy. Post-crisis, the weight of arguments tilts towards acceptance of financial stability as an objective of central bank or monetary policy. However, the key challenge is to evolve a consistent framework for implementation. While interest rate can continue as the dominant instrument for implementing monetary policy, supplementing it with other quantity or macro-prudential ins
Shri Deepak Mohanty, Executive Director, Reserve Bank of India
The global financial crisis has challenged the conventional views on the role of monetary policy. Post-crisis, the weight of arguments tilts towards acceptance of financial stability as an objective of central bank or monetary policy. However, the key challenge is to evolve a consistent framework for implementation. While interest rate can continue as the dominant instrument for implementing monetary policy, supplementing it with other quantity or macro-prudential ins
Jan 31, 2011
Implications of the Expansion of Central Bank Balance Sheets
1. At the outset, let me congratulate the BIS for bringing out a very analytical and comprehensive paper on the subject. The topic for the session has been thrown into prominence by the experience of the recent financial crisis when many central banks were forced to adopt an expansionary stance of monetary policy. The expansion of balance sheets of central banks has important monetary and financial implications. In normal times, a central bank’s balance sheet attracts
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
1. At the outset, let me congratulate the BIS for bringing out a very analytical and comprehensive paper on the subject. The topic for the session has been thrown into prominence by the experience of the recent financial crisis when many central banks were forced to adopt an expansionary stance of monetary policy. The expansion of balance sheets of central banks has important monetary and financial implications. In normal times, a central bank’s balance sheet attracts
Jan 07, 2011
Dilemmas in Central Bank Communication: Some Reflections Based on Recent Experience
First of all my thanks to Business Standard, and to my good friends T.N. Ninan and Sanjaya Baru, for inviting me to deliver this second Business Standard Annual lecture. This is an honour to which I attach a lot of value. Central Bank Communication 2. As a part of my job, I accept several speaking commitments, and often I struggle to determine the topic for my speech and the key message I should be delivering. From that perspective, deciding on a topic for this lectur
Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India
First of all my thanks to Business Standard, and to my good friends T.N. Ninan and Sanjaya Baru, for inviting me to deliver this second Business Standard Annual lecture. This is an honour to which I attach a lot of value. Central Bank Communication 2. As a part of my job, I accept several speaking commitments, and often I struggle to determine the topic for my speech and the key message I should be delivering. From that perspective, deciding on a topic for this lectur
Dec 09, 2010
Monetary Policy Considerations after the Crisis: Practitioners’ Perspectives
Introduction I would like to thank the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy for inviting me to speak at this International Conference on Economic Policies for Inclusive Development. We tend to associate the process of inclusive growth and development with structural factors and the roles that they play in accelerating growth, enhancing labour productivity, creating human capital, providing access to safety nets and essential publ
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Introduction I would like to thank the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy for inviting me to speak at this International Conference on Economic Policies for Inclusive Development. We tend to associate the process of inclusive growth and development with structural factors and the roles that they play in accelerating growth, enhancing labour productivity, creating human capital, providing access to safety nets and essential publ
Nov 01, 2010
G-20 After the Crisis: An Indian Perspective
Introduction I would like to thank the organizers of this event for inviting me to deliver this keynote address. While the title of the session is "What India expects from the G-20", I think it would be extremely presumptuous of me to speak on behalf of the country as a whole. I have, of course, been involved with the G-20 process as the Central Bank deputy and, in that capacity have had the opportunity to contribute to the shaping of the Indian position on various is
Dr. Subir Gokarn, Deputy Governor, Reserve Bank of India
Introduction I would like to thank the organizers of this event for inviting me to deliver this keynote address. While the title of the session is "What India expects from the G-20", I think it would be extremely presumptuous of me to speak on behalf of the country as a whole. I have, of course, been involved with the G-20 process as the Central Bank deputy and, in that capacity have had the opportunity to contribute to the shaping of the Indian position on various is
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