Table A.1: Annual Forecasts for 2014-15 |
Key Macroeconomic Indicators | Annual Forecasts for 2014-15 |
Mean | Median | Max | Min |
1 | Real GDP at factor cost (growth rate in per cent) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 4.9 |
a | Agriculture & Allied Activities (growth rate in per cent) | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
b | Industry (growth rate in per cent) | 3.2 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
c | Services (growth rate in per cent) | 6.9 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 6.1 |
2 | Private Final Consumption Expenditure at current market price (growth rate in per cent) | 11.5 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 7.2 |
3 | Gross Domestic Saving (per cent of GDP) | 30.9 | 31.0 | 32.0 | 29.0 |
4 | Gross Fixed Capital Formation (per cent of GDP) | 30.0 | 30.0 | 31.5 | 28.1 |
5 | Money Supply (M3) (growth rate in per cent) | 14.1 | 14.0 | 15.4 | 12.0 |
6 | Bank Credit (growth rate in per cent) | 15.3 | 15.0 | 17.5 | 12.5 |
7 | Combined Gross Fiscal Deficit (per cent of GDP) | 6.8 | 6.8 | 8.0 | 6.1 |
8 | Central Government Gross Fiscal Deficit (per cent of GDP) | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
9 | Repo Rate(end period) | 7.80 | 7.75 | 8.25 | 7.00 |
10 | CRR (end period) | 3.96 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
11 | Yield of 91-Days Treasury Bills (end period) | 8.4 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 7.5 |
12 | YTM of Central Govt. Securities with term to maturity of 10-years (end period) | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 7.7 |
13 | Overall Balance of Payments (in US $ bn.) | 23.5 | 25.9 | 70.0 | 3.0 |
14 | Merchandise Exports (in US $ bn.) | 338.8 | 337.0 | 360.0 | 323.8 |
15 | Merchandise Exports (growth rate in per cent) | 7.3 | 6.7 | 16.6 | 1.6 |
16 | Merchandise Imports (in US $ bn.) | 501.3 | 498.1 | 538.1 | 474.5 |
17 | Merchandise Imports (growth rate in per cent) | 8.5 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 1.8 |
18 | Merchandise Trade Balance (per cent of GDP) | -8.0 | -7.9 | -7.2 | -9.2 |
19 | Net Invisible Balance (in US $ bn.) | 120.6 | 119.9 | 135.4 | 113.8 |
20 | Current Account Balance (in US $ bn.) | -44.2 | -45.0 | -20.0 | -81.4 |
21 | Current Account Balance (per cent of GDP) | -2.2 | -2.1 | -1.0 | -3.8 |
22 | Capital Account Balance (in US $ bn.) | 67.1 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 45.0 |
23 | Capital Account Balance (per cent of GDP) | 3.2 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 |