Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 07 What Explains Call Money Rate Spread in India? @Sunil Kumar Anand Prakash Krishna M Kushawaha Abstract 1The study focuses on various drivers of overnight inter-bank rate spread under the new liquidity management framework during July 2013 to December 2016. Applying OLS with Newey-West estimator and various GARCH models to daily data, the study finds that liquidity conditions, viz., deficit, distribution and uncertainty imp

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 06 Risk-weighting under Standardised Approach of Computation of Capital for Credit Risk in Basel Framework – An Analysis of Default Experience of Credit Rating Agencies in India @Ajay Kumar Choudhary B Nethaji Anirban Basu Abstract 1All scheduled commercial banks in India currently follow the Standardised Approach of computation of capital for credit risk under Basel framework for calculation of regulatory capital requirement

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 05 Comparison of Consumer and Wholesale Prices Indices in India: An Analysis of Properties and Sources of Divergence @Praggya Das and Asish Thomas George Abstract ♣ A key feature of the inflationary process during 2015-16 was the large divergence in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation. The CPI-WPI divergence resulted in considerable debate amongst policy makers and academia on its causes a

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 04 Corporate Leverage in EMEs: Has the Global Financial Crisis Changed the Determinants? @Snehal S. Herwadkar Abstract 1Has the global financial crisis changed the pivotal determinants of corporate leverage in EMEs? This paper attempts to address this issue using a panel-GMM framework and quantile-analysis for 10 major EMEs. Analysing 19-year database covering the period 1996-2014, the study finds that enabling conditions in

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 03 A Measure of Finance-Neutral Output Gap for India @Deba Prasad Rath, Pratik Mitra and Joice John Abstract 1In the Indian context, the present literature on estimation of potential output - the level of output that an economy can produce sustainably over the medium term - is based on an understanding that sustainability is characterised as output consistent with low and stable inflation. However, there are episodes when eco

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 02 The Unintended Side Effects of Basel III Liquidity Regulations on the Operating Target of Monetary Policy @Sitikantha Pattanaik Rajesh Kavediya Angshuman Hait Abstract 1The implementation of Basel III liquidity regulations entails unintended ramifications for the unsecured segment of the money market, and therefore for the operating target of monetary policy. Empirical estimates from a dynamic panel model suggest that unde

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 01 How Asset Prices Interact with Bank Credit and Monetary Policy? Evidence from Emerging Market and Developing Economies @Bhupal Singh and Avadhoot R. Nadkarni Abstract *The central hypothesis examined in this paper is whether credit shocks are more dominant in affecting asset prices vis-a-vis monetary policy shocks. The paper examines interaction of equity and house prices with macroeconomic factors using a panel VAR fra

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 10 Modelling Corporate Sector Distress in India @Manjusha Senapati and Saptarshi Ghosal Abstract 1The paper attempts to formulate a model to predict corporate financial distress of non-government non-financial public limited companies and estimate distressed bank debt due to the sample companies for the period 2006-07 to 2013-14. The model estimates probability of a company being financially distressed in the following year u

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 09 Bank Lending and Loan Quality: The Case of India@Pallavi Chavan and Leonardo Gambacorta Abstract *This paper analyses how non-performing loans (NPLs) of Indian banks behave through the cycle. We find that a one-percentage point increase in loan growth is associated with an increase in NPLs over total advances (NPL ratio) of 4.3 per cent in the long run with the response being higher during expansionary phases. Furthermore,

Press Release RBI Working Paper Series No. 08 Quarterly Projection Model for India: Key Elements and Properties @Jaromir Benes, Kevin Clinton, Asish Thomas George, Pranav Gupta, Joice John, Ondra Kamenik, Douglas Laxton, Pratik Mitra, G.V. Nadhanael, Rafael Portillo, Hou Wang and Fan Zhang Abstract 1This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward looking open economy gap model, calibrated to re